Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
14 proven traders are on Yes, 13 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | No | 212,926 | 94.0¢ | $211K | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| Trump20280x2e0b…8070 | No | 144,718 | 96.7¢ | $143K | Proven+$2.32 per $100 · 554 bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No | 108,945 | 96.6¢ | $108K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| afdafdafdafdafd0x410a…2643 | No | 86,838 | 97.6¢ | $86K | Losing−$2.15 per $100 · 311 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 47,792 | 97.3¢ | $47.3K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 776 bets |
| scottilicious0x000d…758e | No | 43,064 | 94.4¢ | $42.7K | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 1,310 bets |
| SAPolitcsSeer0xa30e…49d5 | No | 30,838 | 95.2¢ | $30.5K | New84 settled bets |
| apmt0x328d…f7a9 | No | 27,230 | 84.7¢ | $27K | Proven+$9.98 per $100 · 114 bets |
| hymolu0x17e3…9ba5 | No | 25,000 | 80.0¢ | $24.8K | New70 settled bets |
| DonaldinhoTrumpito0x7523…4c4c | No | 20,000 | 84.0¢ | $19.8K | Break-even−$0.92 per $100 · 2,013 bets |
| Alpheo0x7eaa…fd24 | No | 20,000 | 94.2¢ | $19.8K | New38 settled bets |
| 0x9631…89a1 | No | 18,471 | 95.5¢ | $18.3K | Proven+$3.33 per $100 · 306 bets |
| WongKimArk0x7bb2…682c | No | 16,398 | 87.0¢ | $16.2K | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 449 bets |
| WindTakeMeNorth0xbbea…e2b0 | No | 14,740 | 92.0¢ | $14.6K | Proven+$15.66 per $100 · 205 bets |
| degenerace0xfca7…5d82 | No | 13,312 | 89.7¢ | $13.2K | New42 settled bets |
| sabsabinxz0xd3ec…6603 | No | 12,976 | 91.8¢ | $12.9K | Proven+$23.86 per $100 · 101 bets |
| Paul9739730xa108…abd3 | No | 12,766 | 94.0¢ | $12.6K | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 1,137 bets |
| alwaysOn0xc550…272d | No | 11,334 | 92.9¢ | $11.2K | Positive+$1.59 per $100 · 1,030 bets |
| pilimili0xd104…acef | No | 10,000 | 86.0¢ | $9.9K | Losing−$3.33 per $100 · 265 bets |
| macubeck1340x599b…b542 | No | 8,923 | 91.0¢ | $8.84K | New6 settled bets |
| bosshog0x47ab…95df | No | 8,799 | 91.0¢ | $8.72K | Positive+$1.02 per $100 · 1,839 bets |
| vitamin.eth0x4f0e…8775 | No | 7,358 | 95.0¢ | $7.29K | New30 settled bets |
| SLVRBTM0x026f…f9fc | No | 5,363 | 91.7¢ | $5.31K | New44 settled bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 5,347 | 81.8¢ | $5.3K | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| MisTKy0x35bb…009b | No | 4,614 | 86.0¢ | $4.57K | Positive+$1.10 per $100 · 1,166 bets |
| pullthetrigger0x0b0f…8cd9 | No | 4,530 | 87.8¢ | $4.49K | Positive+$2.05 per $100 · 323 bets |
| SleeperHunter0x606f…1083 | No | 4,000 | 93.5¢ | $3.96K | Positive+$1.81 per $100 · 377 bets |
| silent0x579e…fef5 | No | 4,000 | 92.3¢ | $3.96K | New89 settled bets |
| johnnyA0x11f3…d859 | No | 3,794 | 94.1¢ | $3.76K | Proven+$2.24 per $100 · 870 bets |
| yonips0x19e6…3d37 | No | 3,786 | 92.3¢ | $3.75K | New73 settled bets |
| 0x7d93…fdef | No | 3,450 | 84.2¢ | $3.42K | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 12,555 bets |
| CP-directional0x07e1…27af | No | 3,352 | 97.6¢ | $3.32K | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 141 bets |
