Market · 1 of 5 outcomes
JD Vance Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 01:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DFK0x0dde…94c3 | Yes | 1,143 | 94.2¢ | $1.11K | Positive+$1.51 per $100 · 725 bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 407 | 51.7¢ | $395 | Proven+$5.91 per $100 · 7,365 bets |
| Newshound0x5e73…6697 | Yes | 347 | 80.6¢ | $337 | Proven+$5.57 per $100 · 1,944 bets |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | Yes | 100 | 96.0¢ | $97 | Positive+$2.10 per $100 · 988 bets |
| ourdemocracy0x08c9…a2ef | Yes | 30 | 98.1¢ | $29 | Break-even+$0.22 per $100 · 579 bets |
| Flingflonger0xecef…4909 | Yes | 20 | 50.0¢ | $19 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 16 | 11.1¢ | $16 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,739 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 279 | 4.4¢ | $8 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,308 bets |
| Antony820xfd39…9ec8 | No | 205 | 4.2¢ | $6 | — |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | No | 155 | 8.5¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.90 per $100 · 32,781+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 134 | 17.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| qqqppp-l10x229c…b966 | No | 105 | 4.8¢ | $3 | Positive+$2.26 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 101 | 2.1¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 85 | 11.1¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 125,476+ bets · updating |
| 0xb4f6…eada | No | 83 | 4.4¢ | $2 | — |
| thisjustdoesntfeelright0x84a2…c7cf | No | 81 | 4.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x0f18…5b28 | No | 73 | 4.4¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.96 per $100 · 3,596 bets |
| rocky420010x5028…91c5 | No | 55 | 4.0¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 12,183 bets |
| dropairtocryp0x1e6f…eb72 | No | 40 | 18.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No | 34 | 2.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| Bunter.Hiden0x860d…6071 | Yes | 1 | 96.2¢ | $1 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 30 | 5.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.21 per $100 · 28,079 bets |
| Jaymaadurga0x9a8d…dbba | No | 25 | 4.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Polimaki0x98a8…a47b | No | 20 | 47.0¢ | $1 | — |
| winexecutescale0xfe93…8d0e | No | 20 | 20.0¢ | $1 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 14 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
| 2sam0x9367…6eaf | No | 10 | 19.0¢ | $0 | — |
| luciebot0x17dd…944c | Yes | 0 | 11.1¢ | $0 | — |
| richyee0xcdf5…e344 | No | 1 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Escumish0x1924…dff3 | No | 0 | 5.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$5.92 per $100 · 3,286 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 3.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.69 per $100 · 128,627 bets |
| rubby13370x9c18…f3a2 | No | 0 | 20.0¢ | $0 | — |
| FelicityBright0xda00…61b4 | No | 0 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.