Market · 4 of 5 outcomes
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 19:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
21 proven traders are on Yes, 18 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 226,621 | 67.4¢ | $194K | Losing−$7.34 per $100 · 1,388 bets |
| carlos4840x9e72…99c4 | No | 90,195 | 76.2¢ | $77.1K | New |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| CARBEACH0xc4c8…cabb | Yes | 237,448 | 33.8¢ | $34.4K | New17 settled bets |
| MoonLambo12050x49e9…8f85 | No | 38,663 | 80.0¢ | $33.1K | Losing−$3.34 per $100 · 144 bets |
| products0x8575…87fe | No | 35,000 | 76.7¢ | $29.9K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 10,070 bets |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | No | 28,000 | 88.4¢ | $23.9K | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
| 0x6bab…0fe5 | No | 25,017 | 67.3¢ | $21.4K | Proven+$7.70 per $100 · 371 bets |
| zthunderfury0xc682…17bb | No | 24,792 | 81.5¢ | $21.2K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 497 bets |
| 0xff1e…5e2d | No | 20,683 | 78.1¢ | $17.7K | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 637 bets |
| pakukudolphi0x88e2…7489 | No | 20,429 | 77.1¢ | $17.5K | Proven+$5.66 per $100 · 278 bets |
| scottilicious0x000d…758e | No | 20,000 | 85.5¢ | $17.1K | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 1,310 bets |
| Parz1vaI0xb100…6461 | No | 19,411 | 67.0¢ | $16.6K | Proven+$3.49 per $100 · 6,931 bets |
| BigRabbit0xeb22…808a | Yes | 110,063 | 27.2¢ | $16K | Positive+$4.46 per $100 · 2,227 bets |
| Korienn30xe6fe…1efa | No | 18,462 | 65.7¢ | $15.8K | New2 settled bets |
| Dragontree0x2c39…56dc | No | 16,665 | 79.1¢ | $14.2K | Proven+$2.69 per $100 · 3,239 bets |
| M2sx92kljs420xb4f2…e5fa | No | 15,896 | 65.2¢ | $13.6K | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 549 bets |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | No | 14,179 | 73.9¢ | $12.1K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | No | 13,948 | 86.0¢ | $11.9K | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,711 bets |
| Sorrymissjackson0x0cbf…4665 | No | 11,843 | 80.3¢ | $10.1K | Proven+$6.04 per $100 · 190 bets |
| 7472810x8faa…deb5 | No | 11,682 | 78.4¢ | $9.99K | New42 settled bets |
| 0xb3d6…dd72 | No | 11,418 | 76.0¢ | $9.76K | New25 settled bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | No | 10,207 | 83.3¢ | $8.73K | Proven+$5.20 per $100 · 2,221 bets |
| endlesssss0xb4fc…a926 | No | 10,000 | 78.0¢ | $8.55K | Losing−$2.86 per $100 · 1,067 bets |
| GOLADS960x894d…04e2 | No | 10,000 | 77.5¢ | $8.55K | New56 settled bets |
| Saba21170x5f94…7d96 | No | 9,037 | 73.4¢ | $7.73K | Proven+$8.72 per $100 · 106 bets |
| eightpenguins0x3c59…1766 | Yes | 51,195 | 23.4¢ | $7.42K | Proven+$14.44 per $100 · 681 bets |
| TeamA0x9ba9…3ce9 | No | 8,020 | 81.0¢ | $6.86K | New1 settled bet |
| yuhyuhyuhy3523520xbd04…fbb0 | No | 7,157 | 8.5¢ | $6.12K | Proven+$13.58 per $100 · 548 bets |
| Saltyballs0xd46b…5dab | No | 7,088 | 83.3¢ | $6.06K | Proven+$7.59 per $100 · 920 bets |
| 71536498200x7fd3…e662 | No | 7,000 | 7.4¢ | $5.98K | Positive+$5.09 per $100 · 2,079 bets |
| classified0x12d6…f2a8 | Yes | 37,295 | 17.3¢ | $5.41K | Positive+$3.55 per $100 · 1,959 bets |
| Javier777Milei0x2e61…19bd | No | 5,800 | 47.9¢ | $4.96K | Positive+$1.85 per $100 · 844 bets |
