Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 13.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $10,000 | 16.2¢ | +3.7 pts |
| $100,000 | 51.7¢ | +39.2 pts |
| $500,000 | 63.1¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 12¢.
About $4.35K can be bought and $17K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 12.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 15:22 UTC.
72 traders bet this week.