Market · 2 of 3 outcomes
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 16:48 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 4 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| rew4560xd6e9…7d80 | No | 10,000 | 70.0¢ | $6.9K | — |
| UpTheBlues0x2a69…d2f7 | Yes | 10,023 | 31.1¢ | $3.11K | Positive+$4.09 per $100 · 178,720 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| testyeagles0xaaca…f5d5 |
| Yes |
| 2,181 |
| 31.0¢ |
| $676 |
| Losing−$1.58 per $100 · 17,528 bets |
| leegunner0xe542…0a37 | Yes | 1,397 | 32.1¢ | $433 | Proven+$8.60 per $100 · 7,245 bets |
| akubengna0xef7d…a3f0 | No | 417 | 73.0¢ | $288 | — |
| VeryLucky8880x6d3c…d294 | Yes | 909 | 28.1¢ | $282 | Break-even+$0.39 per $100 · 129,368 bets |
4 accounts bet both sides equally · 439 shares each side · Show
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These 3 outcomes add up to 101.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.