Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 19:14 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | No | 38,247 | 91.1¢ | $38.1K | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,714 bets |
| IGBGMN0x733d…1ae7 | No | 5,386 | 86.1¢ | $5.37K | Losing−$2.47 per $100 · 1,378 bets |
| randomtrader110xdd70…de14 | No | 1,286 | 93.6¢ | $1.28K | — |
| Gl4d0x1e3a…9e14 | No | 500 | 95.3¢ | $499 | Positive+$1.33 per $100 · 2,434 bets |
| 0x834f…8b6e | No | 300 | 91.4¢ | $299 | — |
| 0x0729…c50e | No | 200 | 82.0¢ | $199 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 200 | 84.7¢ | $199 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 872 bets |
| Yiren0xf3ea…3039 | No | 112 | 80.8¢ | $111 | — |
| Jameslyy0xf7d6…cab5 | No | 80 | 58.5¢ | $80 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 1,674 bets |
| 0x7baf…1eda | No | 80 | 88.4¢ | $80 | — |
| 0x5449…992b | No | 63 | 90.0¢ | $62 | Positive+$1.18 per $100 · 6,720 bets |
| 0x1b62…4527 | Yes | 20,000 | 14.3¢ | $60 | — |
| 0x1dd1…7ca9 | No | 56 | 90.3¢ | $55 | — |
| rudolfthetiger0x76bd…3600 | No | 54 | 96.8¢ | $54 | — |
| victoziaz0x65df…8397 | No | 53 | 97.3¢ | $53 | — |
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 50 | 95.1¢ | $50 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 326 bets |
| traet0xc161…1f5e | No | 49 | 96.6¢ | $49 | — |
| rIdbaplyuh0x1f20…db7c | No | 46 | 96.4¢ | $46 | New18 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 40 | 90.9¢ | $40 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,956 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 11,128 | 11.1¢ | $33 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,660 bets |
| yin106160xb6a1…a10f | No | 18 | 82.6¢ | $18 | — |
| smye1000xfb8e…3dc3 | No | 12 | 86.6¢ | $12 | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 5,616 bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 3,614 | 4.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$7.59 per $100 · 381,011+ bets · updating |
| hesure0xbe0e…d429 | No | 10 | 5.0¢ | $10 | — |
| surewinnn996660xc2f6…5c11 | No | 10 | 51.9¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x71b6…4e91 | No | 9 | 54.8¢ | $9 | Proven+$10.15 per $100 · 892 bets |
| weatonlo0xc741…f761 | Yes | 3,000 | 17.5¢ | $9 | — |
| Robbb0x9cdd…3e97 | No | 8 | 88.5¢ | $8 | Proven+$5.15 per $100 · 4,527 bets |
| Copyright-10x235e…5673 | Yes | 2,000 | 14.8¢ | $6 | Losing−$4.45 per $100 · 2,194 bets |
| 0x13d6…5cc7 | Yes | 1,479 | 4.9¢ | $4 | Losing−$16.30 per $100 · 151 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 1,200 | 0.9¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| 0xb90d…7db5 | No | 3 | 75.6¢ | $3 | — |
| m3tuna0x4f9e…9aa0 | No | 2 | 89.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$43.17 per $100 · 959 bets |
| meagainsttheworld0x9592…a7b8 | Yes | 508 | 29.3¢ | $2 | Proven+$8.59 per $100 · 1,238 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 427 | 16.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 423 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.57 per $100 · 124,099+ bets · updating |
| kugi3650x05e7…b527 | No | 1 | 89.3¢ | $1 | — |
| MoisesNS240x4dcb…6cef | Yes | 369 | 4.6¢ | $1 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 355 | 2.1¢ | $1 | — |
| DuckingDuck0x7973…332a | No | 1 | 94.3¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x64b2…55de | No | 1 | 95.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Danchen0xbe1a…0f22 | Yes | 300 | 4.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x0306…a81e | No | 1 | 81.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 290 | 7.8¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| monoclith0x24e8…4546 | No | 1 | 89.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4ca9…7aa1 | Yes | 225 | 4.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$44.87 per $100 · 160 bets |
