Market · 3 of 3 outcomes
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 10:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
Next US–Iran Senior Diplomatic Meeting · 1 event · $95.1K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 15 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | No | 3,847 | 63.2¢ | $3.33K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| 202606010xb36c…1077 | No | 3,343 | 79.9¢ | $2.89K | Proven+$4.69 per $100 · 216 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 3,106 | 82.0¢ | $2.69K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,398 bets |
| peterfromfamilyguy0x9352…2227 | No | 2,113 | 71.2¢ | $1.83K | Proven+$4.36 per $100 · 699 bets |
| Noname3330x6c17…6a7e | No | 1,737 | 80.6¢ | $1.5K | Proven+$4.18 per $100 · 460 bets |
| browne0xbf96…9942 | No | 1,733 | 80.0¢ | $1.5K | Proven+$2.87 per $100 · 306 bets |
| cookedquail0xff06…2f60 | No | 1,549 | 80.4¢ | $1.34K | Proven+$43.19 per $100 · 119 bets |
| RogerFed0xe958…66b7 | No | 1,500 | 79.7¢ | $1.3K | — |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No | 1,500 | 72.5¢ | $1.3K | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| macann0xe555…a91d | Yes | 7,891 | 21.0¢ | $1.07K | — |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 1,217 | 76.0¢ | $1.05K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| 8811120xd426…334a | Yes | 7,118 | 20.5¢ | $961 | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| Dragontree0x2c39…56dc | No | 1,067 | 23.8¢ | $923 | Proven+$2.67 per $100 · 3,241 bets |
| mamai0xabbe…8f37 | No | 1,059 | 69.9¢ | $916 | Losing−$7.39 per $100 · 667 bets |
| GOLADS960x894d…04e2 | No | 800 | 81.0¢ | $692 | New56 settled bets |
| MrMelonHead0x9f66…3a50 | No | 791 | 75.8¢ | $684 | — |
| MerhabaKardesim0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | 5,000 | 18.0¢ | $675 | Positive+$4.39 per $100 · 1,104 bets |
| groth0x71ab…f015 | No | 716 | 85.0¢ | $619 | Proven+$20.88 per $100 · 540 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 675 | 48.0¢ | $584 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,081 bets |
| Ko-san-1230x8792…4174 | No | 578 | 48.8¢ | $500 | Proven+$7.09 per $100 · 821 bets |
| 1nvoker10x748a…3c56 | No | 510 | 32.9¢ | $441 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 934 bets |
| tr10000x8a8b…375c | No | 504 | 77.3¢ | $436 | Losing−$2.06 per $100 · 6,303 bets |
| SleeperHunter0x606f…1083 | No | 500 | 71.0¢ | $433 | Positive+$1.81 per $100 · 377 bets |
| Septen0x4405…6a37 | No | 421 | 59.3¢ | $364 | Positive+$1.22 per $100 · 166 bets |
| beeff0xe042…b3cc | No | 402 | 74.0¢ | $348 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 367 | 78.1¢ | $317 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,994 bets |
| iNeedMoreDollars0xeda8…6ca8 | No | 302 | 67.0¢ | $261 | — |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | No | 300 | 80.0¢ | $260 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| bonalddrunk0x3089…92f6 | No | 286 | 76.7¢ | $248 | Losing−$6.72 per $100 · 933 bets |
| 0xfa4d…e4f5 | Yes | 1,793 | 16.5¢ | $242 | — |
| DawnOfYemen0xc34a…6007 | No | 250 | 80.4¢ | $216 | Proven+$3.27 per $100 · 1,824 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 1,522 | 20.0¢ | $205 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,062 bets |
| adasol0x5297…7b99 | No | 236 | 83.1¢ | $204 | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 491 bets |
| laureman0x1359…092e | Yes | 1,463 | 60.7¢ | $198 | Positive+$1.08 per $100 · 119 bets |
| melonmanm0x0787…0ca3 | No | 200 | 75.5¢ | $173 | Proven+$6.89 per $100 · 1,588 bets |
| dfupagain0x768f…c7bd | No | 200 | 75.0¢ | $173 | Positive+$1.84 per $100 · 1,358 bets |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 1,138 | 16.8¢ | $154 | Positive+$7.48 per $100 · 10,703 bets |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | No | 166 | 81.0¢ | $143 | Break-even+$0.32 per $100 · 3,316 bets |
| NUPlaystation0x6de9…752a | No | 154 | 71.0¢ | $133 | Losing−$7.92 per $100 · 274 bets |
| plytest20x08b4…624e | No | 152 | 82.0¢ | $131 | — |
| ply-top3-clost-twet0x0b4c…4277 | No | 152 | 82.0¢ | $131 | — |
| ToTheWindow0xdf90…41f0 | No | 150 | 73.0¢ | $130 | — |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | No | 144 | 47.0¢ | $125 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 579 bets |
| Newshound0x5e73…6697 | Yes | 918 | 48.8¢ | $124 | Proven+$5.54 per $100 · 1,942 bets |
| 0x7272…a67d | Yes | 862 | 46.0¢ | $116 | New74 settled bets |
