Market · 1 of 9 outcomes
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 02:16 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Kraken money sits with 1 account that holds just as much Flyers. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
8 proven traders are on Kraken, 7 on Flyers. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talvez100xa710…23c4 | Kraken | 200,000 | 49.3¢ | $200K | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 1,593 bets |
| mooseborzoii0x1f3a…895d | Kraken | 50,365 | 49.2¢ | $50.3K |
Shares = Kraken minus Flyers for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319 | Kraken | 23,700 | 47.2¢ | $23.7K | Positive+$4.24 per $100 · 110,266 bets |
| 0x17c4…2471 | Kraken | 12,061 | 53.8¢ | $12.1K | New47 settled bets |
| Sharky69990x751a…9ea1 | Kraken | 6,813 | 99.9¢ | $6.81K | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 34,770 bets |
| RN10x2005…75ea | Kraken | 5,969 | 52.0¢ | $5.97K | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 257,854 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 440 shares each side · Show
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