Market · 4 of 14 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 12?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:19 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 11,398 | 97.6¢ | $11.3K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 24,515 bets |
| Tokor0xa19c…de6b | No | 9,778 | 98.1¢ | $9.67K | Proven+$13.45 per $100 · 1,702 bets |
| Navigator770x3e3d…d674 | No | 4,263 | 99.7¢ | $4.21K | — |
| Facaie0xf70e…81df | No | 2,500 | 98.5¢ | $2.47K | Break-even−$0.45 per $100 · 2,104 bets |
| apper0x7fca…ac29 | No | 1,948 | 98.6¢ | $1.93K | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 5,182 bets |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 1,079 | 98.1¢ | $1.07K | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 20,764 bets |
| trx10xc6a2…c9b7 | No | 553 | 99.0¢ | $547 | Proven+$5.61 per $100 · 172 bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | No | 430 | 98.0¢ | $425 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,799 bets |
| TuotuoGood0x523c…9663 | No | 311 | 98.5¢ | $308 | — |
| 0x7e52…00f5 | Yes | 22,614 | 2.0¢ | $260 | Losing−$13.16 per $100 · 1,269 bets |
| ftrxc64afn0x726f…d8e7 | No | 133 | 97.2¢ | $131 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 4,782 bets |
| 1968743532780xab15…46e5 | No | 101 | 97.7¢ | $100 | — |
| Hugopari0x7804…2d8e | No | 100 | 99.0¢ | $99 | New32 settled bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 100 | 99.1¢ | $99 | Losing−$8.71 per $100 · 69,942+ bets · updating |
| Fltlps0xe9f0…cfcb | Yes | 5,844 | 2.2¢ | $67 | New26 settled bets |
| Rin2x0x21c5…3533 | No | 50 | 98.0¢ | $49 | Break-even+$0.65 per $100 · 4,624 bets |
| Sharky69990x751a…9ea1 | No | 30 | 98.0¢ | $30 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 34,744 bets |
| icemanD180x5ba5…14c1 | No | 20 | 97.1¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 259 bets |
| QuantumLeapy0x8ead…f333 | No | 15 | 97.6¢ | $15 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 1,266 | 1.4¢ | $15 | Losing−$9.60 per $100 · 56,831+ bets · updating |
| 0x4d02…a5be | No | 14 | 99.1¢ | $13 | — |
| 0x7ad3…51f3 | No | 11 | 99.4¢ | $10 | New42 settled bets |
| tsddd0xf961…34dd | No | 10 | 98.1¢ | $10 | Losing−$1.03 per $100 · 7,594 bets |
| aribsite0xc775…460c | No | 10 | 98.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Kalu12PT0xe4a4…283b | No | 10 | 98.0¢ | $10 | — |
| LME830x2f2b…d743 | Yes | 730 | 1.5¢ | $8 | — |
| wowohaha0xb3a8…70b3 | Yes | 500 | 1.6¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x9a6e…1711 | Yes | 462 | 1.4¢ | $5 | — |
| PM6660xb42b…afe0 | Yes | 451 | 1.4¢ | $5 | — |
| qlambot0xd219…6cc3 | No | 5 | 98.9¢ | $5 | — |
| GageZ-Agent0x88af…4cbc | No | 5 | 97.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x8188…b427 | Yes | 345 | 3.1¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x0990…f36f | Yes | 278 | 3.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$27.79 per $100 · 1,662 bets |
| 0xd96a…d8ce | Yes | 108 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2bc90xa550…da41 | Yes | 95 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| daksh190xd0bf…46b1 | Yes | 92 | 2.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0ceb…48ac | No | 1 | 99.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7cdb…a064 | Yes | 49 | 2.2¢ | $1 | — |
| b1urberry0x1df4…dd14 | Yes | 33 | 3.2¢ | $0 | New49 settled bets |
| 0x069a…f0aa | Yes | 5 | 2.7¢ | $0 | — |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 4 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Bitcoin price range · 2 overlapping weeks · 2 events · $175K in play