Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:05 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 17 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | No | 24,049 | 81.0¢ | $23.4K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | No | 14,076 | 66.6¢ | $13.7K | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No | 6,099 | 95.8¢ | $5.92K | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| Gdub0x0b64…49bd | No | 6,000 | 79.7¢ | $5.83K | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 1,466 bets |
| 0x095d…52cf | No | 5,889 | 80.7¢ | $5.72K | Losing−$2.80 per $100 · 676 bets |
| denizz0xbaa2…2c73 | No | 5,092 | 72.7¢ | $4.95K | Proven+$8.43 per $100 · 1,271 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | No | 4,952 | 71.2¢ | $4.81K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | No | 4,535 | 82.7¢ | $4.41K | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 4,082 bets |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | No | 3,622 | 79.1¢ | $3.52K | — |
| dfdvbjgdhbh0x524c…6b4f | No | 3,362 | 78.9¢ | $3.27K | New22 settled bets |
| LukiB0x730d…d448 | No | 3,113 | 85.2¢ | $3.02K | New87 settled bets |
| insidero0x3eae…5e6d | No | 2,888 | 94.3¢ | $2.81K | Proven+$4.05 per $100 · 514 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 2,576 | 82.3¢ | $2.5K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 2,555 | 74.1¢ | $2.48K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 2,000 | 96.0¢ | $1.94K | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,264 bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 2,000 | 75.0¢ | $1.94K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| k00pa0xa289…d95c | No | 1,913 | 92.0¢ | $1.86K | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 394 bets |
| esports0950x4047…7293 | No | 1,705 | 96.5¢ | $1.66K | Proven+$5.48 per $100 · 2,745 bets |
| FastPaws0x0548…d852 | No | 1,367 | 95.7¢ | $1.33K | New39 settled bets |
| 0xTrinity0xac80…97b1 | No | 1,309 | 72.0¢ | $1.27K | — |
| Bromley860x0b65…293e | No | 1,213 | 95.0¢ | $1.18K | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 1,095 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 1,208 | 90.9¢ | $1.17K | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,043 bets |
| HongKongMenace0x7919…72b2 | No | 1,091 | 78.0¢ | $1.06K | New60 settled bets |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | No | 1,024 | 81.0¢ | $995 | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,129 bets |
| Marco-Rubio0xd67b…5780 | No | 1,000 | 87.0¢ | $972 | Proven+$5.68 per $100 · 1,354 bets |
| bismuth0xf623…bb2c | No | 1,000 | 79.6¢ | $972 | — |
| MasonsConqueredRome0x357e…2a0c | No | 1,000 | 70.0¢ | $971 | Losing−$1.92 per $100 · 1,136 bets |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | No | 983 | 60.9¢ | $955 | — |
| TradeDeficitArchitect0x477f…19aa | No | 930 | 77.0¢ | $903 | Proven+$6.37 per $100 · 2,801 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 857 | 91.0¢ | $833 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| Robbb0x9cdd…3e97 | No | 848 | 94.0¢ | $824 | Proven+$5.15 per $100 · 4,527 bets |
| KissingGolden0x9dcb…628b | No | 775 | 75.6¢ | $753 | — |
| final-divination0x9ea7…7e1c | Yes | 24,645 | 21.5¢ | $702 | New22 settled bets |
| Maxtyt0xbd27…2807 | No | 600 | 77.0¢ | $583 | Losing−$12.41 per $100 · 164 bets |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 514 | 95.0¢ | $499 | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| S550x7124…70c1 | No | 500 | 95.9¢ | $486 | Proven+$6.56 per $100 · 500 bets |
| classified0x12d6…f2a8 | No | 480 | 76.0¢ | $467 | Positive+$3.90 per $100 · 1,966 bets |
| BafanaBafana0xf72c…eeb7 | No | 473 | 80.0¢ | $460 | — |
| siick0xf9b7…60a4 | No | 448 | 83.0¢ | $435 | Proven+$3.60 per $100 · 1,967 bets |
| Krass0x581d…b2e3 | No | 437 | 62.0¢ | $425 | — |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 429 | 74.0¢ | $417 | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 1,162 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 403 | 71.9¢ | $392 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| 0x0d62…27e0 | No | 400 | 58.0¢ | $389 | Proven+$5.78 per $100 · 301 bets |
