Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | No | 178,747 | 96.0¢ | $178K | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,713 bets |
| termsandcondition0x1ebb…00a4 | No | 11,857 | 99.1¢ | $11.8K | New3 settled bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 7,500 | 96.1¢ | $7.48K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 777 bets |
| AmphibiousCaldwellPope0xd529…f0d4 | No | 2,739 | 93.4¢ | $2.73K | Proven+$3.03 per $100 · 1,583 bets |
| 0x1af5…b4bb | No | 1,139 | 80.3¢ | $1.14K | — |
| 0x834f…8b6e | No | 870 | 93.8¢ | $868 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 550 | 95.8¢ | $549 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| Robbb0x9cdd…3e97 | No | 550 | 98.9¢ | $548 | Proven+$5.15 per $100 · 4,527 bets |
| 0xc7fb…e5fd | No | 250 | 92.0¢ | $249 | Proven+$5.88 per $100 · 1,013 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 99,567 | 4.6¢ | $249 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| i4000xa18c…d792 | No | 225 | 97.4¢ | $224 | Proven+$2.81 per $100 · 776 bets |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 142 | 96.0¢ | $142 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,692 bets |
| sir38290x9fbf…3829 | No | 111 | 98.6¢ | $111 | — |
| 77Tele0x65e4…1c97 | No | 100 | 99.9¢ | $100 | — |
| 0xd149…f69a | No | 100 | 100.9¢ | $100 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 100 | 0.0¢ | $100 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| ping01250x676e…8aa7 | No | 100 | 99.5¢ | $100 | — |
| Momolly0x8355…6ce8 | No | 100 | 99.8¢ | $100 | — |
| sleepin0xbe1d…244b | No | 67 | 98.9¢ | $67 | — |
| xmaninnorth0x6c27…4db9 | No | 53 | 90.4¢ | $52 | — |
| thebug440xde7c…c933 | Yes | 20,800 | 0.3¢ | $52 | Positive+$24.78 per $100 · 148 bets |
| BigRabbit0xeb22…808a | Yes | 17,877 | 3.2¢ | $45 | Positive+$4.46 per $100 · 2,227 bets |
| jjlin897570xb3b3…c4ef | No | 41 | 96.4¢ | $41 | — |
| spx110xff36…e757 | Yes | 14,509 | 3.9¢ | $36 | Proven+$10.51 per $100 · 174 bets |
| Webb-On-The-Go0x4e87…179b | No | 36 | 98.4¢ | $36 | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 212 bets |
| truehope330x2af5…e211 | Yes | 14,177 | 6.8¢ | $35 | — |
| asiangirladaz0x7aa4…1ffe | No | 30 | 96.8¢ | $30 | — |
| 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | 8,130 | 0.5¢ | $20 | Positive+$13.19 per $100 · 8,595 bets |
| TWCP30x68cf…004d | Yes | 5,493 | 5.8¢ | $14 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 11 | 98.9¢ | $11 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| jgz88230xf1d1…b463 | No | 10 | 93.3¢ | $10 | — |
| goalone0x991c…f05b | No | 10 | 96.1¢ | $10 | — |
| ItsAllAstrology0xe7f4…bc90 | Yes | 3,726 | 19.9¢ | $9 | — |
| 10KWarrior0x8188…0667 | No | 7 | 75.3¢ | $7 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 2,802 | 4.7¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| EasonYao0x8291…e1a2 | No | 5 | 96.7¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x13d6…5cc7 | Yes | 2,020 | 2.5¢ | $5 | Losing−$16.30 per $100 · 151 bets |
| 0x3211…1e2e | No | 5 | 98.5¢ | $5 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 1,471 | 7.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$6.83 per $100 · 218,207+ bets · updating |
| 0xab1d…2549 | No | 3 | 86.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x32e3…92b9 | Yes | 1,349 | 4.1¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x8022…aa16 | No | 3 | 93.7¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xc65b…b345 | Yes | 1,087 | 6.6¢ | $3 | — |
| Danchen0xbe1a…0f22 | Yes | 1,077 | 4.9¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x018a…9522 | No | 3 | 82.8¢ | $3 | — |
| Pokermonster180xac1e…ea39 | Yes | 1,032 | 3.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Wobbegong47290xae56…c111 | No | 2 | 98.5¢ | $2 | — |
| Idyessen0x750e…968d | No | 2 | 90.5¢ | $2 | — |