| wegotthemic0x3b03…5e22 | No | 5,500 | 76.6¢ | $4.7K | New8 settled bets |
| betwick0xc851…cd2a | Yes | 32,378 | 12.2¢ | $4.69K | Proven+$5.26 per $100 · 769 bets |
| 99problems1230x0042…321e | Yes | 32,340 | 22.7¢ | $4.69K | Losing−$2.30 per $100 · 465 bets |
| Bertapotamous0x134a…9e42 | Yes | 30,527 | 26.9¢ | $4.43K | Proven+$2.56 per $100 · 4,216 bets |
| Natstar7770xf17c…0c29 | No | 5,000 | 75.9¢ | $4.28K | New90 settled bets |
| StudentMoney0xfb51…742d | No | 5,000 | 68.6¢ | $4.27K | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 1,758 bets |
| BrightStars0xc84f…e0c5 | Yes | 25,649 | 22.8¢ | $3.72K | Proven+$3.33 per $100 · 325 bets |
| crayven0x2aac…dfad | No | 4,166 | 67.2¢ | $3.56K | Proven+$5.71 per $100 · 922 bets |
| Smart-bettor70x7845…417b | No | 4,082 | 67.5¢ | $3.49K | Losing−$1.64 per $100 · 525 bets |
| I0I0I00x758c…074a | Yes | 23,995 | 19.4¢ | $3.48K | New81 settled bets |
| Inchoroi0x058f…4883 | No | 4,053 | 66.0¢ | $3.47K | Losing−$1.90 per $100 · 300 bets |
| nedsta0xf92a…a517 | No | 4,000 | 85.0¢ | $3.42K | Positive+$1.11 per $100 · 466 bets |
| Beyonddream0xb24c…eefe | No | 4,000 | 79.0¢ | $3.42K | Break-even−$0.68 per $100 · 503 bets |
| johnnyA0x11f3…d859 | No | 3,976 | 75.2¢ | $3.4K | Proven+$2.24 per $100 · 870 bets |
| Bet1nthedark0x8b88…5f5e | Yes | 20,763 | 57.9¢ | $3.01K | Losing−$1.48 per $100 · 263 bets |
| Trading4Fridge0x2525…b919 | No | 3,395 | 82.8¢ | $2.9K | — |
| OldZz0x298b…f406 | Yes | 19,091 | 30.9¢ | $2.77K | Losing−$10.84 per $100 · 225 bets |
| Sdfghji0x4f90…517d | No | 3,000 | 60.0¢ | $2.56K | Proven+$12.21 per $100 · 480 bets |
| Mr-Krabs0x8597…daee | No | 2,850 | 83.0¢ | $2.44K | Positive+$1.83 per $100 · 838 bets |
| katbot0x3007…763a | Yes | 16,800 | 20.8¢ | $2.44K | Positive+$3.17 per $100 · 158 bets |
| mamai0xabbe…8f37 | No | 2,791 | 64.5¢ | $2.39K | Losing−$7.39 per $100 · 667 bets |
| IbnKhaldun0xa4bc…026c | No | 2,700 | 81.0¢ | $2.31K | Positive+$2.23 per $100 · 341 bets |
| nellojello0xa8ae…8eb7 | No | 2,700 | 73.8¢ | $2.31K | Proven+$10.19 per $100 · 305 bets |
| AlphaBetaGamma23570x5652…00c9 | Yes | 15,777 | 21.1¢ | $2.29K | Proven+$5.60 per $100 · 868 bets |
| 0x3fd0…0022 | Yes | 15,629 | 21.0¢ | $2.27K | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 223 bets |
| Rafael880x720b…37f6 | No | 2,632 | 75.3¢ | $2.25K | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 208 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 2,573 | 72.1¢ | $2.2K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,860 bets |
| adenakoz10xb615…73cf | No | 2,500 | 53.3¢ | $2.14K | Proven+$21.35 per $100 · 1,988 bets |
| scorp02120x778b…4e2d | No | 2,490 | 52.5¢ | $2.13K | New67 settled bets |
| 8811120xd426…334a | Yes | 14,625 | 26.6¢ | $2.12K | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| PashaAsOracul0x4fbf…f319 | No | 2,477 | 73.3¢ | $2.12K | New60 settled bets |
| antonyaucc0x25b9…8a22 | No | 2,436 | 67.5¢ | $2.08K | New2 settled bets |
| dogdogdogdogdogdogdogdogdogdogdogdogdogdog0x6772…aa9e | Yes | 12,850 | 21.0¢ | $1.86K | New0 settled bets |
| Warren-Buffett0x4478…02a4 | Yes | 12,660 | 52.6¢ | $1.84K | Proven+$3.05 per $100 · 1,767 bets |
