Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 07:11 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| forinnerpsandr1x112220x5c14…cc49 | No | 25,466 | 90.8¢ | $24.5K | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 298 bets |
| Bet1nthedark0x8b88…5f5e | No | 6,000 | 87.9¢ | $5.76K | Losing−$1.48 per $100 · 263 bets |
| 0xa9f3…4bce | No | 4,790 | 93.4¢ | $4.6K | Losing−$13.89 per $100 · 120 bets |
| pagliacci40x9b55…1167 | No | 3,014 | 95.4¢ | $2.9K | — |
| Talophex0xd0db…b117 | No | 1,922 | 95.7¢ | $1.85K | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 1,929 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | No | 1,240 | 86.2¢ | $1.19K | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 729 | 90.6¢ | $700 | Losing−$2.92 per $100 · 1,163 bets |
| 05610x6e9a…f3bb | No | 700 | 92.4¢ | $672 | — |
| doubleone20xff91…ab3a | No | 568 | 93.2¢ | $546 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 833 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 500 | 87.2¢ | $480 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| Abc09010x3cbd…9742 | No | 450 | 95.7¢ | $432 | New38 settled bets |
| taketwobruw0x284b…f1dd | Yes | 9,833 | 15.7¢ | $388 | — |
| 0x652b…f5c2 | Yes | 5,218 | 5.3¢ | $206 | Proven+$9.60 per $100 · 493 bets |
| rocky420150x2c1a…42d8 | No | 211 | 96.9¢ | $203 | Break-even−$0.77 per $100 · 9,653 bets |
| Michael52890x3c76…d4ee | No | 200 | 87.1¢ | $192 | — |
| 3l-panpan0x1b00…238b | Yes | 3,923 | 4.9¢ | $155 | — |
| MtnMark0x70ff…b65f | Yes | 3,909 | 7.3¢ | $154 | Positive+$40.45 per $100 · 239 bets |
| timoha910xced4…d1dd | No | 149 | 94.4¢ | $143 | — |
| pollution0x4574…ab3e | No | 139 | 84.9¢ | $134 | — |
| SickandTired0x290d…dc40 | No | 131 | 77.0¢ | $126 | Break-even−$0.39 per $100 · 1,223 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 125 | 92.9¢ | $120 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,993 bets |
| Lunarixx0x6d5b…84b3 | No | 120 | 91.8¢ | $116 | — |
| 0x9a35…4d50 | No | 110 | 95.0¢ | $106 | — |
| dmitrdv0xca8c…5d88 | No | 108 | 93.3¢ | $103 | — |
| 0x9366…6350 | Yes | 2,605 | 18.6¢ | $103 | New88 settled bets |
| GonzaloRF0x448b…181a | Yes | 2,500 | 4.0¢ | $99 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 2,244 | 2.2¢ | $89 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,075 bets |
| EdwardVera0x3437…0335 | Yes | 1,491 | 4.1¢ | $59 | New69 settled bets |
| 0xa9c2…a542 | No | 55 | 87.6¢ | $53 | — |
| 0x0524…1479 | No | 50 | 94.0¢ | $48 | Break-even−$0.42 per $100 · 10,879 bets |
| StasPanda0x7e5e…7315 | Yes | 1,200 | 11.0¢ | $47 | Losing−$5.60 per $100 · 1,254 bets |
| 0x34f6…307f | No | 49 | 92.3¢ | $47 | — |
| yzj1230x4887…a4fd | Yes | 1,111 | 9.4¢ | $44 | New0 settled bets |
| DegenerateJanet0x8964…0bec | Yes | 1,092 | 3.6¢ | $43 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 666 bets |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 42 | 94.3¢ | $40 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 524 bets |
| OTOMATIK0x3295…45a0 | Yes | 1,000 | 4.2¢ | $40 | — |
| glassred0xf0fc…c715 | Yes | 965 | 7.6¢ | $38 | New69 settled bets |
| JoeTheMeteorologist0x1838…29b4 | Yes | 950 | 4.5¢ | $38 | Positive+$39.21 per $100 · 4,519 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 897 | 1.9¢ | $35 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,245 bets |
| galleog0xfac7…22a5 | No | 30 | 96.2¢ | $29 | — |
| RICchh0x8406…96fa | Yes | 721 | 5.5¢ | $28 | — |
| 0xc154…0637 | Yes | 678 | 11.0¢ | $27 | — |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 565 | 22.3¢ | $22 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 23 | 77.0¢ | $22 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | No | 20 | 86.0¢ | $19 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 1,658 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 20 | 90.0¢ | $19 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| iusnaturale0xbd06…a6f5 | No | 20 | 87.6¢ | $19 | — |
