Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VladimirPooper0xa53e…218d | No | 68,529 | 95.1¢ | $67.8K | — |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 47,709 | 70.2¢ | $47.2K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,393 bets |
| elmcap20xed10…d2e5 | No | 10,597 | 98.4¢ | $10.5K | Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 2,129 bets |
| Attack-Titan0x9ff2…d02b | No | 9,898 | 99.0¢ | $9.79K | — |
| hopedieslast0x5739…5f1a | No | 8,952 | 92.7¢ | $8.86K | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 244 bets |
| XAE12Archangel0xfbfd…0029 | No | 6,996 | 79.7¢ | $6.92K | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 1,715 bets |
| avasya0x083e…9e03 | No | 5,491 | 90.8¢ | $5.43K | — |
| QuarterlyComeback0x5a22…17a6 | No | 4,592 | 75.4¢ | $4.54K | Proven+$7.94 per $100 · 469 bets |
| chargerup0x9ee2…2bdb | No | 4,400 | 97.8¢ | $4.35K | New1 settled bet |
| segment30xa10c…b2de | No | 4,361 | 69.2¢ | $4.32K | New2 settled bets |
| timebrotime0x606d…1aaf | No | 3,528 | 98.6¢ | $3.49K | Proven+$3.83 per $100 · 2,546 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 3,343 | 98.4¢ | $3.31K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 789 bets |
| SomerandomD0x2db9…33f1 | No | 3,256 | 94.2¢ | $3.22K | Proven+$5.06 per $100 · 100 bets |
| kinderSman0xa6d9…fd2f | No | 3,028 | 98.2¢ | $3K | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 842 bets |
| archaic0x1f0a…f7aa | No | 2,743 | 98.5¢ | $2.71K | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 3,369 bets |
| abccbaq0x343f…6df2 | No | 2,500 | 98.6¢ | $2.47K | — |
| 0xff57…a383 | No | 2,105 | 95.2¢ | $2.08K | New13 settled bets |
| Dondigidin0x07b9…0fbb | No | 1,951 | 91.3¢ | $1.93K | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 991 bets |
| kukubaja0xa0c3…5b9a | No | 1,700 | 96.2¢ | $1.68K | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 1,092 bets |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 1,699 | 87.9¢ | $1.68K | Losing−$2.92 per $100 · 1,163 bets |
| nonkenny900x5cd5…ac33 | No | 1,587 | 88.8¢ | $1.57K | Break-even+$0.34 per $100 · 8,967 bets |
| 0xe5f0…dc1d | No | 1,560 | 64.4¢ | $1.54K | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 4,369 bets |
| bifurcatio0xa9ea…1043 | No | 1,555 | 85.1¢ | $1.54K | — |
| wish-0x72a2…7b65 | No | 1,500 | 98.4¢ | $1.48K | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 1,975 bets |
| oracle20270x0034…bc36 | No | 1,486 | 0.0¢ | $1.47K | — |
| Bibondellus0x8846…14ba | No | 1,475 | 95.1¢ | $1.46K | — |
| Rocky04200xd48f…2132 | No | 1,445 | 74.4¢ | $1.43K | — |
| march3330x7fbf…d3ef | No | 1,393 | 97.8¢ | $1.38K | — |
| andrlol0xc11b…a213 | No | 1,321 | 61.8¢ | $1.31K | — |
| OpperHeim0xe7b1…9643 | No | 1,281 | 78.9¢ | $1.27K | — |
| 0x09d2…a3ac | No | 1,256 | 76.4¢ | $1.24K | Losing−$11.06 per $100 · 306 bets |
| brownhawker0x18d0…dba4 | No | 1,072 | 76.8¢ | $1.06K | — |
| usurper550x6fd4…4fa0 | No | 1,038 | 68.4¢ | $1.03K | New87 settled bets |
| 1014560x8de0…7f22 | No | 983 | 73.5¢ | $973 | Proven+$14.71 per $100 · 249 bets |
| Oskoreiter0x4518…1cac | No | 900 | 81.8¢ | $891 | — |
| Crypto.king.0x62c9…ece4 | Yes | 80,000 | 6.6¢ | $840 | — |
| ReedUpdatee0x07a9…32c8 | No | 689 | 73.6¢ | $681 | Losing−$7.86 per $100 · 133 bets |
| zubizubizu0xb1fe…2b70 | No | 632 | 91.4¢ | $625 | New32 settled bets |
| q67670xd4ba…7854 | No | 615 | 97.7¢ | $608 | — |
| RiskyWhisky0x64df…ab80 | No | 614 | 93.5¢ | $607 | — |
| randomlypunting0xaec3…22df | No | 596 | 75.7¢ | $590 | Losing−$5.00 per $100 · 1,379 bets |
| 0xef7c…74eb | No | 561 | 95.1¢ | $555 | — |
| tydollasign0x1765…17fe | No | 498 | 76.5¢ | $493 | — |
| Talophex0xd0db…b117 | No | 424 | 98.6¢ | $420 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 1,929 bets |
| Defqon10xe185…5f21 | No | 422 | 95.0¢ | $418 | — |
| aydabol0xcc87…0ff6 | No | 417 | 63.3¢ | $413 | — |