| smallf0xd109…6fa0 | Yes | 12,000 | 67.2¢ | $1.74K | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 320 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 10,611 | 21.1¢ | $1.54K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 10,235 bets |
| Newshound0x5e73…6697 | Yes | 8,814 | 47.0¢ | $1.28K | Proven+$5.54 per $100 · 1,941 bets |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | Yes | 8,435 | 42.0¢ | $1.22K | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 771 bets |
| pup10x54b5…4b31 | Yes | 8,000 | 30.6¢ | $1.16K | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 5,554 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 7,618 | 27.0¢ | $1.1K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,059 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 7,097 | 23.2¢ | $1.03K | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | Yes | 6,436 | 21.6¢ | $933 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 625 bets |
| MarvelFan940x0978…00e6 | Yes | 6,392 | 69.0¢ | $927 | Break-even−$0.34 per $100 · 648 bets |
| Hakei.0x97ea…3363 | Yes | 6,131 | 78.0¢ | $889 | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 2,040 bets |
| Erasmus.0xc658…b784 | Yes | 6,034 | 35.8¢ | $875 | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 875 bets |
| Niseko0x801d…d8e0 | Yes | 6,000 | 77.7¢ | $870 | Break-even−$0.14 per $100 · 2,042 bets |
| Toncar160x4158…ce9f | Yes | 5,865 | 30.2¢ | $850 | Positive+$17.76 per $100 · 2,040 bets |
| groth0x71ab…f015 | Yes | 5,480 | 54.5¢ | $795 | Proven+$20.70 per $100 · 539 bets |
| crackenthusiast0xb5e2…e599 | Yes | 5,450 | 27.0¢ | $790 | Proven+$6.95 per $100 · 525 bets |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 5,425 | 20.7¢ | $787 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| fantastic550xd75a…fdec | Yes | 5,339 | 24.6¢ | $774 | Break-even−$0.94 per $100 · 258 bets |
| de5nuts0x80a0…5708 | Yes | 5,223 | 19.5¢ | $757 | Proven+$9.80 per $100 · 336 bets |
| Cungly0x5ccf…79d7 | Yes | 5,000 | 11.0¢ | $725 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 1,625 bets |
| rewardbots0x876b…1703 | Yes | 5,000 | 21.7¢ | $725 | Proven+$11.14 per $100 · 503 bets |
| gateway-0xa20c…451a | Yes | 5,000 | 15.0¢ | $725 | Losing−$1.87 per $100 · 224 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 4,550 | 35.5¢ | $660 | Positive+$16.42 per $100 · 48,207+ bets · updating |
| sixthsense0x61f4…b4ad | Yes | 4,421 | 22.0¢ | $641 | New55 settled bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 4,300 | 21.5¢ | $623 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,099 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 3,863 | 20.5¢ | $560 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,791 bets |
| randomWalkingShrimp0x30d1…4525 | Yes | 3,824 | 51.9¢ | $554 | Proven+$8.22 per $100 · 1,875 bets |
| Impossible-Is-Possible0x0c4f…0f33 | Yes | 3,200 | 42.1¢ | $464 | Proven+$7.14 per $100 · 312 bets |
| DonPanic0x50b2…c94a | Yes | 3,200 | 46.6¢ | $464 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 2,020 bets |
| 0x8538…bd41 | Yes | 3,050 | 31.6¢ | $442 | New14 settled bets |
| Mecky0xa82b…5220 | Yes | 3,000 | 24.3¢ | $435 | Positive+$3.93 per $100 · 2,966 bets |
| hahaha130x491e…667f | Yes | 3,000 | 22.3¢ | $435 | New42 settled bets |
| Blackwaterddd0xe09e…deb3 | Yes | 2,690 | 18.4¢ | $390 | New37 settled bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 2.99K shares each side · Show
|