Market · 2 of 3 outcomes
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:17 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 4 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rew4560xd6e9…7d80 | No | 10,000 | 70.0¢ | $6.9K | — |
| UpTheBlues0x2a69…d2f7 | Yes | 10,023 | 31.1¢ | $3.11K | Positive+$3.94 per $100 · 184,512+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| testyeagles0xaaca…f5d5 |
| Yes |
| 2,181 |
| 31.0¢ |
| $676 |
| Losing−$1.58 per $100 · 17,528 bets |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | Yes | 1,397 | 32.1¢ | $433 | Proven+$8.60 per $100 · 7,245 bets |
| akubengna0xef7d…a3f0 | No | 417 | 73.0¢ | $288 | — |
| VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294 | Yes | 909 | 28.1¢ | $282 | Break-even+$0.43 per $100 · 130,574 bets |
| C63AMG0xb31e…c120 | No | 406 | 70.0¢ | $280 | Proven+$3.12 per $100 · 1,440 bets |
| growzizi0xacf3…64be | Yes | 693 | 27.0¢ | $215 | — |
| kanen0xcde4…91b3 | No | 278 | 73.0¢ | $192 | — |
| 387918739841890x0d2d…7ff5 | Yes | 554 | 28.4¢ | $172 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 30,816+ bets · updating |
| NotJump0xf1f2…8c8d | No | 236 | 71.0¢ | $163 | Break-even−$0.08 per $100 · 30,006+ bets · updating |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | No | 206 | 64.7¢ | $142 | Losing−$3.82 per $100 · 22,723 bets |
| dips.0xc785…4ef2 | No | 199 | 66.1¢ | $137 | Break-even−$0.53 per $100 · 30,440+ bets · updating |
| 0xd9e0…05f2 | No | 177 | 70.2¢ | $122 | Positive+$1.84 per $100 · 52,305 bets |
| tradecraft0xde9f…d43c | Yes | 389 | 30.0¢ | $120 | Proven+$2.70 per $100 · 21,483 bets |
| delpiero100x459f…c1f5 | Yes | 346 | 30.0¢ | $107 | — |
| jay8850x0126…4047 | No | 139 | 73.0¢ | $96 | — |
| wuhuhu0x191a…9d0d | No | 139 | 73.0¢ | $96 | — |
| werew130x222c…0772 | No | 139 | 73.0¢ | $96 | — |
| teao60x453d…86aa | No | 139 | 73.0¢ | $96 | — |
| wupaha0x5571…eb84 | No | 139 | 73.0¢ | $96 | — |
| feichang440x70b2…fb61 | No | 139 | 73.0¢ | $96 | — |
| dayuluoxia0x7432…9207 | No | 139 | 73.0¢ | $96 | — |
| kulala60x7c06…8478 | No | 139 | 73.0¢ | $96 | — |
| lucky550x9618…6409 | No | 139 | 73.0¢ | $96 | — |
| didihouse0xc4cf…6649 | No | 139 | 73.0¢ | $96 | — |
| polkxcv0xd1b6…bca1 | No | 139 | 73.0¢ | $96 | — |
| neisita10xf1c0…1f1c | No | 139 | 73.0¢ | $96 | — |
| weishenme0xf35c…b645 | No | 139 | 73.0¢ | $96 | — |
| okk660xf46e…d15e | No | 139 | 73.0¢ | $96 | — |
| Anon4550x4961…de13 | Yes | 295 | 31.0¢ | $91 | Break-even−$0.82 per $100 · 4,211 bets |
| SaylorMoon0xecb1…5da3 | No | 110 | 64.0¢ | $76 | Positive+$1.33 per $100 · 2,898 bets |
| capitalpiston20x5e02…b178 | No | 100 | 70.0¢ | $69 | Proven+$3.29 per $100 · 6,876 bets |
| io-cane0xf166…fb37 | Yes | 200 | 30.0¢ | $62 | Losing−$5.98 per $100 · 473 bets |
| GC-P0x2d6a…8add | No | 76 | 71.0¢ | $52 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 37,560+ bets · updating |
| 0xe911…3d4e | No | 72 | 66.1¢ | $49 | Losing−$7.28 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| MatchdayMarkets0xcc8e…944e | No | 70 | 72.0¢ | $49 | — |
| 0x32b4…8b21 | No | 68 | 69.2¢ | $47 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 17,921 bets |
| SlickRick1230x277b…31fa | No | 64 | 59.1¢ | $44 | — |
| sbsigner0x1b47…d814 | No | 59 | 72.0¢ | $41 | Losing−$1.93 per $100 · 6,463 bets |
| 0x93f9…9ccb | Yes | 123 | 23.0¢ | $38 | Proven+$19.60 per $100 · 1,309 bets |
| 0x2d2c…00b5 | No | 55 | 67.8¢ | $38 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 9,324 bets |
| 0xakwz0x91e6…0a20 | No | 50 | 63.7¢ | $35 | — |
| JumaJumajej0x91e6…2db1 | Yes | 103 | 30.0¢ | $32 | — |
