Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SecondWindCapital0x8c80…02c3 | No | 410,616 | 85.4¢ | $396K | New79 settled bets |
| elmcap20xed10…d2e5 | No | 340,519 | 92.5¢ | $328K | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 2,129 bets |
| onekey020xfaf9…f4c4 | No | 241,561 | 88.8¢ | $233K | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 441 bets |
| dedoge0xb0b1…38a3 | No | 182,732 | 94.0¢ | $176K | New0 settled bets |
| ReedUpdatee0x07a9…32c8 | No | 165,247 | 87.0¢ | $159K | Losing−$7.86 per $100 · 133 bets |
| Aeglos0xb665…bf8f | No | 149,900 | 85.8¢ | $144K | New30 settled bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 114,826 | 86.6¢ | $111K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| DOF20xd2cb…b9ea | No | 100,000 | 84.0¢ | $96.3K | New1 settled bet |
| 0x1cDfEACf57b7591c1bc223a8147b3b022E9F1dB0x8e02…8e77 | No | 75,107 | 84.8¢ | $72.4K | New4 settled bets |
| momom0x3c8a…b45a | No | 70,000 | 84.0¢ | $67.4K | New43 settled bets |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | No | 68,000 | 86.4¢ | $65.5K | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
| 0x8b71…8044 | No | 66,400 | 85.3¢ | $64K | Proven+$4.95 per $100 · 201 bets |
| pinduoduo0x67b8…4bb1 | No | 66,136 | 93.0¢ | $63.7K | New59 settled bets |
| forinnerpsandr1x112220x5c14…cc49 | No | 65,504 | 84.2¢ | $63.1K | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 298 bets |
| J3cExePrd1KEM0xdd1d…bbf0 | No | 54,168 | 84.0¢ | $52.2K | New36 settled bets |
| Lolololol0xa745…8ca6 | No | 52,726 | 95.3¢ | $50.8K | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 236 bets |
| aangelika0x2202…8787 | No | 45,000 | 84.0¢ | $43.4K | New15 settled bets |
| Anon55660x5a56…adab | No | 38,223 | 85.3¢ | $36.8K | Losing−$5.01 per $100 · 315 bets |
| asskik0x380c…951c | No | 37,152 | 86.1¢ | $35.8K | Losing−$14.85 per $100 · 266 bets |
| AnonAG0x7113…085d | No | 35,283 | 86.0¢ | $34K | New3 settled bets |
| BlackPeopleDontRecycle0x020b…d13c | No | 33,589 | 90.0¢ | $32.4K | Positive+$1.19 per $100 · 172 bets |
| manekineko0x6606…1338 | No | 30,000 | 93.0¢ | $28.9K | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 545 bets |
| pmcb0xa569…96ec | No | 30,000 | 84.1¢ | $28.9K | New60 settled bets |
| DigitalOpportunityFund0xf83e…fe3a | No | 28,013 | 84.0¢ | $27K | New10 settled bets |
| TronOG0x77c3…00c8 | No | 25,996 | 86.4¢ | $25K | Proven+$3.07 per $100 · 404 bets |
| agggr0xac92…9d64 | No | 24,667 | 85.0¢ | $23.8K | Proven+$4.25 per $100 · 139 bets |
| 0x095d…52cf | No | 23,808 | 84.9¢ | $22.9K | Losing−$2.80 per $100 · 676 bets |
| BabyKangroo0xe3ae…440e | No | 23,000 | 83.0¢ | $22.2K | Proven+$4.11 per $100 · 131 bets |
| RLWR0x3cd0…64df | No | 22,646 | 96.1¢ | $21.8K | New45 settled bets |
| mr-green-tea0x2c69…1019 | No | 22,638 | 88.7¢ | $21.8K | New45 settled bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | 20,330 | 81.8¢ | $19.6K | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| allenzzz0xe749…f771 | No | 20,059 | 91.6¢ | $19.3K | Proven+$2.10 per $100 · 229 bets |
