Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:21 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| testyeagles0xaaca…f5d5 | Yes | 2,096 | 24.5¢ | $514 | Losing−$1.58 per $100 · 17,528 bets |
| 0x8f28…ff9a | No | 328 | 76.9¢ | $247 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| No |
| 100 |
| 75.0¢ |
| $76 |
| Break-even−$0.22 per $100 · 30,044+ bets · updating |
| VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294 | No | 96 | 74.0¢ | $73 | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 130,874+ bets · updating |
| GC-P0x2d6a…8add | Yes | 163 | 24.0¢ | $40 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 62,276 bets |
| Flaznorp0x821d…cf16 | No | 48 | 75.9¢ | $36 | Break-even+$0.90 per $100 · 155,914+ bets · updating |
| NM-P0xcf73…0215 | No | 40 | 75.0¢ | $30 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 62,113 bets |
| 0x3804…6136 | Yes | 104 | 24.0¢ | $25 | Break-even−$0.61 per $100 · 5,567 bets |
| alto110xad90…51d2 | Yes | 100 | 25.9¢ | $25 | — |
| patrick-jane0xe99e…7733 | Yes | 100 | 27.0¢ | $25 | — |
| ameisgoat110x2da3…f258 | No | 30 | 76.9¢ | $23 | Break-even+$0.73 per $100 · 42,480 bets |
| pjotrekkk0xf102…1348 | Yes | 82 | 24.5¢ | $20 | Proven+$3.29 per $100 · 20,519 bets |
| WeBuyHighWeSelllow0x224f…514a | No | 23 | 74.0¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.25 per $100 · 12,930 bets |
| o11ze0xa376…8710 | Yes | 40 | 25.9¢ | $10 | — |
| severino25900x49d2…90f6 | Yes | 40 | 25.9¢ | $10 | — |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | 30 | 33.3¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.66 per $100 · 36,281+ bets · updating |
| polivan0x4665…a900 | Yes | 28 | 25.9¢ | $7 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 8 | 75.0¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| sdfaref0x88d6…7c14 | Yes | 23 | 27.0¢ | $6 | — |
| ARudenko0x3c60…e37b | Yes | 20 | 25.9¢ | $5 | Losing−$4.12 per $100 · 618 bets |
| TheAlchemist20270x5978…e91c | Yes | 19 | 27.0¢ | $5 | — |
| NM-UAT0x5cc8…a0e4 | No | 4 | 75.0¢ | $3 | — |
| dentleightadman0xd9c9…6686 | No | 4 | 76.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xa6a5…98ca | Yes | 8 | 26.9¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xc98c…38a8 | Yes | 8 | 26.9¢ | $2 | — |
| etasdfs0x11cc…d353 | No | 3 | 75.9¢ | $2 | — |
| dfedd0x1c02…019e | No | 3 | 75.9¢ | $2 | — |
| fdhgetrh0x3bb2…50e9 | No | 3 | 75.9¢ | $2 | — |
| jhgk0x4197…7778 | No | 3 | 75.9¢ | $2 | — |
| xcdef0x5cb0…18ee | No | 3 | 75.9¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 104 bets |
| asegad0x6af0…d8cc | No | 3 | 75.9¢ | $2 | — |
| io;50x85f6…b85b | No | 3 | 75.9¢ | $2 | — |
| cxvfer0x8b26…685e | No | 3 | 75.9¢ | $2 | — |
| xead0x9f86…faeb | No | 3 | 75.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Fraenbanh0x11ba…1c2b | No | 1 | 76.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x6db1…84e0 | Yes | 4 | 26.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7abf…2996 | Yes | 4 | 26.9¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xcec5…e58a | Yes | 4 | 26.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Lambross0xed53…741d | Yes | 4 | 25.9¢ | $1 | — |
| loeb9wrc0x0a3a…f612 | Yes | 4 | 27.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.29 per $100 · 269 bets |
| KakiAs0x3d83…bfac | Yes | 4 | 27.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Top7770xb000…e8fa | No | 0 | 76.9¢ | $0 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 262 shares each side · Show
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