Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VladimirPooper0xa53e…218d | No | 68,529 | 95.1¢ | $68K | — |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 47,709 | 70.2¢ | $47.3K | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 1,391 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| elmcap20xed10…d2e5 |
| No |
| 10,597 |
| 98.4¢ |
| $10.5K |
| Break-even+$0.78 per $100 · 2,129 bets |
| Attack-Titan0x9ff2…d02b | No | 9,898 | 99.0¢ | $9.82K | — |
| hopedieslast0x5739…5f1a | No | 8,952 | 92.7¢ | $8.88K | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 244 bets |
| XAE12Archangel0xfbfd…0029 | No | 6,996 | 79.7¢ | $6.94K | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 1,715 bets |