| lilgato0xd249…10da | No | 393 | 98.6¢ | $388 | — |
| Deni130xec02…70fc | Yes | 34,966 | 43.3¢ | $367 | — |
| looodik0xdfaa…c3fd | No | 358 | 53.6¢ | $354 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 350 | 98.5¢ | $346 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,947 bets |
| Leclerc040x38cf…d885 | No | 299 | 76.9¢ | $296 | Losing−$4.36 per $100 · 1,449 bets |
| 0xbd13…3e49 | Yes | 19,146 | 15.6¢ | $201 | — |
| pookyisback0x975b…149b | Yes | 17,917 | 13.9¢ | $188 | — |
| lebigeli0x1534…5b56 | Yes | 10,047 | 20.5¢ | $105 | — |
| realredbot0xff3d…c5cc | Yes | 6,595 | 9.7¢ | $69 | — |
| BIC050xf285…1b96 | Yes | 5,921 | 43.1¢ | $62 | New6 settled bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 5,357 | 5.2¢ | $56 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,282 bets |
| elekzil0xc9be…9e90 | Yes | 4,754 | 41.7¢ | $50 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 3,353 | 5.0¢ | $35 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,059 bets |
| fiter0xf5e8…9fbd | Yes | 2,300 | 1.5¢ | $24 | Positive+$42.72 per $100 · 2,781 bets |
| buyaoshangtou10x7afb…61ea | Yes | 1,921 | 32.2¢ | $20 | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 354 bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 1,544 | 4.5¢ | $16 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| FayYung0xae5c…8714 | Yes | 1,455 | 10.4¢ | $15 | — |
| KaT9CaM6yKa0x35bf…b6c3 | Yes | 1,349 | 26.2¢ | $14 | — |
| antoo1110x1c01…3cd8 | Yes | 1,300 | 3.7¢ | $14 | — |
| manuuuuuc0xdfd7…57d7 | Yes | 1,240 | 29.7¢ | $13 | — |
| youtube-trader0x0c28…9844 | Yes | 1,200 | 3.7¢ | $13 | Losing−$6.42 per $100 · 14,045 bets |
| yegorrr230x7a37…6c95 | Yes | 1,178 | 25.8¢ | $12 | — |
| LemonBrothers0x7b05…6180 | Yes | 1,120 | 22.9¢ | $12 | Proven+$3.06 per $100 · 139 bets |
| wenzhubielang0x1b77…f234 | Yes | 1,000 | 38.2¢ | $11 | — |
| Discipline-0x3bf6…c582 | Yes | 958 | 10.4¢ | $10 | — |
| Louismilton0x172c…2a52 | Yes | 949 | 10.4¢ | $10 | — |
| DawnBell0x18ba…8ef4 | Yes | 931 | 32.1¢ | $10 | — |
| uaz0xebed…23d2 | Yes | 910 | 44.4¢ | $10 | — |
| Wasserturm0xfb82…0318 | Yes | 817 | 30.5¢ | $9 | — |
| kamraten0x67a1…995f | Yes | 752 | 13.1¢ | $8 | — |
| azarnik010xcf7c…aef7 | Yes | 744 | 23.8¢ | $8 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 690 | 5.2¢ | $7 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 663 | 19.5¢ | $7 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 583 | 2.4¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,902+ bets · updating |
| Phantomassik0xab97…054b | Yes | 582 | 50.0¢ | $6 | — |
| alexxetto0x9c40…cb2e | Yes | 541 | 31.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x1af0…8630 | Yes | 507 | 10.1¢ | $5 | — |
| Perypery0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | 500 | 1.5¢ | $5 | Positive+$11.86 per $100 · 5,341 bets |
| terelich0x626f…cdfa | Yes | 500 | 35.0¢ | $5 | — |
| exelent0x3bfe…07a5 | Yes | 486 | 62.6¢ | $5 | — |
| igorusha0xcf31…3184 | Yes | 471 | 19.0¢ | $5 | — |
| L1VON0x06b1…96e7 | Yes | 461 | 7.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x1942…5956 | Yes | 436 | 13.8¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x9887…fca4 | Yes | 416 | 24.4¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x2c02…b66f | Yes | 415 | 7.2¢ | $4 | — |
| Danchen0xbe1a…0f22 | Yes | 334 | 20.5¢ | $4 | — |
| leeebrooo0xca37…b8ae | Yes | 326 | 26.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Scandica20xc331…1d71 | Yes | 325 | 31.8¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x8489…0268 | Yes | 307 | 33.7¢ | $3 | — |
| fastik010xf0fe…236b | Yes | 307 | 14.6¢ | $3 | — |
| pro100loh0x5b0f…5ec9 | Yes | 304 | 53.5¢ | $3 | — |
| smellyEllie0x38f5…6824 | Yes | 300 | 29.0¢ | $3 | Proven+$13.24 per $100 · 3,540 bets |
| Optimus-0xd5b9…e44e | Yes | 300 | 31.0¢ | $3 | Proven+$7.75 per $100 · 3,042 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.