Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 7,126 | 67.9¢ | $4.74K | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,087 bets |
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | Yes | 1,972 | 31.0¢ | $660 | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 729 bets |
| cashy0x8f42…b88f | Yes | 950 | 34.0¢ | $318 | Proven+$11.86 per $100 · 1,051 bets |
| DorTovim0x392d…21a1 | Yes | 842 | 19.3¢ | $282 | — |
| AZ-safe0x3e9c…b879 | No | 418 | 68.4¢ | $278 | — |
| rafi1000xb2bb…003c | No | 410 | 68.1¢ | $273 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Israeli Knesset Election · 2026 · 8 events · $238K in play