Market · 1 of 5 outcomes
JD Vance Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 16:44 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 5 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DFK0x0dde…94c3 | Yes | 1,143 | 94.2¢ | $1.11K | Positive+$1.50 per $100 · 723 bets |
| vinii0x1ee9…197f | Yes | 407 | 51.7¢ | $395 | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Newshound0x5e73…6697 | Yes | 347 | 80.6¢ | $337 | Proven+$5.54 per $100 · 1,942 bets |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | Yes | 100 | 96.0¢ | $97 | Positive+$2.10 per $100 · 988 bets |
| ourdemocracy0x08c9…a2ef | Yes | 30 | 98.1¢ | $29 | Break-even+$0.22 per $100 · 579 bets |
| Flingflonger0xecef…4909 | Yes | 20 | 50.0¢ | $19 | — |