Market · 2 of 15 outcomes
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 5-11?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:06 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
3 more outcomes in this event.
Bitcoin price range · Oct 1 · 32 events · $824K in play
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 26,038 | 95.5¢ | $25.2K | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 24,268 bets |
| x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd40x6916…2fd4 | No | 5,382 | 97.2¢ | $5.21K | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| trx10xc6a2…c9b7 | No | 3,527 | 98.5¢ | $3.41K | Proven+$5.61 per $100 · 172 bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 900 | 95.8¢ | $871 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,722 bets |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 537 | 90.9¢ | $519 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 20,706 bets |
| Loooser0xb5c2…1750 | Yes | 15,475 | 3.4¢ | $503 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 1.14K shares each side · Show
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