Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 11:52 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KrackenSruster0xd44e…67e2 | No | 10,851 | 60.1¢ | $10.4K | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 893 bets |
| cezarn1320x5f17…519e | No | 2,289 | 56.8¢ | $2.2K | Break-even−$0.24 per $100 · 205 bets |
| nkolbet510xa177…6e84 | No | 2,080 | 95.5¢ | $2K | — |
| Outsmarter0x1b60…a55b | No | 1,576 | 89.7¢ | $1.51K | Proven+$28.81 per $100 · 152 bets |
| 007-Bond0x8947…f4b4 | No | 1,003 | 90.7¢ | $963 | New96 settled bets |
| bifurcatio0xa9ea…1043 | No | 953 | 94.6¢ | $915 | — |
| Vanga30000xf5e8…a1ce | No | 499 | 91.0¢ | $479 | — |
| vbm0x8304…f086 | No | 490 | 65.9¢ | $470 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 3,461 bets |
| AsapRing0x282d…10fe | No | 437 | 77.8¢ | $419 | — |
| Folletin0x08c8…1da2 | No | 372 | 53.0¢ | $358 | Proven+$5.44 per $100 · 712 bets |
| Jerzy0x5943…2ef2 | Yes | 8,712 | 28.8¢ | $348 | Proven+$5.52 per $100 · 363 bets |
| Pantheon10x606e…6b3a | No | 350 | 89.9¢ | $336 | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 477 bets |
| shred77770x43cc…9211 | No | 330 | 88.4¢ | $317 | Proven+$7.41 per $100 · 237 bets |
| DumbOracle0xa9ec…57d5 | No | 306 | 92.8¢ | $294 | — |
| varch010x0362…449e | No | 304 | 65.7¢ | $292 | Losing−$1.95 per $100 · 13,127 bets |
| 0xd054…7e38 | No | 300 | 75.0¢ | $288 | — |
| akazipper0xc398…9c7f | No | 260 | 95.0¢ | $250 | — |
| Aragorn-II0xc9ad…79d0 | No | 250 | 55.0¢ | $240 | — |
| AlexPro0xa638…1d87 | Yes | 5,626 | 47.0¢ | $225 | Positive+$4.97 per $100 · 1,134 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 5,234 | 39.0¢ | $209 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,414 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 217 | 74.5¢ | $208 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| Dondigidin0x07b9…0fbb | No | 200 | 87.5¢ | $192 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 991 bets |
| Shadalion0x07ee…36c5 | No | 200 | 94.0¢ | $192 | — |
| Krass0x581d…b2e3 | No | 200 | 59.0¢ | $192 | Proven+$4.65 per $100 · 885 bets |
| NyanDoggo0x6c59…e3bb | No | 200 | 80.5¢ | $192 | — |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 191 | 89.2¢ | $184 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 627 bets |
| Witezslav0x680d…a342 | No | 190 | 84.0¢ | $183 | — |
| NeevS0x30b2…1a36 | No | 169 | 91.2¢ | $162 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 755 bets |
| 0x441d…8f9c | No | 166 | 93.5¢ | $159 | New44 settled bets |
| aannggg0xf39f…83bf | No | 155 | 95.0¢ | $149 | New0 settled bets |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | No | 150 | 90.9¢ | $144 | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 1,651 bets |
| systemix0x178f…45b8 | No | 145 | 55.3¢ | $139 | — |
| 0xd11c…0d06 | No | 125 | 83.1¢ | $120 | — |
| 0x0cca…700f | No | 112 | 88.0¢ | $108 | New40 settled bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 108 | 91.0¢ | $104 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| serferer0xdc70…cc56 | No | 105 | 94.3¢ | $100 | — |
| Faraon0xe04b…264f | No | 98 | 94.0¢ | $94 | — |
| Parno0xcc49…eb43 | No | 88 | 57.0¢ | $84 | — |
| 0xddfd…ca51 | No | 70 | 71.0¢ | $68 | — |
| 0xc572…66fd | No | 68 | 74.0¢ | $65 | — |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | Yes | 1,484 | 17.9¢ | $59 | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,129 bets |
| Vackjorobey0xa9c7…a83a | No | 60 | 91.0¢ | $58 | — |
| spaceloaf0xa99c…08b4 | No | 55 | 90.8¢ | $53 | — |
| 0x0d62…27e0 | No | 54 | 48.0¢ | $51 | Proven+$5.78 per $100 · 301 bets |
| lightreckisn0x6017…707e | No | 52 | 93.0¢ | $50 | — |
| Makimasa0x5e05…b9e1 | No | 44 | 94.0¢ | $43 | — |
| alpaca0x5da5…e620 | Yes | 999 | 10.0¢ | $40 | Losing−$6.68 per $100 · 287 bets |
| franzferdinand0xae9a…7cea | No | 40 | 74.0¢ | $38 | — |
| 0x3a5c…5bdb | No | 38 | 53.3¢ | $36 | — |
| kstc190xd60d…19a9 | No | 34 | 90.0¢ | $32 | — |
