Market
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:13 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 12.1¢ | +10.5 pts |
| $10,000 | 42.9¢ | +41.3 pts |
| $100,000 | 73.2¢ | +71.6 pts |
| $500,000 | 92.4¢ | +90.8 pts |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 1¢.
About $62 can be bought and $641 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 1.6¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 23:09 UTC.