Market · 8 of 13 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 03:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin price range · 2 overlapping weeks · 2 events · $175K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 12,773 | 87.2¢ | $12.8K | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 24,527 bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | No | 9,158 | 88.0¢ | $9.15K | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 32,701 bets |
| gangwarharshit0xaad0…f61d | No | 5,115 | 98.0¢ | $5.11K | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 4,305 bets |
| SkyLove70x27d8…d41f | No | 2,768 | 99.9¢ | $2.77K | — |
| AkarshitGangwar0x7c69…5aeb | No | 2,078 | 99.6¢ | $2.08K | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 2,731 bets |
| Facaie0xf70e…81df | No | 2,000 | 99.5¢ | $2K | Break-even−$0.45 per $100 · 2,104 bets |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | No | 1,768 | 89.3¢ | $1.77K | Positive+$13.53 per $100 · 1,713 bets |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 1,198 | 86.6¢ | $1.2K | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 20,764 bets |
| trx10xc6a2…c9b7 | No | 1,133 | 97.3¢ | $1.13K | Proven+$5.61 per $100 · 172 bets |
| Sharky69990x751a…9ea1 | No | 999 | 37.4¢ | $999 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 34,744 bets |
| lee8860x8cc8…f1b3 | No | 679 | 89.1¢ | $678 | — |
| TinaGoat0x6bc7…c4a9 | No | 571 | 88.9¢ | $571 | Losing−$5.43 per $100 · 5,932 bets |
| Vipine0xb82b…730e | No | 512 | 97.8¢ | $512 | — |
| 0xe35b…b542 | No | 340 | 55.6¢ | $340 | — |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | No | 314 | 86.6¢ | $314 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 4,782 bets |
| Tttyh0x2322…3ede | No | 309 | 99.9¢ | $309 | Break-even+$0.03 per $100 · 2,662 bets |
| EVPLUS.AI0x2277…6604 | No | 231 | 77.0¢ | $231 | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 56,634+ bets · updating |
| 1968743532780xab15…46e5 | No | 113 | 88.3¢ | $113 | — |
| 0xb9f0…dc0a | No | 101 | 80.9¢ | $100 | — |
| strengthinnumbers0x9095…96f7 | No | 100 | 70.0¢ | $100 | — |
| VigorishStrike0x0312…283d | No | 92 | 89.5¢ | $91 | — |
| 0xa4f0…df05 | No | 87 | 92.4¢ | $87 | — |
| ray11220x8eeb…a4d1 | No | 80 | 99.8¢ | $80 | — |
| ngfn1760x07e5…4b14 | No | 76 | 97.4¢ | $76 | New65 settled bets |
| lukatst0x083c…65f2 | No | 70 | 81.1¢ | $70 | Break-even+$0.13 per $100 · 16,523 bets |
| utryu0xa946…759b | No | 39 | 98.6¢ | $39 | — |
| duyl0x0a8e…3c8a | No | 37 | 99.0¢ | $37 | New79 settled bets |
| ghkgl0xc6b1…3aaf | No | 37 | 99.0¢ | $37 | — |
| fgjg0x7968…9997 | No | 37 | 99.0¢ | $37 | New74 settled bets |
| hdjhg0x8f85…ad69 | No | 37 | 99.2¢ | $37 | — |
| fjff0xd4ca…1f91 | No | 37 | 99.2¢ | $37 | — |
| ljopo0x9ee4…2fef | No | 36 | 99.2¢ | $36 | — |
| junrdy0xbb6b…b10b | No | 36 | 99.3¢ | $36 | — |
| fgjw0xe6ec…fd23 | No | 36 | 99.4¢ | $36 | — |
| PBot-100x5d63…9075 | No | 36 | 89.6¢ | $36 | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 49,890+ bets · updating |
| hgjg0x8c69…1727 | No | 35 | 99.2¢ | $35 | — |
| Rin2x0x21c5…3533 | No | 35 | 94.3¢ | $35 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 4,624 bets |
| 0x7ad3…51f3 | No | 34 | 97.7¢ | $34 | New42 settled bets |
| qgh0x7bb8…3559 | No | 33 | 99.7¢ | $33 | — |
| jfuy0xba12…3e2b | No | 33 | 99.7¢ | $33 | — |
| jur0x3806…2ec9 | No | 33 | 99.8¢ | $33 | — |
| hkjd0x3a35…f331 | No | 33 | 99.2¢ | $33 | — |
| afvbyt530xb99d…cc48 | No | 33 | 99.2¢ | $33 | — |
| aKWQ430x5975…8343 | No | 33 | 99.0¢ | $33 | — |
| aFHNM940x7ede…bff3 | No | 33 | 99.0¢ | $33 | — |
| aKLOP510x0be1…551c | No | 33 | 99.3¢ | $33 | — |
