Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 06:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
10 proven traders are on Yes, 10 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GoriIIa0xfffa…864b | No | 28,820 | 93.7¢ | $26.9K | Proven+$2.39 per $100 · 414 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | No | 28,569 | 79.0¢ | $26.7K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,103 bets |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | No | 21,753 | 83.3¢ | $20.3K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| Mr-Krabs0x8597…daee | No | 18,296 | 83.8¢ | $17.1K | Positive+$1.83 per $100 · 840 bets |
| scout0x2d99…4ca3 | No | 15,180 | 92.8¢ | $14.2K | Break-even+$0.70 per $100 · 1,013 bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | No | 12,905 | 86.0¢ | $12.1K | Proven+$3.47 per $100 · 1,719 bets |
| Gdub0x0b64…49bd | No | 6,000 | 95.5¢ | $5.61K | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 1,466 bets |
| pieped0xf440…b009 | No | 5,477 | 85.0¢ | $5.12K | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 179 bets |
| aviato0x2a01…6397 | No | 5,000 | 92.2¢ | $4.67K | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 3,741 bets |
| SleeperHunter0x606f…1083 | No | 4,028 | 86.0¢ | $3.77K | Positive+$1.81 per $100 · 377 bets |
| Tigerofthehood0x9c26…74bc | No | 3,000 | 90.0¢ | $2.81K | Positive+$1.01 per $100 · 237 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 2,222 | 93.6¢ | $2.08K | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,284 bets |
| geowatch0x5645…5d21 | No | 2,174 | 92.0¢ | $2.03K | Proven+$4.05 per $100 · 248 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 2,131 | 92.9¢ | $1.99K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,694 bets |
| Warren-Buffett0x4478…02a4 | No | 2,005 | 80.8¢ | $1.87K | Proven+$3.05 per $100 · 1,767 bets |
| GammaSqueeze12340xb25d…d127 | No | 2,000 | 82.0¢ | $1.87K | New79 settled bets |
| nope30500x6114…cff0 | No | 1,500 | 90.4¢ | $1.4K | Losing−$1.97 per $100 · 100 bets |
| Iman.abbasi0xd648…21b4 | Yes | 20,277 | 10.3¢ | $1.32K | — |
| AlAhmeda0x9d73…216b | No | 1,400 | 88.4¢ | $1.31K | Losing−$1.99 per $100 · 4,949 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 1,351 | 92.9¢ | $1.26K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,106 bets |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | No | 1,333 | 84.0¢ | $1.25K | Break-even+$0.33 per $100 · 3,303 bets |
| eightpenguins0x3c59…1766 | Yes | 18,887 | 18.6¢ | $1.23K | Proven+$14.44 per $100 · 681 bets |
| pop0x6404…f250 | No | 1,200 | 83.0¢ | $1.12K | Proven+$2.06 per $100 · 351 bets |
| wish-0x72a2…7b65 | No | 1,200 | 88.3¢ | $1.12K | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 1,975 bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No | 1,200 | 88.6¢ | $1.12K | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| Digital-Boy0xfe41…9f23 | No | 1,031 | 92.0¢ | $964 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 4,338 bets |
| troim0x4a2b…af20 | No | 1,000 | 88.0¢ | $935 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 1,254 bets |
| Chims0xeec5…b6fe | No | 999 | 90.7¢ | $934 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 993 | 91.1¢ | $929 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,993 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | No | 922 | 93.0¢ | $862 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 831 | 90.0¢ | $777 | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,398 bets |
| 8811120xd426…334a | Yes | 11,929 | 5.0¢ | $775 | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| k00pa0xa289…d95c | No | 800 | 92.0¢ | $748 | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 394 bets |
| 0x6992…6c1d | Yes | 11,410 | 7.3¢ | $742 | Positive+$1.10 per $100 · 681 bets |
| 0x0c88…7c45 | Yes | 10,485 | 9.8¢ | $682 | New36 settled bets |
| AYTLS0x6c92…9627 | Yes | 10,418 | 7.7¢ | $677 | Losing−$3.79 per $100 · 254 bets |
| F00Fi0x12ce…928f | No | 634 | 87.0¢ | $593 | Proven+$4.94 per $100 · 254 bets |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | No | 630 | 88.0¢ | $589 | — |
| pakukudolphi0x88e2…7489 | Yes | 8,934 | 7.9¢ | $581 | Proven+$5.66 per $100 · 278 bets |
| DegenerateJanet0x8964…0bec | No | 601 | 85.7¢ | $562 | Positive+$1.91 per $100 · 666 bets |
| xiaojiren0x5372…4b1f | No | 600 | 88.7¢ | $561 | Break-even+$1.00 per $100 · 248 bets |
| Alphax0xc781…59d7 | No | 567 | 84.0¢ | $530 | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 1,638 bets |
