Market · 29 of 36 outcomes
Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 12:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PascalPro0xe947…ab96 | No | 1,082 | 95.2¢ | $1.04K | New69 settled bets |
| Hot-Skull0xd12f…e85a | No | 150 | 96.3¢ | $145 | — |
| 0x0fa2…05aa | No | 80 | 73.4¢ | $77 | Proven+$11.58 per $100 · 741 bets |
| Elyotus0x27af…6ec8 | No | 50 | 96.9¢ | $48 | — |
| CloudCactus0x0c99…87cf | No | 23 | 92.3¢ | $22 | Losing−$4.36 per $100 · 1,158 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 550 | 3.8¢ | $19 | Losing−$5.95 per $100 · 8,491 bets |
| rocky420050xd6a8…58fd | Yes | 300 | 6.1¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.22 per $100 · 12,889 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 103 | 5.2¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 3 | 96.4¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 3 | 93.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 632 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 88 | 5.6¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 3 | 93.3¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 85 | 5.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 80 | 10.4¢ | $3 | — |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | Yes | 50 | 4.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | 50 | 6.0¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 46 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,781 bets |
| gramschmidt0x6538…9392 | No | 1 | 93.2¢ | $1 | New96 settled bets |
| Mojito90xf2cf…464b | Yes | 21 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Oxae5839b89d47738616264276Ac1F0D77F936E5C50xae58…e5c5 | No | 1 | 94.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | 15 | 6.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 10 | 10.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| Pol7StrategyBuilder0x2a20…89d2 | No | 0 | 94.0¢ | $0 | — |
| polesk88880x7a5c…767b | No | 0 | 94.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.76 per $100 · 4,882 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 96.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| RazuchiONE0xf33e…0ab8 | No | 0 | 94.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 68sfds0x9a5b…acf6 | Yes | 0 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
French Presidential Runoff Qualifiers · 2027 · 1 event · $192K in play