| HolaMama0x1ebd…1c5d | No | 1 | 71.0¢ | $1 | — |
| bbhdn0x509d…0799 | No | 1 | 83.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.40 per $100 · 205 bets |
| fooba0xf5aa…f768 | Yes | 194 | 41.0¢ | $1 | — |
| alexgone0xda34…91da | Yes | 171 | 9.4¢ | $1 | — |
| jacoboku0x3590…d307 | Yes | 123 | 13.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Yes | 114 | 7.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.60 per $100 · 56,831+ bets · updating |
| smlptm0xdc15…cca6 | Yes | 110 | 18.0¢ | $0 | — |
| The-Defect0xac6a…2ed3 | No | 0 | 93.6¢ | $0 | — |
| howard12230x50a6…64fc | Yes | 96 | 69.8¢ | $0 | — |
| GREYER0x86eb…5864 | Yes | 95 | 56.0¢ | $0 | — |
| manochartino0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | 84 | 0.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,228 bets |
| bigbosa240x8a97…3b04 | Yes | 83 | 12.3¢ | $0 | — |
| sppfu0xae4d…fc45 | Yes | 68 | 1.5¢ | $0 | — |
| StormRazer0xa937…4152 | No | 0 | 82.7¢ | $0 | — |
| ROOKIE0xa58b…ef84 | Yes | 50 | 24.0¢ | $0 | — |
| JILLY0x6020…e249 | Yes | 50 | 58.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xaae5…6c45 | Yes | 42 | 12.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Sashimilolo0x2097…2e7d | Yes | 33 | 61.0¢ | $0 | — |
| iwishthisworks0x51a1…2335 | Yes | 31 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf8ee…150a | Yes | 30 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| playplay8880x4929…3e37 | Yes | 22 | 23.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.08 per $100 · 291 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 21 | 3.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| kirby260xa0d3…5b5e | Yes | 21 | 20.8¢ | $0 | Losing−$6.53 per $100 · 3,226 bets |
| GDV82a0xcb95…611e | Yes | 20 | 13.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Antouane0x0dcb…9540 | Yes | 20 | 51.0¢ | $0 | — |
| jorn4210xe6d3…9b75 | Yes | 20 | 60.7¢ | $0 | — |
| sourgum0x36ab…5a24 | No | 0 | 96.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nosugar30x6fc9…11cd | No | 0 | 95.4¢ | $0 | — |
| lp1000x333d…e8b7 | No | 0 | 81.0¢ | $0 | — |
| minidogs0x38d8…76bf | No | 0 | 95.3¢ | $0 | — |
| PetroChiko0x5bbf…a54b | No | 0 | 95.3¢ | $0 | — |
| multiklev0x6e92…8ee8 | No | 0 | 95.3¢ | $0 | — |
| shumarkher0x8914…3830 | No | 0 | 95.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Arbibas0xb996…455f | No | 0 | 95.3¢ | $0 | — |
| hordofjustice0xccbf…fd25 | No | 0 | 95.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd335…0d35 | No | 0 | 97.6¢ | $0 | — |
| spilledmilk0xe7be…6eaf | No | 0 | 96.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rawgrain0xf566…79fe | No | 0 | 96.0¢ | $0 | — |
| edge990x8d00…0121 | Yes | 15 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| drisnqrskaigrichka0xf30d…1bf6 | Yes | 15 | 15.6¢ | $0 | — |
| hokinado0xffee…ea6b | No | 0 | 80.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Bablooooooooo0xde1d…46d6 | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 9 | 19.3¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| hanxiang0x2562…d931 | Yes | 8 | 12.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8eda…1d99 | Yes | 5 | 35.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | 2 | 71.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 1 | 4.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.85 per $100 · 2,461 bets |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | No | 0 | 82.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420050xd6a8…58fd | Yes | 0 | 9.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.22 per $100 · 12,889 bets |
| alpha5ii-copybestbot0xdaee…8559 | Yes | 0 | 33.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 2.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| jtradegbr0x2bc7…e411 | Yes | 0 | 19.5¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 2,136 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.