| 0x919d…60e1 | No | 400 | 63.0¢ | $389 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 1,345 bets |
| 0x275c…6090 | No | 385 | 91.0¢ | $374 | — |
| ded-ind-emp-seer0x96cf…94ae | Yes | 11,544 | 18.6¢ | $329 | New11 settled bets |
| 0xab0c…2ca3 | Yes | 11,000 | 33.8¢ | $313 | New19 settled bets |
| door-negaah0x7b99…955f | Yes | 10,534 | 21.3¢ | $300 | New3 settled bets |
| Noooooooop0xc315…fe18 | No | 300 | 83.3¢ | $291 | Break-even−$0.05 per $100 · 508 bets |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 300 | 87.3¢ | $291 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 300 | 95.8¢ | $291 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| DumplingBMF0x8f69…7df1 | No | 300 | 78.7¢ | $291 | Proven+$2.43 per $100 · 3,934 bets |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | No | 300 | 95.2¢ | $291 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 259 bets |
| hol-div0x273d…d0ed | Yes | 6,704 | 20.1¢ | $191 | New6 settled bets |
| prognostico0xb2cf…b1e5 | Yes | 6,425 | 20.2¢ | $183 | New2 settled bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 4,294 | 13.7¢ | $122 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| 0x37ee…a516 | Yes | 4,160 | 24.0¢ | $119 | New0 settled bets |
| orbitx.0x8eb1…6800 | Yes | 3,189 | 15.7¢ | $91 | — |
| eternal-victory0x9596…258b | Yes | 2,935 | 20.4¢ | $84 | New8 settled bets |
| everlasting-resplendence0xc37f…d6b9 | Yes | 2,631 | 19.0¢ | $75 | New6 settled bets |
| Hnoz0xaf8d…602c | Yes | 2,309 | 43.3¢ | $66 | — |
| 0x79f1…dab7 | Yes | 2,280 | 15.9¢ | $65 | — |
| vadermike0x9e68…d03f | Yes | 2,209 | 13.0¢ | $63 | New7 settled bets |
| 0x0b30…54f9 | Yes | 2,000 | 22.2¢ | $57 | New13 settled bets |
| chpx0x54e1…2c1a | Yes | 1,925 | 26.0¢ | $55 | — |
| TimeTraveler0x51fd…4272 | Yes | 1,206 | 16.7¢ | $34 | Positive+$6.43 per $100 · 7,366 bets |
| 0xf0cb…4e22 | Yes | 1,101 | 29.5¢ | $31 | New24 settled bets |
| immortal-prediction0xe07a…2357 | Yes | 1,053 | 19.0¢ | $30 | New7 settled bets |
| 0x5ca7…8195 | Yes | 1,000 | 17.0¢ | $28 | Losing−$12.43 per $100 · 768 bets |
| eternal-prosperity0xf13b…cc04 | Yes | 915 | 27.3¢ | $26 | — |
| Mori12210xc621…e680 | Yes | 822 | 19.9¢ | $23 | New43 settled bets |
| Zae6ali0x04a3…7fea | Yes | 748 | 26.7¢ | $21 | — |
| ddasdasd0xcf45…ed5f | Yes | 735 | 25.0¢ | $21 | — |
| TaxIsTheft0xa7b5…fa78 | Yes | 697 | 38.7¢ | $20 | Losing−$1.33 per $100 · 355 bets |
| Zero100x5688…9f32 | Yes | 674 | 37.1¢ | $19 | — |
| TheAstronomer0xdfe6…ad49 | Yes | 595 | 31.5¢ | $17 | — |
| cuomo0xed22…e391 | Yes | 590 | 23.6¢ | $17 | — |
| Gohst0x2d4b…ca7a | Yes | 558 | 13.8¢ | $16 | Proven+$80.31 per $100 · 2,060 bets |
| shadybrick0x1f12…6f4b | Yes | 500 | 19.0¢ | $14 | — |
| cisworker0x45b7…2ddc | Yes | 495 | 6.1¢ | $14 | New62 settled bets |
| rocky420100x84d7…298f | Yes | 476 | 19.6¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x03e3…ae1f | Yes | 407 | 29.0¢ | $12 | — |
| bobfrombob0x25ed…6f3c | Yes | 400 | 25.0¢ | $11 | — |
| xact0x7c17…6eb5 | Yes | 400 | 27.0¢ | $11 | — |
| Yassii0xd0db…e549 | Yes | 400 | 25.0¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xb100…a65f | Yes | 388 | 17.0¢ | $11 | — |
| mhariri2690xa1a9…dc81 | Yes | 383 | 25.0¢ | $11 | — |
| RooksD0000xf68a…63a3 | Yes | 364 | 30.2¢ | $10 | Positive+$15.02 per $100 · 447 bets |
| 0xbbbc…f799 | Yes | 334 | 23.9¢ | $10 | — |
| zadymiarz0x44af…c7dd | Yes | 310 | 29.9¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x706d…1c5a | Yes | 279 | 43.0¢ | $8 | — |
| amirsh830x7594…a478 | Yes | 277 | 18.0¢ | $8 | — |
| goldeye0x705d…3438 | Yes | 267 | 20.8¢ | $8 | Losing−$26.93 per $100 · 249 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 217 | 5.5¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| 0x4dc9…b299 | Yes | 185 | 27.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xf997…28e5 | Yes | 170 | 31.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | Yes | 170 | 23.8¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| 0x606b…9cfe | Yes | 169 | 29.5¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x9a2a…d7be | Yes | 154 | 13.0¢ | $4 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.