| 0x687d…e28b | No | 505 | 66.2¢ | $472 | — |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 500 | 90.1¢ | $468 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 872 bets |
| Dondigidin0x07b9…0fbb | No | 489 | 87.8¢ | $457 | Positive+$1.72 per $100 · 993 bets |
| 0x9ddd…5ca4 | Yes | 5,545 | 10.1¢ | $360 | — |
| clazzy10xb23e…829a | No | 375 | 76.1¢ | $351 | — |
| Bronzi0xc5fa…9795 | No | 319 | 94.0¢ | $298 | — |
| Logan.0x5109…5e9c | Yes | 4,458 | 21.0¢ | $290 | Proven+$6.53 per $100 · 2,293 bets |
| Sibarit870xf6fe…b5d1 | No | 307 | 95.9¢ | $287 | Losing−$19.52 per $100 · 139 bets |
| Porx0xa0bc…d428 | No | 300 | 91.3¢ | $281 | Proven+$7.58 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | No | 300 | 87.0¢ | $281 | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 636 bets |
| ElsaMi0x9653…4228 | Yes | 4,184 | 16.0¢ | $272 | — |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 3,851 | 9.9¢ | $250 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,062 bets |
| imumoccupancy0x7c4d…bb01 | Yes | 3,810 | 25.0¢ | $248 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 1,474 bets |
| Mithrandir.0xb17d…59ae | No | 250 | 86.6¢ | $234 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 1,983 bets |
| The-Defect0xac6a…2ed3 | No | 250 | 90.7¢ | $234 | — |
| Dellabc10x97cb…c910 | Yes | 3,190 | 9.2¢ | $207 | — |
| tzquantalpha0010x5923…49cd | No | 218 | 84.2¢ | $203 | Break-even+$0.40 per $100 · 627 bets |
| justme0030xcb89…a2e8 | No | 200 | 91.0¢ | $187 | Losing−$1.29 per $100 · 343 bets |
| RayZehavi0x121e…7751 | Yes | 2,667 | 11.2¢ | $173 | New12 settled bets |
| Temirin0xd7f3…74ca | Yes | 2,596 | 11.6¢ | $169 | — |
| 0xffa3…3d81 | Yes | 2,565 | 6.1¢ | $167 | — |
| 0x56da…9846 | Yes | 2,500 | 12.0¢ | $163 | — |
| Pakpakpakpak0x72ef…f569 | Yes | 2,500 | 8.0¢ | $162 | Proven+$99.73 per $100 · 265 bets |
| rewardbots0x876b…1703 | Yes | 2,375 | 25.6¢ | $154 | Proven+$11.15 per $100 · 504 bets |
| Azerian0x30a0…b9d4 | Yes | 2,000 | 5.0¢ | $130 | New36 settled bets |
| meagainsttheworld0x9592…a7b8 | Yes | 1,900 | 5.5¢ | $124 | Proven+$8.43 per $100 · 1,241 bets |
| efipec0x045e…b9de | Yes | 1,746 | 9.0¢ | $113 | — |
| compute0xd0d9…d6db | Yes | 1,710 | 10.5¢ | $111 | Positive+$5.67 per $100 · 360 bets |
| 12beduins0xb34b…5d0e | Yes | 1,696 | 9.7¢ | $110 | — |
| 0x3e59…b2be | Yes | 1,600 | 10.0¢ | $104 | Losing−$22.45 per $100 · 1,060 bets |
| fantastic550xd75a…fdec | Yes | 1,545 | 19.3¢ | $100 | Break-even−$0.94 per $100 · 258 bets |
| Kati.shi0x61f0…529e | Yes | 1,400 | 7.0¢ | $91 | Losing−$4.78 per $100 · 264 bets |
| Etay00440x112d…18b9 | Yes | 1,322 | 9.5¢ | $86 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 1,240 | 20.7¢ | $81 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | Yes | 1,138 | 11.6¢ | $74 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 1,113 | 6.9¢ | $72 | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 93,070 bets |
| MerhabaKardesim0x3a23…0f72 | Yes | 1,000 | 6.0¢ | $65 | Positive+$4.39 per $100 · 1,103 bets |
| 0x77df…9dbc | Yes | 1,000 | 12.0¢ | $65 | — |
| Avitz330x7a90…2ff9 | Yes | 1,000 | 12.0¢ | $65 | Proven+$13.31 per $100 · 1,257 bets |
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | 1,000 | 11.0¢ | $65 | Positive+$7.37 per $100 · 1,338 bets |
| Probs0x9d12…bdf6 | Yes | 919 | 10.5¢ | $60 | — |
| gerkgerk110x5289…f09f | Yes | 912 | 8.6¢ | $59 | New29 settled bets |
| 0x15b0…6ec1 | Yes | 904 | 11.1¢ | $59 | — |
| AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommittee0x64b4…b21e | Yes | 819 | 27.8¢ | $53 | Positive+$11.62 per $100 · 216 bets |
| pink.impala0x9c97…4569 | Yes | 704 | 20.9¢ | $46 | Break-even−$0.67 per $100 · 387 bets |
| 0xbd1d…f2f0 | Yes | 689 | 14.0¢ | $45 | — |
| DrNee0xba62…58e9 | Yes | 680 | 9.7¢ | $44 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 331 bets |
| Xzibit690x0af4…89b4 | Yes | 600 | 17.0¢ | $39 | Proven+$5.57 per $100 · 707 bets |
| 0x36da…907b | Yes | 600 | 8.7¢ | $39 | Break-even−$0.98 per $100 · 399 bets |
| paprikc0x909b…4e60 | Yes | 597 | 8.4¢ | $39 | — |
| alivedeer0xe0c5…913c | Yes | 571 | 7.0¢ | $37 | Losing−$12.71 per $100 · 427 bets |
| Garox0x03ef…f729 | Yes | 559 | 9.0¢ | $36 | — |
| 0xdc94…9a27 | Yes | 556 | 9.0¢ | $36 | — |
| ihffyj9860760x9055…3367 | Yes | 554 | 13.0¢ | $36 | — |
| StylishSentinel0xa6db…8881 | Yes | 278 | 5.0¢ | $18 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 236 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.