| Elton19890x228e…0ad2 | Yes | 481 | 8.9¢ | $19 | New26 settled bets |
| refuri0xdce7…f553 | Yes | 475 | 10.3¢ | $19 | Losing−$19.21 per $100 · 161 bets |
| jiang626770xa89c…143d | Yes | 432 | 3.6¢ | $17 | — |
| ItsRigg3d0x6d04…0e1b | Yes | 420 | 7.1¢ | $17 | New90 settled bets |
| 0xf3e0…52c2 | Yes | 380 | 5.5¢ | $15 | — |
| 0xd222…fdb5 | Yes | 315 | 7.3¢ | $12 | — |
| PNP0xf1dc…5460 | Yes | 300 | 4.2¢ | $12 | — |
| WatchTheTape0xdd28…374a | No | 11 | 87.6¢ | $11 | Losing−$1.82 per $100 · 2,234 bets |
| Basilomo0x86ba…3694 | No | 10 | 96.4¢ | $10 | — |
| asdfasd110x0680…4ba7 | No | 10 | 93.9¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 6,368 bets |
| lottonakamoto0x2884…d0c3 | No | 10 | 92.4¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 991 bets |
| lll981kd0x33c4…4ad5 | No | 10 | 87.0¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.11 per $100 · 4,080 bets |
| Alta-trola0x56e3…521c | No | 10 | 86.0¢ | $10 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 754 bets |
| asdfll10x601f…bb82 | No | 10 | 93.1¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 7,353 bets |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | No | 10 | 93.9¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.63 per $100 · 3,025 bets |
| 8dddj0x78cb…c94e | No | 10 | 86.0¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.15 per $100 · 4,000 bets |
| pashan0xad78…2e2d | No | 10 | 93.3¢ | $10 | — |
| asdfasdf110xc216…888c | No | 10 | 82.0¢ | $10 | — |
| alfredon9960xc96a…702c | No | 10 | 92.4¢ | $10 | — |
| kk8s118es0xe39f…f224 | No | 10 | 83.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xf965…ccb0 | No | 10 | 91.4¢ | $9 | New34 settled bets |
| Touge0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | 235 | 4.7¢ | $9 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 317 bets |
| Oddsman1010x36d0…8dce | Yes | 200 | 7.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$9.93 per $100 · 468 bets |
| 0xae85…befa | Yes | 199 | 8.3¢ | $8 | — |
| amghost0x363f…ee04 | Yes | 187 | 4.6¢ | $7 | — |
| Tony470xeab8…a07e | Yes | 180 | 6.0¢ | $7 | — |
| Jokkede0x6fc3…9b96 | No | 7 | 74.0¢ | $7 | — |
| ninjapiraatti0x4023…2241 | Yes | 159 | 8.4¢ | $6 | — |
| Unfeared0x27ec…e521 | Yes | 156 | 6.5¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 5,685 bets |
| win0aaaaa0x0f15…c422 | Yes | 140 | 4.7¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x51de…9e4a | Yes | 125 | 4.3¢ | $5 | Positive+$13.59 per $100 · 238 bets |
| turuncudana0xf3b5…0c33 | No | 5 | 91.9¢ | $5 | New15 settled bets |
| Faust19990x66cf…9eaa | Yes | 120 | 8.7¢ | $5 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 5 | 90.5¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| 0x637b…8b3c | Yes | 113 | 4.6¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xcba2…7bd4 | Yes | 113 | 18.6¢ | $4 | — |
| islandsta0x9d6c…3407 | Yes | 105 | 4.5¢ | $4 | — |
| overdos970x452c…f141 | Yes | 91 | 5.5¢ | $4 | — |
| eduarbot0xeab8…db33 | No | 4 | 96.7¢ | $4 | — |
| romanew-3-150x2ab3…07bc | Yes | 83 | 6.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x1dcd…78db | Yes | 83 | 13.3¢ | $3 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 81 | 12.2¢ | $3 | Losing−$7.62 per $100 · 411,170 bets |
| wood4890x1143…28d6 | Yes | 77 | 13.6¢ | $3 | — |
| Mr-guess0x140e…ea2f | Yes | 69 | 15.2¢ | $3 | — |
| yunlongnick0x4d76…64b9 | Yes | 56 | 8.4¢ | $2 | — |
| lastblademon0x2a55…dde6 | Yes | 56 | 9.4¢ | $2 | — |
| MCGAAAAA0xe3a5…6e00 | Yes | 55 | 11.1¢ | $2 | — |
| ovolou0x4174…0340 | No | 2 | 92.4¢ | $2 | — |
| ForestWindy0x274c…61df | Yes | 50 | 7.3¢ | $2 | — |
| hilaobote0xbf98…d0bf | Yes | 50 | 8.4¢ | $2 | — |
| Magnof0xe3bd…bf84 | Yes | 49 | 4.8¢ | $2 | — |
| cy6erpunker0x2783…8321 | No | 1 | 89.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 703 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 6 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.