Market · 23 of 327 outcomes
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 09:08 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Bears, 0 on Falcons. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| mde4life19860x54ce…9f80 | Bears | 6,280 | 56.7¢ | $3.93K | Proven+$15.10 per $100 · 321 bets |
| 65123953145978840x796f…00f6 | Falcons | 4,358 | 44.1¢ | $1.63K | Break-even−$0.86 per $100 · 8,521 bets |
| Albertomk0xda2e…8904 | Falcons | 3,578 | 39.1¢ | $1.34K | — |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Bears | 688 | 61.5¢ | $430 | Break-even−$0.06 per $100 · 60,706+ bets · updating |
| nigiri990xdc41…dd7e | Bears | 521 | 61.0¢ | $326 | Losing−$2.97 per $100 · 32,577 bets |
| BoomLaLa0xe401…7b88 | Bears | 344 | 61.0¢ | $215 | Proven+$2.79 per $100 · 58,602 bets |
Shares = Bears minus Falcons for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
315 more outcomes in this event.