Market · 31 of 36 outcomes
Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 04:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jydyjyd0x1c4c…8d85 | No | 3,718 | 97.1¢ | $3.6K | — |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | No | 362 | 96.1¢ | $351 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 104 | 94.9¢ | $101 | New69 settled bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 2,562 | 4.4¢ | $81 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| 0x91c3…409f | No | 50 | 96.0¢ | $48 | New0 settled bets |
| peut-etreELM0x800a…c0ee | No | 40 | 95.0¢ | $39 | — |
| Venimous0x8f7b…2a5f | Yes | 966 | 2.9¢ | $30 | — |
| Anon2340xf3ac…f23d | No | 25 | 91.3¢ | $24 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 3,578 bets |
| justmeandme0x17f4…9d7f | No | 16 | 95.0¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x257b…2cbc | No | 10 | 97.7¢ | $9 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 205 | 5.1¢ | $6 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 169 | 1.4¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 160 | 3.5¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,642 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 5 | 95.8¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,990 bets |
| lotdunaf0x108a…c378 | No | 3 | 99.8¢ | $3 | — |
| messirontig0x8c46…7eab | No | 3 | 99.8¢ | $3 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 50 | 1.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 2 | 98.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,720 bets |
| 98132wxc0x9f2a…3706 | Yes | 44 | 3.4¢ | $1 | — |
| pinner0xd886…1746 | Yes | 40 | 4.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0a8e…05a4 | No | 1 | 91.3¢ | $1 | — |
| ox7a8Fe7b6934c1B5CdA555FBD5731a57E2683D9ee0x7a8f…d9ee | No | 1 | 98.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xac74…2d47 | No | 1 | 98.9¢ | $1 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 31 | 5.8¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,318 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 30 | 3.2¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.42 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 30 | 2.8¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | 20 | 9.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd90e…03b6 | Yes | 16 | 43.1¢ | $1 | — |
| niglette0x23ed…aebc | Yes | 9 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6fbc…fa10 | Yes | 5 | 4.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.87 per $100 · 1,441 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 4 | 1.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 1 | 3.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 95.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 96.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| 48xsds0x0446…cc69 | Yes | 0 | 4.4¢ | $0 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 0 | 28.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| Escumish0x1924…dff3 | Yes | 0 | 8.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.93 per $100 · 3,274 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
French Presidential Runoff Qualifiers · 2027 · 1 event · $192K in play