| 0x56e7…7c0b | No | 3,325 | 94.0¢ | $3.29K | Proven+$6.11 per $100 · 156 bets |
| Avamax0xc97b…47e5 | No | 3,100 | 98.0¢ | $3.07K | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 721 bets |
| eastpak0x06ac…79ec | No | 3,004 | 95.0¢ | $2.98K | Break-even−$0.73 per $100 · 297 bets |
| justme0030xcb89…a2e8 | No | 3,000 | 97.7¢ | $2.97K | Losing−$1.29 per $100 · 343 bets |
| zine130xd43f…f1fc | No | 3,000 | 94.0¢ | $2.97K | New89 settled bets |
| panflash0xf1f4…cd2e | No | 3,000 | 94.0¢ | $2.97K | New60 settled bets |
| mmmia0xc966…6f52 | No | 2,806 | 94.0¢ | $2.78K | New0 settled bets |
| 18in36out0xa684…a33f | No | 2,600 | 98.5¢ | $2.58K | New28 settled bets |
| YellowSnake0x2c6f…deee | No | 2,581 | 90.7¢ | $2.56K | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 240 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 2,455 | 90.7¢ | $2.43K | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,042 bets |
| Bertapotamous0x134a…9e42 | No | 2,400 | 78.0¢ | $2.38K | Proven+$2.56 per $100 · 4,216 bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | No | 2,245 | 94.0¢ | $2.22K | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,931 bets |
| sladky0x5e4c…de5b | No | 2,040 | 87.9¢ | $2.02K | New98 settled bets |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 2,000 | 90.6¢ | $1.98K | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| 0xcdbc…f38b | Yes | 196,710 | 4.2¢ | $1.87K | Losing−$2.73 per $100 · 13,753 bets |
| 0x515e…ec0d | No | 1,809 | 95.4¢ | $1.79K | New79 settled bets |
| tja0xe1b3…1426 | No | 1,800 | 74.1¢ | $1.78K | Proven+$10.80 per $100 · 1,660 bets |
| macubeck0x00eb…97bb | No | 1,724 | 90.0¢ | $1.71K | — |
| 0xf2b0…b26b | No | 1,570 | 90.7¢ | $1.56K | — |
| konsomida0x60c6…247f | Yes | 163,666 | 3.0¢ | $1.55K | Positive+$3.21 per $100 · 750 bets |
| Warren-Buffett0x4478…02a4 | Yes | 92,902 | 5.4¢ | $883 | Proven+$3.05 per $100 · 1,767 bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | Yes | 67,264 | 9.6¢ | $639 | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,712 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 54,471 | 8.2¢ | $517 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| 0x25db…28de | Yes | 43,283 | 1.3¢ | $411 | Losing−$3.30 per $100 · 437 bets |
| BigRabbit0xeb22…808a | Yes | 34,095 | 17.3¢ | $324 | Positive+$4.46 per $100 · 2,227 bets |
| BrightStars0xc84f…e0c5 | Yes | 28,474 | 5.0¢ | $271 | Proven+$3.33 per $100 · 325 bets |
| aosdijf0x1963…9bfd | Yes | 27,890 | 6.1¢ | $265 | Positive+$11.72 per $100 · 577 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 26,049 | 5.8¢ | $247 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| 0xfc2f…10c7 | Yes | 24,076 | 6.7¢ | $229 | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 1,149 bets |
| Jw19110xe5c6…7c8d | Yes | 22,605 | 6.8¢ | $215 | New23 settled bets |
| classified0x12d6…f2a8 | Yes | 19,716 | 1.0¢ | $187 | Positive+$3.90 per $100 · 1,966 bets |
| 1nvoker10x748a…3c56 | Yes | 19,009 | 5.0¢ | $181 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 914 bets |
| groth0x71ab…f015 | Yes | 19,000 | 1.6¢ | $181 | Proven+$20.70 per $100 · 539 bets |
| DerDon0xf797…0bf2 | Yes | 13,375 | 12.9¢ | $127 | Proven+$4.32 per $100 · 4,225 bets |