| 0x4e84…ef69 | No | 133 | 83.1¢ | $115 | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 821 bets |
| Beat-m0x249e…3311 | Yes | 821 | 24.4¢ | $111 | — |
| 0xd324…b23c | No | 115 | 76.9¢ | $100 | — |
| F00Fi0x12ce…928f | No | 100 | 78.2¢ | $87 | Proven+$4.99 per $100 · 257 bets |
| 0x1aac…66fb | No | 100 | 55.0¢ | $87 | — |
| Eia0x166a…d7ed | Yes | 600 | 42.7¢ | $81 | Proven+$5.90 per $100 · 1,217 bets |
| ferraracesare0x5aa0…c2d1 | Yes | 570 | 60.3¢ | $77 | New32 settled bets |
| krill8100xde5a…2251 | Yes | 500 | 20.4¢ | $68 | New46 settled bets |
| Trading4Fridge0x2525…b919 | No | 75 | 44.0¢ | $65 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 2,428 bets |
| GodRama0x8b72…6dbe | Yes | 470 | 19.0¢ | $63 | Positive+$4.43 per $100 · 3,463 bets |
| 0x7130…5387 | No | 71 | 86.4¢ | $61 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 620 bets |
| 0x57e7…84e9 | No | 70 | 87.0¢ | $61 | Losing−$3.64 per $100 · 10,325 bets |
| Porx0xa0bc…d428 | Yes | 400 | 30.2¢ | $54 | Proven+$7.58 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| hping020x9e25…afd6 | No | 62 | 53.0¢ | $54 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 61 | 84.0¢ | $53 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,922 bets |
| VenomTrade0x27ab…1f86 | No | 57 | 86.0¢ | $49 | New55 settled bets |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 56 | 81.6¢ | $48 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| pump.princess0x3fa1…89df | No | 55 | 82.0¢ | $47 | — |
| 0x86f0…610c | No | 52 | 58.0¢ | $45 | — |
| 0x65a2…6950 | No | 51 | 86.0¢ | $44 | New63 settled bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 325 | 62.9¢ | $44 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,423 bets |
| rocky420100x84d7…298f | Yes | 299 | 36.7¢ | $40 | Break-even+$0.82 per $100 · 9,913 bets |
| ckw8880x8d01…0f69 | Yes | 200 | 33.0¢ | $27 | — |
| 0xb1fc…42a0 | Yes | 200 | 25.0¢ | $27 | — |
| kanhaoleaha0xd98a…4db0 | Yes | 200 | 28.0¢ | $27 | — |
| tuhkjqlwtjilqjkw0xd3e5…17ee | Yes | 195 | 17.8¢ | $26 | — |
| marki010xf28f…841a | Yes | 189 | 53.0¢ | $25 | — |
| tinman20x9bae…5d34 | Yes | 162 | 49.2¢ | $22 | — |
| GG9990x0c74…8841 | Yes | 135 | 57.3¢ | $18 | Losing−$4.96 per $100 · 128 bets |
| Fihdrzgdd0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | 120 | 20.0¢ | $16 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 109 | 16.5¢ | $15 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,781 bets |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | 100 | 20.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 8,815 bets |
| 0x1c3d…2ff5 | Yes | 100 | 29.0¢ | $14 | Proven+$4.03 per $100 · 1,177 bets |
| IP13800x96e8…d240 | Yes | 100 | 27.0¢ | $14 | — |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | Yes | 100 | 49.0¢ | $14 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| cookie960xfb41…1fff | Yes | 100 | 45.0¢ | $14 | — |
| AlphaGooo0xfc55…b21d | Yes | 100 | 28.0¢ | $14 | — |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 94 | 52.4¢ | $13 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| Zelenearn00xb04a…acfc | Yes | 60 | 19.0¢ | $8 | — |
| 0x3e8a…0f61 | Yes | 54 | 18.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$4.75 per $100 · 6,667 bets |
| walkwithyourboy0xbc1f…8f78 | Yes | 53 | 44.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xbeef…620e | Yes | 53 | 59.5¢ | $7 | — |
| zhangqilingfe0xc284…432a | Yes | 45 | 18.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x6528…2006 | Yes | 44 | 86.9¢ | $6 | New1 settled bet |
| Rsg20260xd0be…2a59 | Yes | 37 | 27.0¢ | $5 | — |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | Yes | 33 | 61.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$2.91 per $100 · 1,166 bets |
| 0x14f6…f9f7 | Yes | 29 | 20.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xf53c…6d9c | Yes | 26 | 19.0¢ | $4 | — |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | Yes | 26 | 48.2¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 351 bets |
| 0xd143…e55c | Yes | 25 | 24.0¢ | $3 | — |
| S8880x0711…f03c | Yes | 25 | 71.0¢ | $3 | Proven+$9.08 per $100 · 9,048 bets |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | Yes | 23 | 14.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.63 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| Pacif00x9b51…e1a1 | Yes | 21 | 17.0¢ | $3 | — |
| youchiang0x1147…1acc | Yes | 18 | 18.0¢ | $2 | — |
| BGYHVCBY0xfc33…4e55 | Yes | 18 | 14.0¢ | $2 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.