Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 19:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| testyeagles0xaaca…f5d5 | Yes | 2,096 | 24.5¢ | $514 | Losing−$1.58 per $100 · 17,528 bets |
| lbtrading0xa6db…3155 | No | 100 | 75.0¢ | $76 | Break-even |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294 | No | 96 | 74.0¢ | $73 | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 130,874+ bets · updating |
| Flaznorp0x821d…cf16 | No | 48 | 75.9¢ | $36 | Break-even+$0.90 per $100 · 155,914+ bets · updating |
| NM-P0xcf73…0215 | No | 40 | 75.0¢ | $30 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 62,113 bets |
| alto110xad90…51d2 | Yes | 100 | 25.9¢ | $25 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 262 shares each side · Show
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