| aZXVCH610x2621…1dd1 | No | 32 | 99.3¢ | $32 | — |
| hkui0x3b62…96d3 | No | 32 | 99.0¢ | $32 | New79 settled bets |
| shaillakhani0x1476…ec90 | Yes | 12,686 | 7.8¢ | $6 | Losing−$19.69 per $100 · 753 bets |
| 0x2f88…dfd3 | Yes | 9,025 | 19.0¢ | $5 | New4 settled bets |
| 0xd6b6…793f | Yes | 8,204 | 17.4¢ | $4 | Proven+$17.34 per $100 · 290 bets |
| 0x7e52…00f5 | Yes | 5,904 | 4.9¢ | $3 | Losing−$12.09 per $100 · 1,274 bets |
| Fltlps0xe9f0…cfcb | Yes | 2,262 | 7.3¢ | $1 | New26 settled bets |
| 0x2bc90xa550…da41 | Yes | 1,237 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| negar0xd5a6…6991 | Yes | 934 | 10.5¢ | $0 | — |
| cryptodebil0x2305…04f2 | Yes | 836 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$13.25 per $100 · 515 bets |
| 0x5556…4d9e | Yes | 571 | 19.8¢ | $0 | — |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | 548 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,799 bets |
| 0x8188…b427 | Yes | 400 | 6.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2dc3…11df | Yes | 222 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| LME830x2f2b…d743 | Yes | 215 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ludan1680xab9e…ac3e | Yes | 200 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| itzzessss0x566c…3d03 | Yes | 195 | 7.3¢ | $0 | — |
| cnc9110xf49c…e63e | Yes | 174 | 4.1¢ | $0 | — |
| pan60xe616…a30a | Yes | 141 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| TheReapingJudge0x224c…ee07 | Yes | 100 | 1.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$46.64 per $100 · 812 bets |
| guandaBaoFu0x64b5…34fa | Yes | 100 | 61.4¢ | $0 | — |
| davydavydavy0x5f84…67ef | Yes | 77 | 4.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.68 per $100 · 3,445 bets |
| KOMZY0x6f2a…de7d | Yes | 62 | 17.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Ontilt000xd859…38c5 | Yes | 50 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Altazzor0xb9fe…add6 | Yes | 48 | 4.5¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 33 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 25 | 27.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.77 per $100 · 77,753+ bets · updating |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 20 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x90d4…2dee | Yes | 20 | 25.3¢ | $0 | — |
| DEL260xfe3b…5a41 | Yes | 18 | 11.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1b3f…1058 | Yes | 16 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| EvilGranny0xa0f5…57e2 | Yes | 13 | 29.6¢ | $0 | — |
| xxtxxt0xc46e…921b | Yes | 13 | 8.2¢ | $0 | — |
| asdfdd1230x2232…a2c5 | Yes | 10 | 16.6¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 29,386 bets |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 10 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| sdfasfddd0x4cd4…8a5c | Yes | 10 | 12.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 29,022 bets |
| asdfasdf111120xaf53…ca3b | Yes | 10 | 11.8¢ | $0 | — |
| aab110xc8fd…5efa | Yes | 10 | 12.4¢ | $0 | — |
| sdflll110xf1a2…516a | Yes | 10 | 33.5¢ | $0 | — |
| ddlll10x6c21…be9e | Yes | 10 | 23.9¢ | $0 | — |
| leo77777770xc393…6916 | Yes | 10 | 15.0¢ | $0 | — |
| asdfasdddd44120xe9cd…be3f | Yes | 10 | 33.5¢ | $0 | — |
| asdfasdf1110xe2e3…5897 | Yes | 8 | 16.6¢ | $0 | — |
| b1urberry0x1df4…dd14 | Yes | 8 | 14.0¢ | $0 | New49 settled bets |
| asdf112d0x839f…ecba | Yes | 7 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.14 per $100 · 3,502 bets |
| kx360x049b…5a12 | Yes | 6 | 5.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$101.83 per $100 · 296 bets |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 5 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.