Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
Restated in plain words from the rules text. Each § opens the sentence it comes from; the rules text governs.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | No | 37,837 | 91.0¢ | $37.3K | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,712 bets |
| IGBGMN0x733d…1ae7 | No | 5,386 | 86.1¢ | $5.31K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| randomtrader110xdd70…de14 |
| No |
| 1,286 |
| 93.6¢ |
| $1.27K |
| — |
| Gl4d0x1e3a…9e14 | No | 500 | 95.3¢ | $493 | Positive+$1.49 per $100 · 2,393 bets |
| BerkshireHahaway0x7f29…0760 | No | 359 | 95.8¢ | $354 | Break-even−$0.10 per $100 · 1,492 bets |
| 0x834f…8b6e | No | 300 | 91.4¢ | $296 | — |