Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 09:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Kraken, 0 on Flyers. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FaroeseNationalist0xedbb…63b8 | Kraken | 2,222 | 49.7¢ | $2.22K | Proven+$2.86 per $100 · 757 bets |
| 0xd9e0…05f2 | Kraken | 135 | 50.3¢ | $135 | Positive+$1.84 per $100 · 52,997 bets |
| 0x9491…5eab | Kraken | 10 | 51.2¢ | $10 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Kraken | 5 | 53.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.50 per $100 · 125,579+ bets · updating |
| 0x0e09…ec85 | Kraken | 4 | 50.7¢ | $4 | — |
| dabossrealman0xc0e4…dd38 | Kraken | 0 | 61.2¢ | $0 | Proven+$3.63 per $100 · 7,185 bets |
| Rakatraka0xc9cc…59de | Kraken | 0 | 83.7¢ | $0 | Proven+$8.74 per $100 · 1,986 bets |
| Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26 | Flyers | 175,164 | 52.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.55 per $100 · 1,355 bets |
| viboomchuu0x291d…1f97 | Flyers | 38,250 | 54.1¢ | $0 | — |
| rustin0xaa07…2125 | Flyers | 35,581 | 52.3¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.30 per $100 · 1,437 bets |
| Donkey140xcd84…bec6 | Flyers | 20,408 | 51.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.45 per $100 · 612 bets |
| roldy0x3e04…564d | Flyers | 6,000 | 50.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.59 per $100 · 4,891 bets |
| royalestake0xfb68…a240 | Flyers | 5,000 | 51.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$9.72 per $100 · 916 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Flyers | 2,255 | 51.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.39 per $100 · 16,513 bets |
| Scotty1550xc6ec…81c2 | Flyers | 1,738 | 39.5¢ | $0 | — |
| dinimami0x5331…3672 | Flyers | 1,702 | 44.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.81 per $100 · 1,642 bets |
| yakz0xf140…7cd8 | Flyers | 1,500 | 51.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.61 per $100 · 1,261 bets |
| Miami2220xe301…9bd9 | Flyers | 1,306 | 51.1¢ | $0 | — |
| TheodoreDoesntPlay0xa292…7025 | Flyers | 1,200 | 51.0¢ | $0 | — |
| vittu0x2857…3e27 | Flyers | 1,000 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.48 per $100 · 266 bets |
| LFP2720x528f…2101 | Flyers | 925 | 53.7¢ | $0 | Losing−$4.49 per $100 · 2,436 bets |
| TheShortLong0xeb4e…c3c3 | Flyers | 600 | 55.0¢ | $0 | — |
| DCAAA0x0c99…0c88 | Flyers | 524 | 21.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 56,021 bets |
| jonesy910x4c03…f8be | Flyers | 408 | 51.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.46 per $100 · 520 bets |
| .zzzz0x1769…94ef | Flyers | 300 | 51.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 4everandever0xe6fb…ee11 | Flyers | 275 | 51.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf725…1e61 | Flyers | 250 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.47 per $100 · 30,152+ bets · updating |
| pumpanickle3330xd304…3ed2 | Flyers | 250 | 51.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Poolymath0x7e34…63f7 | Flyers | 200 | 52.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e4b…0a04 | Flyers | 199 | 50.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 141f13aE0c0x0373…3e8c | Flyers | 196 | 52.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.00 per $100 · 1,432 bets |
| Po1yamory0x5628…abbc | Flyers | 180 | 51.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 30,435 bets |
| 0x5b62…d87f | Flyers | 160 | 51.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,028 bets |
| Bukerjob0x67e2…22c5 | Flyers | 157 | 52.2¢ | $0 | — |
| justaguy30xe026…0404 | Flyers | 146 | 52.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Kng470xad18…0b4f | Flyers | 127 | 48.3¢ | $0 | — |
| israeli.0xbcce…2b20 | Flyers | 112 | 52.2¢ | $0 | — |
| St-Qc0x371a…34b0 | Flyers | 111 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$35.54 per $100 · 24,608 bets |
| 0x48jd0ql531a6k7y4z0x0a7c…8964 | Flyers | 109 | 52.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8351…9beb | Flyers | 96 | 53.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.23 per $100 · 2,922 bets |
| todamooon0x9e63…7e29 | Flyers | 95 | 54.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8a58…4890 | Flyers | 75 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| fizzwont0x3003…30f5 | Flyers | 72 | 53.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.28 per $100 · 1,026 bets |
| yuyakowako0x6b1d…a01a | Flyers | 67 | 53.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.45 per $100 · 614 bets |
| 0x7c14…5783 | Flyers | 66 | 21.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.32 per $100 · 1,978 bets |
| ArkadiaGG0x4ab0…ffa8 | Flyers | 58 | 52.9¢ | $0 | — |
| sweise0xb8f6…4f7f | Flyers | 49 | 51.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8a11…9282 | Flyers | 46 | 53.2¢ | $0 | — |
| mtp9090xa806…d49d | Flyers | 40 | 52.2¢ | $0 | — |
| sinhtuycanh0xab96…8d69 | Flyers | 40 | 52.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf593…9553 | Flyers | 40 | 51.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 00HE0x10af…2d06 | Flyers | 36 | 55.2¢ | $0 | — |
| igot50k0x60ec…f7b0 | Flyers | 31 | 48.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.00 per $100 · 15,966 bets |
| idanchen0x10cc…3574 | Flyers | 29 | 26.0¢ | $0 | — |
| LuckyLoo0x52d9…fb1a | Flyers | 28 | 51.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.47 per $100 · 86,300 bets |
| akindoakindo0x38ef…8800 | Flyers | 27 | 49.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 2,483 bets |
Shares = Kraken minus Flyers for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.