Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 7,126 | 67.9¢ | $4.74K | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,087 bets |
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | Yes | 1,972 | 31.0¢ | $660 | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 729 bets |
| cashy0x8f42…b88f | Yes | 950 | 34.0¢ | $318 | Proven+$11.86 per $100 · 1,051 bets |
| DorTovim0x392d…21a1 | Yes | 842 | 19.3¢ | $282 | — |
| AZ-safe0x3e9c…b879 | No | 418 | 68.4¢ | $278 | — |
| rafi1000xb2bb…003c | No | 410 | 68.1¢ | $273 | — |
| 0xcce8…4197 | No | 396 | 76.5¢ | $263 | — |
| mountaindewd0x944e…8c94 | Yes | 720 | 33.0¢ | $241 | Proven+$9.46 per $100 · 748 bets |
| IbnKhaldun0xa4bc…026c | Yes | 519 | 32.2¢ | $174 | Positive+$2.23 per $100 · 341 bets |
| BiDiFakePolls0xd24b…ef76 | Yes | 465 | 32.0¢ | $156 | Proven+$13.35 per $100 · 374 bets |
| coshi0x3e71…f97b | Yes | 400 | 34.0¢ | $134 | — |
| rocky420180xeda0…7dff | Yes | 295 | 32.3¢ | $99 | — |
| 0x3564…5cff | No | 142 | 68.9¢ | $95 | — |
| a111g0x1602…f6aa | Yes | 274 | 37.4¢ | $92 | — |
| wan1230xde7b…5f4b | Yes | 271 | 25.0¢ | $91 | Proven+$7.88 per $100 · 526 bets |
| rexcom0xde09…dbde | Yes | 250 | 35.2¢ | $84 | — |
| Edi120xc031…2c43 | No | 106 | 67.4¢ | $70 | — |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 104 | 67.2¢ | $69 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| bbilish10x6ee5…44af | Yes | 203 | 34.0¢ | $68 | — |
| Nbest550xdaa6…3e62 | Yes | 155 | 34.1¢ | $52 | — |
| PMFV0x6449…5b1f | No | 75 | 60.3¢ | $50 | — |
| NTYLD0x5a33…7302 | No | 70 | 70.3¢ | $47 | — |
| Niv440x8528…5a44 | Yes | 131 | 39.1¢ | $44 | — |
| wbxxx0x449c…879e | Yes | 125 | 35.0¢ | $42 | Positive+$1.76 per $100 · 684 bets |
| 0xb350…cb85 | Yes | 119 | 43.1¢ | $40 | — |
| 0xaade…38a8 | Yes | 111 | 36.3¢ | $37 | — |
| 0x1348…87da | Yes | 100 | 29.0¢ | $33 | — |
| Jesetrading0xce60…6705 | Yes | 96 | 37.0¢ | $32 | — |
| qcp30xd663…ca64 | Yes | 86 | 35.3¢ | $29 | — |
| Gazgazoz0x3eaa…82e4 | Yes | 83 | 36.9¢ | $28 | — |
| SF230xdad7…8f5f | Yes | 83 | 37.1¢ | $28 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 74 | 35.1¢ | $25 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| jonxm0x3d65…c7ed | No | 35 | 71.8¢ | $23 | — |
| AltiGabi0x0d27…6e05 | No | 28 | 74.7¢ | $19 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 52 | 33.8¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| dhadad010xd8fa…5580 | Yes | 51 | 50.0¢ | $17 | Positive+$6.51 per $100 · 183 bets |
| Maximus3740x0547…fb35 | Yes | 50 | 35.0¢ | $17 | — |
| PeanutButter0x3710…49cf | Yes | 46 | 35.9¢ | $15 | — |
| delta-fox0xdf88…70f1 | Yes | 41 | 37.5¢ | $14 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 20 | 56.0¢ | $13 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| 0xd356…963d | No | 18 | 67.0¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x6ab2…2c79 | Yes | 35 | 41.4¢ | $12 | — |
| Mahnic0xdf34…dc86 | No | 16 | 50.0¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xff44…0f56 | Yes | 30 | 50.0¢ | $10 | — |
| omerm550xfd15…cb65 | No | 15 | 67.9¢ | $10 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 29 | 37.2¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| wFexbRq0xda45…af45 | No | 14 | 70.8¢ | $9 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 28 | 35.6¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| Zohar.the.goat0xb260…83b9 | Yes | 26 | 38.9¢ | $9 | — |
| RedLizzard0x556d…a75c | Yes | 24 | 42.7¢ | $8 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 24 | 35.0¢ | $8 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| Grini600x35be…b470 | Yes | 22 | 38.9¢ | $8 | — |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | Yes | 20 | 38.9¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 569 bets |
| aliiz0xbea0…e19d | Yes | 20 | 45.0¢ | $7 | — |
| qcp20xd245…2318 | Yes | 18 | 39.5¢ | $6 | — |
| RolandZhang0x0cd6…2784 | Yes | 15 | 32.9¢ | $5 | — |
| Sui0070xce62…cee0 | Yes | 15 | 34.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x2809…3826 | No | 8 | 65.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xc07a…5406 | Yes | 14 | 35.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x1b41…14f6 | No | 7 | 64.9¢ | $4 | — |
| mcphearson990xedc4…be57 | No | 7 | 65.9¢ | $4 | — |
| dzautner0x6b45…a669 | Yes | 12 | 44.3¢ | $4 | — |
| Vengance0x4d7c…93b2 | Yes | 12 | 23.7¢ | $4 | — |
| 0xc1d0…fd72 | No | 5 | 94.2¢ | $4 | — |
| jurfuruvue0x49c5…b169 | No | 5 | 58.0¢ | $3 | — |
| ddd333aaa0x1dc1…5f5b | Yes | 10 | 32.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 4,786 bets |
| bbd113d0x3c7b…6863 | Yes | 10 | 33.0¢ | $3 | — |
| ddaasdf0x9209…a393 | Yes | 10 | 32.0¢ | $3 | — |
| aaadda0xa840…87f7 | Yes | 10 | 32.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 4,316 bets |
| 0x00cd…c0ae | No | 5 | 77.0¢ | $3 | — |
| ophphirmatatu0xe36b…4b24 | No | 5 | 62.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Gilmasterb0x8252…42f3 | Yes | 10 | 34.0¢ | $3 | — |
| sadfsadf0xd47c…c70a | Yes | 9 | 35.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 70asd0xf8d1…e8f6 | No | 3 | 59.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x45e6…c078 | No | 2 | 51.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xdf7a…e246 | No | 1 | 69.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x720c…8909 | No | 1 | 90.4¢ | $1 | — |
| x5w6n0x2801…9dfe | No | 0 | 72.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xcdc7…ff41 | No | 0 | 77.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 0 | 75.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Israeli Knesset Election · 2026 · 8 events · $238K in play