Market · 25 of 327 outcomes
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 19:08 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Bears money sits with 1 account that holds just as much Falcons. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Bears, 0 on Falcons. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mde4life19860x54ce…9f80 | Bears | 6,280 | 56.7¢ | $3.93K | Proven+$15.10 per $100 · 321 bets |
| 65123953145978840x796f…00f6 | Falcons | 4,358 | 44.1¢ | $1.63K |
Shares = Bears minus Falcons for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Albertomk0xda2e…8904 | Falcons | 3,578 | 39.1¢ | $1.34K | — |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Bears | 688 | 61.5¢ | $430 | Break-even−$0.06 per $100 · 60,706+ bets · updating |
| nigiri990xdc41…dd7e | Bears | 518 | 61.0¢ | $324 | Losing−$2.97 per $100 · 32,577 bets |
| roldy0x3e04…564d | Bears | 394 | 62.0¢ | $247 | Break-even−$0.63 per $100 · 4,876 bets |
| BoomLaLa0xe401…7b88 | Bears | 344 | 61.0¢ | $215 | Proven+$2.79 per $100 · 58,602 bets |
| 0xc249…8a61 | Falcons | 545 | 39.7¢ | $204 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 88,313+ bets · updating |
| Herdonia0xd106…c79c | Bears | 298 | 62.0¢ | $186 | Break-even+$0.03 per $100 · 14,648 bets |
| sha123450x9d8c…2799 | Bears | 225 | 57.7¢ | $141 | — |
| Oddstorm0xefde…6505 | Bears | 69 | 63.7¢ | $43 | — |
| Telekinesis880xe44b…6e0a | Falcons | 100 | 38.7¢ | $38 | — |
| 0x90a6…6673 | Bears | 54 | 57.7¢ | $34 | — |
| bretonpicks0x5ab6…aa36 | Falcons | 66 | 38.7¢ | $25 | Losing−$5.15 per $100 · 324 bets |
| yeawn0x425b…e1fd | Bears | 32 | 63.7¢ | $20 | — |
| GreggZS0x8ff6…5b31 | Falcons | 53 | 38.7¢ | $20 | — |
| jwingren740xda54…7959 | Falcons | 53 | 38.7¢ | $20 | — |
| ShaolinTEA0xe567…f0cf | Falcons | 51 | 39.7¢ | $19 | — |
| VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294 | Falcons | 51 | 37.0¢ | $19 | Break-even+$0.41 per $100 · 132,532 bets |
| ahms0x3e6b…8a98 | Bears | 21 | 62.0¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 27,827 bets |
| mnjhgy70xe015…f5e1 | Bears | 20 | 63.7¢ | $13 | — |
| ddd1410xfa68…ba5d | Bears | 19 | 53.0¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x5c54…f1d2 | Bears | 18 | 50.0¢ | $11 | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 18,452 bets |
| manbyka0xb340…d76c | Bears | 18 | 57.7¢ | $11 | — |
| hgr10xab89…98e0 | Bears | 18 | 57.7¢ | $11 | — |
| de4th.to.russian.invaders0xd443…5f71 | Falcons | 29 | 43.0¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.95 per $100 · 27,930 bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Bears | 17 | 59.1¢ | $11 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| gdhffgdrsfrg0xbc3c…77a1 | Bears | 16 | 63.7¢ | $10 | — |
| Moalhashimi10x80c5…168a | Falcons | 26 | 39.7¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xb5bc…7476 | Bears | 15 | 63.7¢ | $10 | — |
| rfgte4rr0xad13…8557 | Bears | 15 | 63.7¢ | $9 | — |
| mihoyminoy0x3044…834b | Bears | 13 | 63.7¢ | $8 | — |
| cdsyiede0x09dc…d0a4 | Falcons | 20 | 38.7¢ | $8 | — |
| bubububblebutt0xb220…5f71 | Falcons | 20 | 38.7¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xe0c0…3428 | Falcons | 18 | 50.0¢ | $7 | — |
| TimPenis0x5430…fbbb | Falcons | 16 | 38.7¢ | $6 | Losing−$4.94 per $100 · 3,875 bets |
| rfreffre0x9c32…967d | Falcons | 16 | 38.7¢ | $6 | — |
| re4r4rdc0x0a74…56e2 | Falcons | 15 | 38.7¢ | $6 | — |
| xenno-8680xa143…bfef | Falcons | 14 | 37.7¢ | $5 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Falcons | 12 | 37.0¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| m7md059k0xb4af…92cc | Falcons | 11 | 47.7¢ | $4 | — |
| lostbuthaveam0x6f86…9484 | Falcons | 11 | 38.7¢ | $4 | — |
| Neptunetides0x1491…919b | Falcons | 10 | 39.7¢ | $4 | — |
| OVO9110xa5dd…4be8 | Bears | 3 | 63.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x6a29…7c8a | Falcons | 5 | 38.7¢ | $2 | — |
| jlevman0x7e89…9ec6 | Falcons | 5 | 47.7¢ | $2 | — |
| PoorStamfordian0x7f8d…4a45 | Falcons | 5 | 38.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xd96a…d8ce | Falcons | 5 | 39.7¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xba7b…b3a8 | Bears | 2 | 63.7¢ | $1 | — |
| Pan9X0x3ca9…424a | Bears | 2 | 62.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 65,590 bets |
| 0x52d9…bb00 | Falcons | 3 | 40.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 3volve0xcd6f…56b6 | Falcons | 3 | 39.7¢ | $1 | — |
| jidongzhanshi0x50b6…437d | Falcons | 2 | 44.7¢ | $1 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 60 shares each side · Show
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