| NinaVolkov0x6e20…eb18 | No | 2 | 91.9¢ | $2 | — |
| leanpang0x01dd…9f25 | Yes | 800 | 2.2¢ | $2 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 627 | 2.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| aknetwork0xbb7c…82f2 | Yes | 537 | 3.5¢ | $1 | — |
| nikos.paixtis0xf841…b2eb | No | 1 | 97.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Hung16829240xb071…607c | No | 1 | 93.9¢ | $1 | — |
| ChrisTP0xb14f…0db8 | No | 1 | 94.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5998…c404 | No | 1 | 94.3¢ | $1 | — |
| LizerT0x6e7b…f80d | No | 1 | 94.4¢ | $1 | — |
| oeiyudhi07620x6496…b3d0 | No | 1 | 95.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xdb43…6dbc | No | 1 | 98.0¢ | $1 | — |
| hoopto0xf716…28fe | No | 1 | 97.9¢ | $1 | — |
| grimlin0x3ce9…9c2d | Yes | 401 | 6.5¢ | $1 | — |
| EitanSas0x5917…b0a4 | Yes | 400 | 18.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd7c9…1ec6 | Yes | 391 | 4.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Ben23330x96fc…52b0 | Yes | 365 | 13.0¢ | $1 | — |
| omnibus-4247790x4247…91c4 | Yes | 354 | 6.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$12.51 per $100 · 6,017 bets |
| hnwdgf0xcfca…9722 | Yes | 350 | 0.0¢ | $1 | — |
| calmadodo0xe45c…f439 | Yes | 280 | 11.2¢ | $1 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 274 | 1.5¢ | $1 | — |
| kirby260xa0d3…5b5e | Yes | 255 | 7.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.53 per $100 · 3,226 bets |
| TheSpeciaIOne0xa220…4c66 | Yes | 254 | 2.2¢ | $1 | — |
| chappppp0xa0e2…ed83 | Yes | 242 | 0.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x89d2…252a | Yes | 241 | 2.8¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 222 | 1.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| Kent7770x1463…ce78 | Yes | 218 | 4.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.36 per $100 · 242 bets |
| khslna0xf8ef…9aef | Yes | 204 | 7.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5acc…b5eb | Yes | 188 | 5.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Wezze0xef39…6ff3 | Yes | 185 | 5.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x7a0d…0bfa | Yes | 178 | 5.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Spana2k70x7ec5…f1c8 | Yes | 167 | 12.5¢ | $0 | — |
| TheMasterMind0x555c…ee28 | Yes | 144 | 3.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 2,791 bets |
| 0xbb0c…c428 | Yes | 125 | 8.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 121 | 3.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| Longgreen0xa0f1…5b7f | Yes | 120 | 6.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xeaca…23d7 | Yes | 120 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x418e…342b | Yes | 119 | 4.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2128…f3c7 | Yes | 109 | 9.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd71c…de8d | Yes | 108 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 107 | 4.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| 0x633e…d305 | Yes | 106 | 4.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa008…0588 | Yes | 106 | 4.7¢ | $0 | — |
| Alfabaguera0x4d0f…68e1 | Yes | 102 | 7.7¢ | $0 | — |
| waltersz0x6b8b…ff40 | Yes | 100 | 4.1¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420150x2c1a…42d8 | No | 0 | 91.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.77 per $100 · 9,642 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 0 | 97.5¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 31 | 0.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Gigometr0x7c2a…7276 | No | 0 | 96.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | No | 0 | 94.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| Pumapapa0xd10e…84bb | No | 0 | 94.5¢ | $0 | — |
| smlptm0xdc15…cca6 | Yes | 1 | 18.7¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.