Market · 4 of 14 outcomes
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 12-18?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 02:01 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x06dc…4524 | No | 3,154 | 83.7¢ | $2.54K | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 24,527 bets |
| ComTruise0xeee9…7ecb | Yes | 2,720 | 16.0¢ | $530 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 16,799 bets |
| apper0x7fca…ac29 | No | 172 | 87.4¢ | $138 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 5,182 bets |
| iagoWFLD0xa813…04fb | Yes | 541 | 23.2¢ | $106 | Proven+$2.58 per $100 · 481 bets |
| strengthinnumbers0x9095…96f7 | No | 100 | 75.0¢ | $81 | — |
| 0xe35b…b542 | No | 71 | 67.0¢ | $58 | — |
| oldcai0xe76b…ad7f | No | 69 | 84.0¢ | $56 | — |
| 0x492b…103f | No | 57 | 71.5¢ | $46 | Proven+$4.50 per $100 · 131 bets |
| 0x80fe…d375 | No | 55 | 91.6¢ | $44 | Losing−$1.45 per $100 · 449 bets |
| 0xDB50xdb5a…3965 | No | 46 | 67.0¢ | $37 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 20,764 bets |
| Chenmoranandluoyiyi0x09e7…f753 | No | 36 | 86.7¢ | $29 | Break-even−$0.46 per $100 · 1,862 bets |
| cbtl0x55ff…77c6 | No | 35 | 85.3¢ | $28 | Losing−$1.38 per $100 · 639 bets |
| justdance0xcc50…4c82 | Yes | 125 | 24.5¢ | $24 | Proven+$3.34 per $100 · 32,701 bets |
| bill870x2aa4…e47c | Yes | 100 | 10.6¢ | $20 | New3 settled bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 78 | 19.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$7.62 per $100 · 411,170 bets |
| Ontilt000xd859…38c5 | Yes | 75 | 12.7¢ | $15 | — |
| Rooglish0x4462…b29b | Yes | 60 | 18.0¢ | $12 | — |
| CrytoBotRD0xfb32…0035 | No | 12 | 84.9¢ | $10 | — |
| IBSI0xe918…dd23 | Yes | 42 | 12.7¢ | $8 | — |
| lukatst0x083c…65f2 | No | 5 | 78.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.13 per $100 · 16,523 bets |
| boyau0xe734…4f0c | Yes | 16 | 10.6¢ | $3 | Proven+$8.35 per $100 · 564 bets |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 15 | 12.9¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.60 per $100 · 56,831+ bets · updating |
| QuantumLeapy0x8ead…f333 | Yes | 15 | 35.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Arleco0x8cb1…30c0 | Yes | 10 | 20.6¢ | $2 | — |
| cryingbabydicer870x5e8e…8212 | Yes | 10 | 14.1¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 27,486 bets |
| Vasya020xfd60…d0fc | Yes | 6 | 19.0¢ | $1 | — |
| deSora0x6eae…1916 | No | 1 | 89.7¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.54 per $100 · 2,328 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Bitcoin price range · 2 overlapping weeks · 2 events · $175K in play