Market
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 13:08 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KrackenSruster0xd44e…67e2 | No | 11,128 | 89.6¢ | $10.9K | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 893 bets |
| yevhenry0x0164…9ed6 | No | 5,141 | 94.3¢ | $5.05K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Deabrest0x5063…773d | No | 3,154 | 87.9¢ | $3.1K | — |
| Art08880x161a…b515 | No | 2,368 | 88.7¢ | $2.32K | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 384 bets |
| Reimbroq0x6a94…730f | No | 826 | 90.9¢ | $811 | — |
| 0x8931…a90c | No | 368 | 96.0¢ | $361 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 611 bets |