Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:47 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 13.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $10,000 | 15.8¢ | +3.3 pts |
| $100,000 | 49.5¢ | +37.0 pts |
| $500,000 | 61.3¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 12¢.
About $3.94K can be bought and $7K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 12.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 12:47 UTC.