| xcnstrategy0xcce2…d58b | No | 20,000 | 85.5¢ | $19.3K | Proven+$13.80 per $100 · 215 bets |
| Bamboooou0xb245…f392 | No | 20,000 | 93.0¢ | $19.3K | New11 settled bets |
| Max30x19f1…599e | No | 19,000 | 84.0¢ | $18.3K | New23 settled bets |
| IGORS0x1496…ee6f | No | 17,487 | 94.8¢ | $16.8K | New14 settled bets |
| 0xbe04…3c60 | No | 16,500 | 87.6¢ | $15.9K | Losing−$4.92 per $100 · 527 bets |
| DEGENKHAN0x21d0…ce91 | No | 15,431 | 93.1¢ | $14.9K | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 2,670 bets |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 15,000 | 92.8¢ | $14.5K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| 0xf924…7545 | No | 15,000 | 95.4¢ | $14.5K | New11 settled bets |
| justchillin0x2d53…398b | No | 14,894 | 94.0¢ | $14.3K | New84 settled bets |
| hughjonesd0xe145…519a | No | 14,804 | 90.5¢ | $14.3K | New43 settled bets |
| 0xbbae…2d51 | No | 14,700 | 87.3¢ | $14.2K | New48 settled bets |
| wish-0x72a2…7b65 | No | 14,625 | 93.6¢ | $14.1K | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 1,975 bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | No | 14,249 | 95.6¢ | $13.7K | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,712 bets |
| imakebigbets0x09e3…48ac | No | 13,895 | 82.0¢ | $13.4K | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 440 bets |
| alwaysOn0xc550…272d | No | 13,890 | 94.0¢ | $13.4K | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 1,030 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 13,096 | 91.9¢ | $12.6K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| chifangaoshou0xb120…fcfd | No | 12,050 | 84.5¢ | $11.6K | New14 settled bets |
| Random2629180x9244…8553 | No | 12,040 | 83.0¢ | $11.6K | New76 settled bets |
| 0x312e…8604 | Yes | 257,625 | 17.7¢ | $9.4K | New5 settled bets |
| jianyang690x6efc…c98b | Yes | 151,395 | 16.7¢ | $5.53K | New2 settled bets |
| OverlookHotel0x1d37…f4a4 | Yes | 139,700 | 16.6¢ | $5.1K | Losing−$23.70 per $100 · 297 bets |
| 0xe3de…5d6d | Yes | 114,896 | 16.6¢ | $4.19K | New5 settled bets |
| 0x803d…135d | Yes | 106,198 | 14.5¢ | $3.88K | New10 settled bets |
| lindat50xd8e9…ad9e | Yes | 102,784 | 19.5¢ | $3.75K | New2 settled bets |
| 0xfcab…3376 | Yes | 91,566 | 6.8¢ | $3.34K | New17 settled bets |
| ElCapitan6190x25e1…6735 | Yes | 85,000 | 10.5¢ | $3.1K | New96 settled bets |
| -r-0x50ca…93ab | Yes | 75,909 | 15.5¢ | $2.77K | New0 settled bets |
| Freddy-n-Jonny0xcd9e…bff4 | Yes | 65,000 | 11.8¢ | $2.37K | New13 settled bets |
| MaxVision0x5be9…9106 | Yes | 63,824 | 11.2¢ | $2.33K | Positive+$12.04 per $100 · 196 bets |
| orzanovn0x45db…8f65 | Yes | 60,000 | 6.9¢ | $2.19K | Losing−$3.24 per $100 · 298 bets |
| polymarketbetter0xa147…3fcc | Yes | 53,142 | 6.9¢ | $1.94K | Losing−$17.22 per $100 · 200 bets |
| grobobobo0xdfb5…3d34 | Yes | 50,000 | 7.0¢ | $1.82K | New2 settled bets |