| omnibus-076daa0x076d…8d4c | Yes | 101 | 33.1¢ | $31 | Proven+$5.27 per $100 · 56,687 bets |
| cikaskondikas0x9ecc…415a | Yes | 100 | 31.1¢ | $31 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 1,725 bets |
| nibbio30x59bc…d222 | No | 44 | 58.0¢ | $31 | — |
| asunaxx0x2c55…f61c | No | 41 | 57.4¢ | $29 | — |
| wazzzzzap0xfa12…9ff3 | Yes | 90 | 26.0¢ | $28 | Proven+$3.16 per $100 · 290 bets |
| 0x228b…af4c | Yes | 88 | 25.5¢ | $27 | Positive+$1.14 per $100 · 32,373+ bets · updating |
| hedgevaultmainnet10x9f41…8f27 | No | 33 | 64.3¢ | $23 | Losing−$4.10 per $100 · 2,677 bets |
| Pan9X0x3ca9…424a | No | 33 | 68.4¢ | $23 | Break-even−$0.54 per $100 · 36,574+ bets · updating |
| doglover45710x67af…61ee | No | 32 | 67.5¢ | $22 | Losing−$2.82 per $100 · 30,020+ bets · updating |
| yyyrl0xda77…683f | No | 31 | 62.7¢ | $21 | Break-even−$0.74 per $100 · 30,045+ bets · updating |
| lomatic0x5c18…2f76 | No | 30 | 66.1¢ | $21 | Losing−$3.08 per $100 · 23,907 bets |
| Baz7770xd257…bb3b | No | 28 | 72.0¢ | $19 | — |
| beppo0x2217…b756 | Yes | 61 | 27.0¢ | $19 | Losing−$1.32 per $100 · 429 bets |
| Po1yamory0x5628…abbc | Yes | 60 | 29.0¢ | $19 | — |
| ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319 | Yes | 57 | 32.1¢ | $18 | Positive+$4.28 per $100 · 108,769 bets |
| seeyouanymore0x3f58…d93a | Yes | 56 | 27.0¢ | $17 | Proven+$3.44 per $100 · 8,066 bets |
| iseedota0x0eca…c56a | No | 23 | 63.7¢ | $16 | — |
| funfacts0xb7ab…16d0 | Yes | 51 | 29.7¢ | $16 | Proven+$2.43 per $100 · 24,059 bets |
| Lilybaeum0x01c7…e995 | No | 21 | 68.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$6.51 per $100 · 41,120+ bets · updating |
| Jxtoas0xa9f5…937f | No | 20 | 61.6¢ | $14 | Losing−$2.07 per $100 · 30,006+ bets · updating |
| hedgehoooooog0x253c…96c0 | Yes | 43 | 30.0¢ | $13 | — |
| navber0xbcfe…2d00 | Yes | 40 | 27.0¢ | $12 | Losing−$1.65 per $100 · 613 bets |
| pjotrekkk0xf102…1348 | Yes | 36 | 28.0¢ | $11 | Proven+$3.29 per $100 · 20,519 bets |
| patata10x5437…6e45 | Yes | 30 | 28.0¢ | $9 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 27 | 31.7¢ | $8 | Losing−$5.52 per $100 · 111,745+ bets · updating |
| Lamegawi0xb0e1…0fa0 | Yes | 23 | 32.4¢ | $7 | — |
| hypexyz0xc487…c383 | Yes | 22 | 33.1¢ | $7 | — |
| topdogbigboi0x5d40…ba95 | Yes | 22 | 27.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x9527…888b | Yes | 21 | 34.1¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 9,189 bets |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 20 | 29.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Armco690xf22e…f34b | Yes | 20 | 28.0¢ | $6 | — |
| ARudenko0x3c60…e37b | Yes | 17 | 30.0¢ | $5 | — |
| mortadx0x8328…feb3 | Yes | 17 | 30.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x3804…6136 | Yes | 15 | 28.0¢ | $5 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 15 | 35.1¢ | $5 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| 0x4840…40c6 | Yes | 14 | 38.6¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xf854…8e03 | Yes | 13 | 31.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Robertdancce0x0b8c…c944 | Yes | 13 | 25.0¢ | $4 | — |
| leelorz60x8e06…c8c6 | Yes | 10 | 30.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x13f5…e9a7 | Yes | 10 | 26.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 3,904 bets |
| 0xec56…1816 | No | 2 | 68.1¢ | $2 | — |
| zxcursed1210x945a…a48c | Yes | 1 | 31.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$10.47 per $100 · 49,814+ bets · updating |
4 accounts bet both sides equally · 439 shares each side · Show
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