Market · 18 of 19 outcomes
Will the fight be won by submission?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 19:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd0x3a55…394e | No | 1,992 | 55.3¢ | $1.58K | Losing−$2.07 per $100 · 1,054 bets |
| no1dodgersfan0xb8ef…2864 | No | 1,935 | 76.6¢ | $1.54K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | No | 1,200 | 77.3¢ | $954 | Losing−$3.74 per $100 · 23,601 bets |
| SevenTons0x2f01…fa78 | Yes | 2,681 | 38.7¢ | $550 | — |
| ArbTraderRookie0x72e1…a45d | Yes | 1,626 | 42.7¢ | $333 | — |
| moneymachine40x7c4a…db2b | No | 384 | 54.2¢ | $305 | — |
| doglover45710x67af…61ee | No | 225 | 72.9¢ | $179 | Losing−$1.97 per $100 · 82,899 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 800 | 11.0¢ | $164 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| forecastication40x885f…8ed9 | No | 141 | 78.0¢ | $112 | Proven+$6.28 per $100 · 4,218 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 100 | 71.0¢ | $80 | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 93,070 bets |
| 0x7091…96f8 | Yes | 300 | 42.0¢ | $61 | Losing−$2.06 per $100 · 9,768 bets |
| 0x5281…bdd8 | No | 40 | 78.0¢ | $32 | — |
| Forecastication20xdd5e…9040 | Yes | 141 | 16.0¢ | $29 | Losing−$3.23 per $100 · 21,970 bets |
| 0x5f94…207e | Yes | 131 | 48.6¢ | $27 | — |
| 0x6702…ff45 | Yes | 125 | 24.0¢ | $26 | Proven+$4.76 per $100 · 886 bets |
| lbtrading0xa6db…3155 | Yes | 100 | 17.0¢ | $21 | Break-even−$0.22 per $100 · 30,044+ bets · updating |
| jifidsisjdidf0x95ac…a7f7 | Yes | 57 | 37.5¢ | $12 | — |
| MoneyMachine390x0640…5ea2 | No | 12 | 75.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xe10c…3222 | Yes | 46 | 24.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xca0c…b9b6 | No | 5 | 84.0¢ | $4 | — |
| omnibus-4247790x4247…91c4 | Yes | 10 | 31.1¢ | $2 | Losing−$12.43 per $100 · 6,050 bets |
| athinkingmeat0xfb6e…1aee | Yes | 10 | 33.1¢ | $2 | — |
| lieved0x743e…2b50 | Yes | 6 | 48.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 372318360xb78b…2802 | No | 0 | 88.5¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 10 shares each side · Show
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