Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:51 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | No | 178,747 | 96.0¢ | $178K | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,712 bets |
| termsandcondition0x1ebb…00a4 | No | 11,857 | 99.1¢ | $11.8K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 7,500 | 96.1¢ | $7.48K | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 776 bets |
| AmphibiousCaldwellPope0xd529…f0d4 | No | 2,739 | 93.4¢ | $2.73K | Proven+$3.03 per $100 · 1,583 bets |
| 0x1af5…b4bb | No | 1,139 | 80.3¢ | $1.14K | — |
| 0x834f…8b6e | No | 870 | 93.8¢ | $868 | — |