Market · 1 of 4 outcomes
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 11:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | No | 12,393 | 56.0¢ | $6.88K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,103 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | No | 5,671 | 33.9¢ | $3.15K | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 968 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 5,742 | 35.1¢ | $2.56K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,398 bets |
| Specksalam0x80f1…3ccd | Yes | 4,394 | 31.3¢ | $1.96K | New88 settled bets |
| ELICHOU0x312b…cafe | No | 3,400 | 67.6¢ | $1.89K | Positive+$13.83 per $100 · 118 bets |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 2,000 | 76.3¢ | $890 | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 6,924 bets |
| eCash0x62cf…5826 | Yes | 1,941 | 48.6¢ | $864 | Proven+$6.08 per $100 · 628 bets |
| outcomes0x03c8…0e01 | Yes | 1,925 | 59.1¢ | $857 | Proven+$18.81 per $100 · 883 bets |
| Catfly0xd8dc…0222 | No | 1,100 | 33.0¢ | $611 | New8 settled bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 1,307 | 60.5¢ | $582 | Positive+$2.09 per $100 · 3,320 bets |
| MrMelonHead0x9f66…3a50 | No | 1,029 | 51.9¢ | $571 | — |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 1,019 | 70.8¢ | $566 | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 1,223 | 66.0¢ | $544 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | 1,058 | 65.4¢ | $471 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 694 bets |
| PedroD20000xd852…4797 | No | 800 | 59.5¢ | $444 | — |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 830 | 60.1¢ | $369 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,063 bets |
| PRG110x28e2…dc45 | No | 618 | 65.0¢ | $343 | New46 settled bets |
| CHIKI330xff52…4546 | Yes | 720 | 35.0¢ | $320 | — |
| chaosj880xca12…ea03 | Yes | 697 | 44.4¢ | $310 | Proven+$2.86 per $100 · 3,013 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | Yes | 679 | 56.2¢ | $302 | Proven+$2.01 per $100 · 20,221 bets |
| Toncar160x4158…ce9f | Yes | 634 | 49.2¢ | $282 | Positive+$17.60 per $100 · 2,043 bets |
| 0xd640…480c | No | 495 | 52.0¢ | $275 | Losing−$32.74 per $100 · 775 bets |
| vvvibu0xe6d8…c39a | Yes | 595 | 33.6¢ | $265 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 587 | 66.5¢ | $261 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 578 | 54.0¢ | $257 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,922 bets |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 523 | 66.4¢ | $233 | Losing−$3.04 per $100 · 5,169 bets |
| kaixinwan0xbdd4…eaf5 | Yes | 511 | 55.0¢ | $227 | — |
| Poivre0x714f…66d5 | No | 400 | 22.0¢ | $222 | Positive+$5.01 per $100 · 1,441 bets |
| nmnr0xcb86…feda | No | 379 | 53.0¢ | $211 | — |
| 0x4e84…ef69 | Yes | 446 | 62.7¢ | $199 | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 821 bets |
| sdfsdfsdfsdf20x321e…9292 | Yes | 434 | 65.0¢ | $193 | Losing−$7.73 per $100 · 16,779 bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | Yes | 400 | 59.7¢ | $178 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | No | 318 | 66.1¢ | $177 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| 0x473c…0f94 | No | 300 | 59.3¢ | $167 | — |
| ifyouloveme0x5a0d…fa97 | No | 294 | 34.0¢ | $163 | Proven+$2.73 per $100 · 571 bets |
| boki12340x5594…b390 | No | 290 | 24.7¢ | $161 | — |
| autisem0xea41…1c98 | Yes | 323 | 40.7¢ | $144 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 288 | 70.4¢ | $128 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 195,038 bets |
| peterfromfamilyguy0x9352…2227 | No | 202 | 77.5¢ | $112 | Proven+$4.36 per $100 · 699 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 180 | 65.0¢ | $100 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 225 | 51.1¢ | $100 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| 0x6ead…14f8 | No | 157 | 66.8¢ | $87 | Positive+$6.58 per $100 · 200 bets |
| rocky420230xd035…f165 | Yes | 181 | 60.0¢ | $81 | — |
| cololo0xfd77…d379 | No | 139 | 64.0¢ | $77 | Losing−$3.67 per $100 · 2,065 bets |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | No | 139 | 32.0¢ | $77 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,245 bets |
