Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:25 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 13.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $10,000 | 17.3¢ | +4.8 pts |
| $100,000 | 53.2¢ | +40.7 pts |
| $500,000 | 64.4¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 12¢.
About $3.44K can be bought and $15.9K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 12.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 15:25 UTC.