US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · Polyray
Market
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Chance of Yes
▼ 1 pt this week
Money on this market
Room to trade
0.9¢ between buy and sell
Ends
Jan 1
in 80 days
Full rules
As written on Polymarket for “US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?”.
§1This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Reza Pahlavi as the "leader of Iran" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET.
§2Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
§3Roles that could qualify for "leader of Iran" status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "prime minister," or other similar roles that give him primary executive authority in the territory of Iran.
§4A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified.
§5Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
§6The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:01 UTC. Not financial advice.