Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 07:07 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
6 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 37,327 | 88.1¢ | $33.2K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,398 bets |
| Warren-Buffett0x4478…02a4 | Yes | 20,000 | 13.1¢ | $2.2K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | No | 2,001 | 90.0¢ | $1.78K | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,285 bets |
| 0xe41a…29bd | No | 2,000 | 90.0¢ | $1.78K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 108 bets |
| HuskyRRRRR0xe13a…ee7a | No | 1,395 | 90.9¢ | $1.24K | — |
| Croc780x24be…44cb | Yes | 11,239 | 8.4¢ | $1.24K | New9 settled bets |