| gogo470x468b…09f4 | Yes | 161 | 31.0¢ | $72 | New14 settled bets |
| WarriorH0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | 156 | 67.0¢ | $69 | Positive+$3.64 per $100 · 14,872 bets |
| 0xf2e7…843e | Yes | 150 | 31.0¢ | $67 | — |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | No | 120 | 69.0¢ | $67 | — |
| leadernew0x9c2d…1b16 | No | 105 | 65.0¢ | $58 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 96 | 45.0¢ | $53 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| infoowl0xbeb1…2630 | No | 80 | 26.0¢ | $44 | — |
| anonBuyer0x67ca…511d | Yes | 98 | 51.2¢ | $44 | — |
| LeChatonFat0x9629…ee15 | Yes | 98 | 48.4¢ | $44 | — |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | Yes | 94 | 30.0¢ | $42 | Break-even+$0.32 per $100 · 3,316 bets |
| V4grant0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | 94 | 32.0¢ | $42 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 82 | 46.0¢ | $37 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,781 bets |
| 0x91c7…b576 | Yes | 80 | 45.1¢ | $36 | Losing−$1.95 per $100 · 584 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 73 | 43.0¢ | $32 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,081 bets |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 64 | 73.0¢ | $28 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| Pantheon10x606e…6b3a | No | 50 | 31.0¢ | $28 | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 477 bets |
| AboutTime0x789a…1dda | Yes | 56 | 53.8¢ | $25 | — |
| garbagefriends0xc5bd…ceaa | No | 45 | 29.3¢ | $25 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 1,711 bets |
| addav0x5f4f…915c | Yes | 53 | 49.4¢ | $24 | — |
| NERA0x9e9a…5d99 | No | 40 | 73.0¢ | $22 | Losing−$5.08 per $100 · 508 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 48 | 30.0¢ | $21 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,301 bets |
| 0xd324…b23c | No | 36 | 56.0¢ | $20 | — |
| SaraDuterte0x23cc…4f5a | No | 30 | 43.6¢ | $17 | Break-even−$0.01 per $100 · 14,000 bets |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | No | 30 | 42.0¢ | $17 | Positive+$2.10 per $100 · 988 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 34 | 25.0¢ | $15 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,995 bets |
| 0x0174…95b0 | Yes | 31 | 32.0¢ | $14 | — |
| 0x4dc0…b5b8 | Yes | 31 | 32.0¢ | $14 | New13 settled bets |
| Milin-dc0x2762…2cf6 | Yes | 30 | 52.7¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 1,658 bets |
| 0xbeef…620e | Yes | 27 | 52.9¢ | $12 | — |
| plyworke0020x6e63…07ae | Yes | 25 | 63.0¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 668 bets |
| 0xd711…749c | Yes | 25 | 49.8¢ | $11 | — |
| geylord200x5937…11da | No | 20 | 50.7¢ | $11 | New85 settled bets |
| ogi2500x3373…3716 | Yes | 23 | 64.5¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.11 per $100 · 3,308 bets |
| Ouuu-shi0xbdbb…a2cd | Yes | 20 | 48.0¢ | $9 | — |
| vlkv.junior0xbdc2…af19 | Yes | 20 | 55.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x17d5…482e | No | 15 | 67.0¢ | $8 | New2 settled bets |
| 0x20ce…006f | No | 14 | 70.8¢ | $8 | — |
| adsfasdf1130x0dba…2db9 | No | 10 | 20.0¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.02 per $100 · 7,693 bets |
| asdfll10x601f…bb82 | No | 10 | 30.0¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 7,441 bets |
| Seer-U0x635d…43f8 | No | 10 | 38.8¢ | $6 | — |
| aaadda0xa840…87f7 | No | 10 | 45.0¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 4,316 bets |
| asd560xda65…e87e | No | 10 | 28.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0805260x9ad7…4084 | No | 9 | 53.0¢ | $5 | — |
| wagdab0x4c5c…685d | No | 6 | 51.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Po1yBot-wfDDVt3EQS0x8ca4…7e83 | No | 6 | 87.0¢ | $3 | — |
| congmqian-gendan0x9e16…7a42 | No | 5 | 69.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x51f0…30d4 | No | 5 | 58.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | 3 | 46.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x377f…e8f9 | No | 3 | 71.1¢ | $2 | Proven+$7.36 per $100 · 217 bets |
| Agitator0xc4c6…63c1 | No | 2 | 54.0¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.