Market · 4 of 30 outcomes
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 03:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 30 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 5.6¢ | +4.8 pts |
| $10,000 | 26.3¢ | +25.4 pts |
| $100,000 | 60.6¢ | +59.7 pts |
| $500,000 | 88.0¢ | +87.2 pts |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 1¢.
About $72 can be bought and $45 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 0.9¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 03:10 UTC.