Market · 4 of 5 outcomes
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 04:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 307 | 99.2¢ | $305 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,990 bets |
| HolyMoses70xa4b3…87b8 | Yes | 13,458 | 8.3¢ | $87 | Break-even+$0.99 per $100 · 4,841 bets |
| LA170xf6ea…0a00 | Yes | 7,043 | 0.9¢ | $46 | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 420 bets |
| 0x8642…7a7b | No | 37 | 98.6¢ | $36 | — |
| 0x17b7…c5cd | No | 22 | 98.6¢ | $22 | — |
| IP13800x96e8…d240 | Yes | 3,165 | 0.5¢ | $21 | — |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 3,100 | 1.2¢ | $20 | Positive+$12.24 per $100 · 3,937 bets |
| ZeroPoe0x8b97…e6b9 | No | 13 | 99.4¢ | $13 | — |
| perfectnostalgia0x0ffc…8236 | Yes | 1,725 | 1.1¢ | $11 | Proven+$9.34 per $100 · 911 bets |
| vlospa0x5814…cb14 | Yes | 1,515 | 1.7¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x14ec…c745 | Yes | 1,398 | 1.3¢ | $9 | Proven+$21.88 per $100 · 257 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,394 | 21.1¢ | $9 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,075 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,199 | 4.4¢ | $8 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| ethBELIVER0x05f6…25a1 | Yes | 1,175 | 0.3¢ | $8 | New55 settled bets |
| Xavwv0x492f…8144 | Yes | 1,076 | 1.7¢ | $7 | Losing−$1.65 per $100 · 104 bets |
| forgetfuldory0xf1e1…6f6f | Yes | 1,021 | 1.0¢ | $7 | New6 settled bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 1,013 | 10.7¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| BeneGesseritVoice0xcb59…0a22 | Yes | 1,000 | 1.5¢ | $6 | Proven+$2.39 per $100 · 2,201 bets |
| 0x02a9…c4c8 | Yes | 891 | 2.1¢ | $6 | — |
| Hugin-og-Munin0x8fe7…6c1f | No | 5 | 99.2¢ | $5 | Positive+$5.79 per $100 · 29,719+ bets · updating |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 720 | 16.7¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,833+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 639 | 16.7¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,932 bets |
| sdiff1230xd352…4ad6 | Yes | 467 | 0.6¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 833 bets |
| godson020x3103…ea70 | Yes | 428 | 1.8¢ | $3 | — |
| SuperTests0xf3fa…7be3 | Yes | 411 | 1.8¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.40 per $100 · 1,020 bets |
| Stebig0xa984…6468 | Yes | 353 | 1.8¢ | $2 | — |
| 4-testfollower-hm70xe694…7e7c | Yes | 350 | 8.0¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 332 | 16.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,642 bets |
| Touge0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | 251 | 1.3¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 298 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 250 | 16.7¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,135 bets |
| 0xf449…3c78 | Yes | 250 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 187 | 1.6¢ | $1 | — |
| qcp20xd245…2318 | Yes | 160 | 1.3¢ | $1 | — |
| elated0x9991…b800 | No | 1 | 98.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x78b3…6dda | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 150 | 13.6¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| kaladin0xa23d…a396 | Yes | 143 | 1.5¢ | $1 | — |
| xiaoaojiang0x5195…44eb | Yes | 120 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| SC2610010xa2c0…cbe8 | Yes | 112 | 0.9¢ | $1 | — |
| TENETENET0x3329…43a6 | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$874.76 per $100 · 26,465 bets |
| fang19570xf82f…5ac5 | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 78 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| LesterDiamond0x558f…1a56 | Yes | 75 | 15.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 23,948 bets |
| 0xe8c6…f7f6 | No | 0 | 99.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x3653…ef74 | No | 0 | 98.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x11b2…6d33 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xbeef…620e | Yes | 46 | 7.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | 45 | 2.3¢ | $0 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 36 | 16.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$5.55 per $100 · 87,601 bets |
| 0x56a8…eea2 | Yes | 30 | 10.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | 27 | 4.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$18.76 per $100 · 22,737 bets |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | Yes | 25 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 20 | 16.7¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,318 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 20 | 11.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x765f…1508 | Yes | 18 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.40 per $100 · 2,565 bets |
| triklozoid0xeab7…b389 | Yes | 15 | 0.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$2630.36 per $100 · 34,840 bets |
| PiEDawg0xcf43…b321 | No | 0 | 98.8¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.20 per $100 · 7,924 bets |
| babyalgo0x0a3a…e990 | Yes | 10 | 12.5¢ | $0 | — |
| yes-yes-no0xea91…bea2 | Yes | 10 | 16.7¢ | $0 | — |
| quietparcel0x764b…6bad | No | 0 | 98.9¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.68 per $100 · 41,055+ bets · updating |
| VictorLudorum0x090a…0fa6 | No | 0 | 99.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.49 per $100 · 22,277 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | Yes | 0 | 23.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.