| herewe0x3b5b…26fa | Yes | 48,591 | 13.3¢ | $1.77K | Positive+$2.13 per $100 · 179 bets |
| RAtCity0x1809…b3a2 | Yes | 46,297 | 10.7¢ | $1.69K | New1 settled bet |
| Certify01480xf44d…60af | Yes | 46,000 | 15.5¢ | $1.68K | Proven+$3.65 per $100 · 113 bets |
| 0xdb21…ddb1 | Yes | 43,666 | 5.4¢ | $1.59K | New7 settled bets |
| user1360x1cc2…273a | Yes | 38,238 | 16.9¢ | $1.4K | New3 settled bets |
| BookTrader0x20fb…e5fa | Yes | 37,913 | 3.5¢ | $1.38K | Positive+$1.81 per $100 · 307 bets |
| EducatedGuess694200xed49…8783 | Yes | 33,847 | 15.8¢ | $1.24K | New84 settled bets |
| 0xb09e…76bc | Yes | 33,795 | 10.5¢ | $1.23K | New0 settled bets |
| StripedHorn0x07b8…ad05 | Yes | 31,482 | 13.7¢ | $1.15K | New4 settled bets |
| Winner780x9a66…9bc0 | Yes | 30,001 | 11.9¢ | $1.1K | New47 settled bets |
| polygambler900xb0b1…76d9 | Yes | 25,000 | 7.0¢ | $912 | New72 settled bets |
| Magzresistance0x1e6d…08a8 | Yes | 23,750 | 8.0¢ | $867 | Losing−$23.99 per $100 · 245 bets |
| Chandaria0x44cf…2211 | Yes | 23,008 | 15.3¢ | $840 | New51 settled bets |
| yayyay0x25d7…c2bf | Yes | 22,600 | 6.6¢ | $825 | New80 settled bets |
| 0x18e1…cf01 | Yes | 22,153 | 7.5¢ | $809 | New2 settled bets |
| pabon0x61ee…932c | Yes | 22,000 | 16.3¢ | $803 | New44 settled bets |
| dezifreeman0xbee2…18e6 | Yes | 21,978 | 17.0¢ | $802 | New2 settled bets |
| Marco120x95fe…77ea | Yes | 21,575 | 12.0¢ | $787 | New6 settled bets |
| mickeydutza0x400c…d61b | Yes | 20,138 | 22.3¢ | $735 | New0 settled bets |
| fritzphantom1230x88e5…66b2 | Yes | 20,000 | 14.5¢ | $730 | New29 settled bets |
| DegenOnChainTest0x87ff…6632 | Yes | 19,496 | 4.0¢ | $712 | Losing−$17.60 per $100 · 237 bets |
| risk-manager0xa61e…0abd | Yes | 19,158 | 14.8¢ | $699 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,055 bets |
| Db0y0x8290…cdf1 | Yes | 18,230 | 16.1¢ | $665 | New6 settled bets |
| Aquantik0x792c…3355 | Yes | 18,180 | 11.0¢ | $664 | New9 settled bets |
| Noupeinnouguein0x133a…8397 | Yes | 17,280 | 13.4¢ | $631 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 344 bets |
| Pupu870x3778…4f18 | Yes | 17,171 | 6.1¢ | $627 | New1 settled bet |
| 0x2521…eec7 | Yes | 16,237 | 16.0¢ | $593 | New30 settled bets |
| 0xdf27…4753 | Yes | 16,125 | 15.8¢ | $589 | New23 settled bets |
| trumpwilldi0x7ad2…5ac6 | Yes | 15,825 | 15.0¢ | $578 | New2 settled bets |
| fbdd-200xc1d3…fec4 | Yes | 15,769 | 29.5¢ | $576 | New1 settled bet |
| allpinkynobrain0x11e2…26cc | Yes | 15,000 | 14.7¢ | $547 | Losing−$16.32 per $100 · 529 bets |
| Emilius0x696d…6129 | Yes | 14,133 | 16.9¢ | $516 | New4 settled bets |
| 0x2500…e812 | Yes | 13,810 | 15.2¢ | $504 | New17 settled bets |
| Hipsterjoe0xef87…6273 | Yes | 13,252 | 13.0¢ | $484 | New3 settled bets |
| 0x5c2d…bd52 | Yes | 13,184 | 15.6¢ | $481 | New19 settled bets |
| MrBayes0xeaff…fe2d | Yes | 13,000 | 13.8¢ | $474 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.