| MerhabaKardesim0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | 10,690 | 14.2¢ | $102 | Positive+$4.34 per $100 · 1,100 bets |
| Cungly0x5ccf…79d7 | Yes | 10,413 | 4.8¢ | $99 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 1,625 bets |
| GOLADS960x894d…04e2 | Yes | 10,000 | 3.8¢ | $95 | New56 settled bets |
| mattydegen0x87dd…2af7 | Yes | 9,340 | 8.6¢ | $89 | New14 settled bets |
| -FROMTHEFUTURE-0x4b8c…9e5d | Yes | 8,290 | 1.3¢ | $79 | Losing−$12.39 per $100 · 523 bets |
| appadopa0xe78e…ded3 | Yes | 7,500 | 2.0¢ | $71 | New15 settled bets |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | Yes | 6,509 | 4.6¢ | $62 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 625 bets |
| 151hah0x89d7…dbb1 | Yes | 6,018 | 3.6¢ | $57 | Losing−$11.87 per $100 · 132 bets |
| 0x9178…a2b2 | Yes | 5,000 | 2.0¢ | $48 | Proven+$6.27 per $100 · 2,206 bets |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 4,942 | 4.1¢ | $47 | Losing−$5.32 per $100 · 30,060+ bets · updating |
| compute0xd0d9…d6db | Yes | 3,911 | 2.2¢ | $37 | Positive+$5.67 per $100 · 360 bets |
| cambridgeisaac0xb51b…b4d9 | Yes | 3,877 | 7.8¢ | $37 | Proven+$2.35 per $100 · 2,451 bets |
| Toncar160x4158…ce9f | Yes | 3,796 | 13.2¢ | $36 | Positive+$17.76 per $100 · 2,040 bets |
| salomonherro30xbe21…65e5 | Yes | 3,711 | 26.9¢ | $35 | Losing−$9.91 per $100 · 117 bets |
| pieped0xf440…b009 | Yes | 3,518 | 5.0¢ | $33 | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 179 bets |
| FEAROFWHAT0x3437…f8f3 | Yes | 3,156 | 15.4¢ | $30 | Proven+$2.61 per $100 · 624 bets |
| seehi0x4451…fcbe | Yes | 3,000 | 8.2¢ | $28 | Losing−$7.83 per $100 · 359 bets |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | Yes | 2,888 | 6.4¢ | $27 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 569 bets |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | Yes | 2,709 | 6.2¢ | $26 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| Morfi0070x929d…7ee3 | Yes | 2,500 | 6.1¢ | $24 | Proven+$17.00 per $100 · 549 bets |
| ppxtu0xfb57…0a46 | Yes | 2,400 | 9.0¢ | $23 | New85 settled bets |
| utb0xdaea…49f9 | Yes | 2,289 | 3.5¢ | $22 | New18 settled bets |
| gamblito0x6452…30a1 | Yes | 2,122 | 9.5¢ | $20 | Losing−$6.12 per $100 · 391 bets |
| bobo0350x7d78…ffa6 | Yes | 2,100 | 8.0¢ | $20 | Positive+$4.69 per $100 · 278 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 2,018 | 7.0¢ | $19 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| JackBozo0x44a3…8a4a | Yes | 2,000 | 1.1¢ | $19 | New6 settled bets |
| asdf88880x46d6…8d38 | Yes | 2,000 | 2.3¢ | $19 | Losing−$38.70 per $100 · 241 bets |
| aaronjmars0xd398…f00b | Yes | 2,000 | 1.0¢ | $19 | — |
| Friday0x66c1…2c72 | Yes | 2,000 | 6.0¢ | $19 | Proven+$15.18 per $100 · 2,590 bets |
| adasol0x5297…7b99 | Yes | 1,997 | 0.8¢ | $19 | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 486 bets |
| hornyl0xf08e…2440 | Yes | 1,880 | 10.0¢ | $18 | Losing−$3.13 per $100 · 105 bets |
| cd30gfu530p00xfd5a…aa7a | Yes | 1,852 | 1.9¢ | $18 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 1,176 bets |
| Newshound0x5e73…6697 | Yes | 1,757 | 9.0¢ | $17 | Proven+$5.54 per $100 · 1,941 bets |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 1,720 | 7.0¢ | $16 | New65 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.