Market · 2 of 15 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 25,368 | 95.5¢ | $25.3K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,362 bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 5,995 | 97.2¢ | $5.97K | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| trx10xc6a2…c9b7 | No | 4,130 | 98.4¢ | $4.11K | Proven+$5.61 per $100 · 172 bets |
| gangwarharshit0xaad0…f61d | No | 3,303 | 97.6¢ | $3.29K | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 4,280 bets |
| Facaie0xf70e…81df | No | 2,000 | 99.7¢ | $1.99K | Break-even−$0.45 per $100 · 2,104 bets |
| mingxyz0x60f1…cb3e | No | 819 | 97.5¢ | $815 | — |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | No | 400 | 94.5¢ | $398 | Proven+$13.59 per $100 · 1,672 bets |
| Rin2x0x21c5…3533 | No | 350 | 98.0¢ | $348 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 4,624 bets |
| 0xe35b…b542 | No | 303 | 92.2¢ | $302 | — |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | No | 298 | 83.3¢ | $296 | — |
| ChoiceMeteor25200xb082…5138 | No | 266 | 97.4¢ | $265 | — |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 225 | 93.3¢ | $224 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| Liwencheng0xd787…2ece | No | 208 | 96.4¢ | $207 | — |
| promt0x4ce9…70d7 | No | 205 | 97.6¢ | $204 | — |
| THEELK0x4e24…2926 | No | 196 | 97.6¢ | $195 | — |
| 0x7875…e0ef | No | 119 | 97.5¢ | $119 | — |
| good.luck0x751d…a1a9 | No | 109 | 92.5¢ | $108 | — |
| 1968743532780xab15…46e5 | No | 102 | 96.9¢ | $102 | — |
| gt1970x6fd0…a85b | No | 101 | 78.7¢ | $101 | — |
| David12030xf4a4…c284 | No | 100 | 97.6¢ | $100 | — |
| Loooser0xb5c2…1750 | Yes | 15,475 | 3.4¢ | $70 | — |
| yuleksy0x1214…cf28 | No | 50 | 77.0¢ | $50 | — |
| konsomida0x60c6…247f | Yes | 10,532 | 2.1¢ | $47 | Positive+$3.21 per $100 · 750 bets |
| baolebao0xb7fa…57db | No | 35 | 90.6¢ | $35 | — |
| aSERT590x8896…d0ff | No | 31 | 99.5¢ | $31 | — |
| yongw10x3034…715b | No | 31 | 97.5¢ | $31 | — |
| aFRGYU900x50e3…d998 | No | 31 | 99.4¢ | $31 | — |
| abhkjk490xcbd9…609c | No | 31 | 99.4¢ | $31 | — |
| aCVBGT700xe287…ccee | No | 31 | 99.4¢ | $31 | — |
| BRYERH200x1518…3e89 | No | 31 | 99.2¢ | $31 | — |
| aZXCB690x1f2a…7309 | No | 31 | 99.5¢ | $31 | — |
| BYUGNA100xece9…b274 | No | 31 | 99.3¢ | $31 | — |
| aHJYTG890x8787…2e26 | No | 31 | 99.5¢ | $30 | — |
| aLOPU790x11a2…2938 | No | 31 | 99.6¢ | $30 | — |
| ads800x1c0c…14fa | No | 31 | 99.4¢ | $30 | — |
| aFHFHTG1000x9aee…77ec | No | 31 | 99.4¢ | $30 | — |
| aQWEF600xb38a…7b60 | No | 31 | 99.4¢ | $30 | — |
| BRWHE90x1736…3460 | No | 31 | 99.5¢ | $30 | — |
| aFGRT500xac7f…25cd | No | 31 | 99.5¢ | $30 | — |
| BJLKGGS190x714d…d9bf | No | 31 | 99.6¢ | $30 | — |
| CampruCali0x0404…4719 | No | 31 | 98.4¢ | $30 | — |
| arbandy0x5eb0…5012 | Yes | 5,000 | 2.6¢ | $22 | Losing−$11.24 per $100 · 861 bets |
| sanlitouP20x1d27…7e73 | No | 20 | 97.7¢ | $20 | — |
| williamwuzz0x727e…cfa5 | No | 19 | 54.7¢ | $19 | — |
| forg0tten0x186a…e382 | No | 15 | 98.6¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x792f…a740 | Yes | 3,185 | 3.1¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x4d02…a5be | No | 14 | 97.6¢ | $14 | — |
| cbtl0x55ff…77c6 | No | 13 | 58.7¢ | $13 | — |
| ddd1d430x0b4e…4d72 | No | 10 | 82.0¢ | $10 | — |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | No | 10 | 82.0¢ | $10 | — |
| strengthinnumbers0x9095…96f7 | No | 10 | 81.5¢ | $10 | — |
| negar0xd5a6…6991 | Yes | 1,940 | 10.4¢ | $9 | — |
| GekkeHenkie230x5c3a…d4f4 | Yes | 1,916 | 2.8¢ | $9 | — |
| tsddd0xf961…34dd | No | 8 | 96.7¢ | $8 | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 7,594 bets |
| tokenium0x471c…9e94 | No | 7 | 56.1¢ | $7 | — |
| brunoviedma0xfd18…0e39 | Yes | 1,207 | 6.5¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x2103…27fe | Yes | 909 | 11.7¢ | $4 | — |
| Nonurbusines0x76c8…e383 | Yes | 750 | 2.6¢ | $3 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 529 | 2.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| 0x4cb3…db3a | Yes | 441 | 2.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x8356…61e1 | Yes | 435 | 4.3¢ | $2 | — |
| Ontilt000xd859…38c5 | Yes | 354 | 8.5¢ | $2 | — |
| UlixesMaximus0xa10e…0ddf | Yes | 344 | 3.7¢ | $2 | — |
| daksh190xd0bf…46b1 | Yes | 335 | 0.3¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xbe4e…d0c6 | Yes | 271 | 3.5¢ | $1 | — |
| RomanMaximus0x884d…2e48 | Yes | 263 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Mynamer10x054a…f218 | Yes | 200 | 2.5¢ | $1 | — |
| ailas0x6b3c…e1f0 | Yes | 172 | 3.1¢ | $1 | — |
| bZk0Uo0x138b…0467 | Yes | 154 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 135 | 12.1¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 25,840 bets |
| b1urberry0x1df4…dd14 | Yes | 130 | 4.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Cryptos24x70x063d…35c7 | Yes | 115 | 2.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1752…7823 | Yes | 101 | 9.6¢ | $0 | — |
| jcy890x2a01…9b9f | Yes | 100 | 25.3¢ | $0 | — |
| letniy0xd0e0…2a91 | Yes | 100 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| omnibus-4247790x4247…91c4 | Yes | 81 | 6.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$12.51 per $100 · 6,017 bets |
| 0x8d34…17e8 | Yes | 41 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| laoqi8880x963e…04a0 | Yes | 40 | 25.0¢ | $0 | — |
| SmokeDrinkPerm0xfe61…e9c2 | Yes | 40 | 33.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Nek-30x0cb7…c911 | Yes | 24 | 52.7¢ | $0 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | 22 | 0.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 20 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Van123450xeee5…93d6 | Yes | 9 | 55.7¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 1.14K shares each side · Show
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Bitcoin price range · Oct 1 · 32 events · $824K in play