Market · 14 of 19 outcomes
Will the fight be won by submission?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 14:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
7 more outcomes in this event.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxd0x3a55…394e | No | 1,992 | 55.3¢ | $1.44K | Losing−$2.07 per $100 · 1,054 bets |
| no1dodgersfan0xb8ef…2864 | No | 1,935 | 76.6¢ | $1.4K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | No | 1,200 | 77.3¢ | $870 | Losing−$3.74 per $100 · 23,601 bets |
| SevenTons0x2f01…fa78 | Yes | 2,681 | 38.7¢ | $737 | — |
| ArbTraderRookie0x72e1…a45d | Yes | 1,626 | 42.7¢ | $447 | — |
| moneymachine40x7c4a…db2b | No | 384 | 54.2¢ | $278 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 10 shares each side · Show
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