| petryshakm0xd453…1f27 | No | 33 | 91.0¢ | $32 | — |
| kstc17a0x328b…fa07 | No | 31 | 92.0¢ | $30 | — |
| hellojosh0x5519…1c6c | No | 30 | 60.0¢ | $29 | Losing−$3.70 per $100 · 199 bets |
| 0x12b3…e104 | No | 27 | 91.0¢ | $26 | Losing−$9.61 per $100 · 364 bets |
| 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | 632 | 4.6¢ | $25 | Positive+$1.38 per $100 · 4,796 bets |
| Anjun0x4337…8882 | No | 26 | 66.0¢ | $25 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 22,022 bets |
| ChasingPaper0x8dc7…116f | Yes | 402 | 46.4¢ | $16 | Proven+$10.97 per $100 · 442 bets |
| stavr0x5c22…e4db | Yes | 342 | 6.1¢ | $14 | Break-even−$0.75 per $100 · 151 bets |
| 0xkinny0x1f01…548c | Yes | 272 | 36.7¢ | $11 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 241 | 4.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 231 | 4.0¢ | $9 | Positive+$11.86 per $100 · 5,341 bets |
| SmakAfriki0x11de…21d7 | Yes | 200 | 14.0¢ | $8 | Proven+$3.93 per $100 · 198 bets |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | Yes | 191 | 32.3¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| qxr0xf8d0…c8c9 | Yes | 160 | 45.3¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | 138 | 11.1¢ | $6 | Positive+$7.37 per $100 · 1,338 bets |
| dodstered0x0fdf…7cdb | Yes | 132 | 37.8¢ | $5 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 103 | 6.6¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| Newshound0x5e73…6697 | Yes | 100 | 53.0¢ | $4 | Proven+$5.54 per $100 · 1,941 bets |
| 0xc652…11b1 | Yes | 100 | 32.0¢ | $4 | — |
| NickolayKrasotkin0x66ec…0db1 | Yes | 100 | 33.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Allcap0xe9b3…cfd0 | Yes | 97 | 19.4¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xc7e8…b560 | Yes | 86 | 11.8¢ | $3 | — |
| Dragon-Money0xb65e…3e11 | Yes | 79 | 39.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xf267…4815 | Yes | 77 | 39.0¢ | $3 | — |
| PapayaGenocid0x49eb…4d1f | Yes | 76 | 37.0¢ | $3 | — |
| ba190010x0b96…78cf | Yes | 73 | 55.0¢ | $3 | — |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | 60 | 29.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 69,025+ bets · updating |
| 0x04b3…1b7e | Yes | 48 | 21.0¢ | $2 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | Yes | 42 | 44.4¢ | $2 | Proven+$9.11 per $100 · 9,042 bets |
| UKRpanty0x31a8…8ede | Yes | 40 | 52.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.52 per $100 · 153 bets |
| MerhabaKardesim0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | 40 | 11.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$4.34 per $100 · 1,100 bets |
| kebabbox0xa1fd…f59a | Yes | 30 | 31.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xb651…2089 | Yes | 27 | 20.0¢ | $1 | — |
| sipapi620x6837…d9d4 | Yes | 25 | 37.0¢ | $1 | — |
| LopabarPaganski0xdb66…d669 | Yes | 21 | 47.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x2348…ca69 | Yes | 21 | 48.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe2e3…88a7 | Yes | 20 | 44.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ihor-ihor0xaed4…7f61 | Yes | 17 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xe795…0eaa | Yes | 16 | 35.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xcde6…5c4a | Yes | 15 | 38.0¢ | $1 | — |
| am85b0x7021…b9bc | Yes | 14 | 6.4¢ | $1 | — |
| funnydude0xc4a6…0e77 | Yes | 13 | 39.6¢ | $1 | — |
| MetaMetaMeta0xb87b…8428 | Yes | 12 | 30.0¢ | $0 | — |
| wxufao680xd776…674c | Yes | 11 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Zaxizr0x9804…e9a7 | Yes | 10 | 47.7¢ | $0 | — |
| DownInNO0x222f…8271 | Yes | 10 | 31.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Isjsksjs0xf00a…c77c | Yes | 10 | 39.0¢ | $0 | — |
| crayven0x2aac…dfad | Yes | 9 | 55.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$5.71 per $100 · 922 bets |
| 0x4e1f…aefe | Yes | 9 | 55.0¢ | $0 | — |
| acwef0x5625…bd6f | Yes | 9 | 33.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.