Market · 2 of 3 outcomes
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 19:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
Next US–Iran Senior Diplomatic Meeting · 1 event · $95.1K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | No | 1,798 | 62.1¢ | $1.21K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,062 bets |
| MerhabaKardesim0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | 3,013 | 35.3¢ | $979 | Positive+$4.39 per $100 · 1,104 bets |
| paddaa0x60a9…5a71 | No | 1,386 | 64.6¢ | $936 | Proven+$5.20 per $100 · 2,237 bets |
| RogerFed0xe958…66b7 | No | 1,000 | 65.6¢ | $675 | — |
| 202606010xb36c…1077 | Yes | 1,219 | 38.0¢ | $396 | Proven+$4.69 per $100 · 216 bets |
| DawnOfYemen0xc34a…6007 | No | 550 | 66.5¢ | $371 | Proven+$3.27 per $100 · 1,824 bets |
| PavtheGreat0x048a…9be4 | Yes | 1,100 | 33.4¢ | $358 | Losing−$1.95 per $100 · 326 bets |
| SakuraDevil0x0c3c…5eea | Yes | 1,100 | 33.1¢ | $357 | — |
| Te0n20xd950…ad1b | No | 500 | 64.2¢ | $338 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 3,908 bets |
| adasol0x5297…7b99 | No | 481 | 65.8¢ | $324 | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 491 bets |
| MrMelonHead0x9f66…3a50 | No | 452 | 66.3¢ | $305 | — |
| yungsoleimani0x386c…8323 | No | 368 | 68.0¢ | $248 | — |
| T3tK1ng0x8781…19c0 | No | 346 | 68.0¢ | $233 | — |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 681 | 33.2¢ | $221 | Positive+$7.48 per $100 · 10,703 bets |
| Konfucious0xac76…9359 | No | 260 | 65.2¢ | $175 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 203 | 69.0¢ | $137 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| F00Fi0x12ce…928f | No | 150 | 69.0¢ | $101 | Proven+$4.99 per $100 · 257 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 293 | 38.9¢ | $95 | Break-even+$0.79 per $100 · 5,710 bets |
| StarMaster0xeca0…e8f8 | No | 100 | 63.0¢ | $68 | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 4,789 bets |
| badatthis0x75ac…33d7 | Yes | 200 | 29.0¢ | $65 | Proven+$6.72 per $100 · 6,699 bets |
| 0opj4kuu4xb20x3500…07f0 | No | 92 | 67.9¢ | $62 | Losing−$12.55 per $100 · 4,926 bets |
| 0x4e84…ef69 | No | 59 | 69.9¢ | $40 | Break-even+$0.29 per $100 · 821 bets |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | Yes | 118 | 34.0¢ | $38 | Break-even+$0.32 per $100 · 3,316 bets |
| trashtier0x7df6…ac3b | No | 50 | 63.0¢ | $34 | Positive+$1.40 per $100 · 6,509 bets |
| 8811120xd426…334a | No | 50 | 66.0¢ | $34 | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| ChinaRed0x5641…2038 | Yes | 100 | 29.0¢ | $33 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 45 | 65.1¢ | $31 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,029 bets |
| 0x7f6d…f6f6 | No | 43 | 70.3¢ | $29 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 273 bets |
| ninasimon0x655e…e0cc | No | 25 | 64.3¢ | $17 | Losing−$5.10 per $100 · 238 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 51 | 31.7¢ | $16 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 125,141+ bets · updating |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | Yes | 50 | 32.0¢ | $16 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| Eia0x166a…d7ed | Yes | 50 | 31.0¢ | $16 | Proven+$5.90 per $100 · 1,217 bets |
| 0xd324…b23c | No | 22 | 68.0¢ | $15 | — |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | No | 22 | 68.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 45 | 34.0¢ | $15 | Losing−$1.21 per $100 · 28,077 bets |
| Tallguy25270x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | 40 | 31.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$4.15 per $100 · 8,815 bets |
| RolandZhang0x0cd6…2784 | No | 16 | 67.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$7.32 per $100 · 218 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 11 | 68.2¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| liuruijin0x88b3…bad4 | No | 10 | 65.0¢ | $7 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 7 | 65.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,471 bets |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 14 | 38.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$3.04 per $100 · 5,169 bets |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 6 | 67.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| nonsports0x55d4…e2bf | No | 6 | 61.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xca08…c267 | No | 5 | 66.2¢ | $3 | — |
| KiraHK10xa87f…864d | No | 5 | 68.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x4629…f3b1 | No | 3 | 64.9¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 5,428 bets |
| 0xd011…e928 | No | 3 | 64.0¢ | $2 | — |
| plafa.-90xd661…87c6 | Yes | 5 | 35.0¢ | $2 | — |
| hping020x9e25…afd6 | No | 2 | 68.0¢ | $1 | — |
| hspje890xb44b…3fdb | No | 1 | 67.0¢ | $1 | — |
| random-random1230xa1cc…fa62 | No | 1 | 71.0¢ | $1 | — |
| kor-and-m0x0b14…f1f5 | No | 1 | 68.0¢ | $1 | — |
| T222222222220xea7f…b855 | Yes | 2 | 31.0¢ | $1 | — |
| JsonStatham0x625b…22cf | No | 0 | 68.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.10 per $100 · 10,287 bets |
| Po1yBot-6NEazyE4Ef0x87d1…3da3 | No | 0 | 69.0¢ | $0 | — |
| leantiger0xa1b1…6a83 | No | 0 | 67.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 33.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| sdfsdfsdfsdf20x321e…9292 | No | 0 | 70.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$7.73 per $100 · 16,779 bets |
| CopyMEyouwillwin0x8d58…4205 | Yes | 0 | 31.0¢ | $0 | — |
| wisadel0xc18e…44e3 | No | 0 | 66.0¢ | $0 | — |
| gavinfunda0xb924…0803 | Yes | 0 | 38.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.