Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
Iran Hormuz Transit Fees · 3 events · $276K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
17 proven traders are on Yes, 19 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ko-san-1230x8792…4174 | No | 30,399 | 68.0¢ | $28.3K | Proven+$7.12 per $100 · 818 bets |
| Kevindoto0xcd71…d127 | No | 20,000 | 53.0¢ | $18.6K | Proven+$4.55 per $100 · 728 bets |
| spamburglar0x3dce…2e3d | No | 18,364 | 78.6¢ | $17.1K | — |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | No | 10,277 | 46.4¢ | $9.56K | Proven+$12.11 per $100 · 580 bets |
| 0x6bab…0fe5 | No | 8,498 | 69.0¢ | $7.9K | Proven+$7.70 per $100 · 371 bets |
| yuhyuhyuhy3523520xbd04…fbb0 | No | 7,823 | 45.4¢ | $7.28K | Proven+$13.58 per $100 · 548 bets |
| DooBieZ0xdb40…3612 | No | 6,755 | 84.7¢ | $6.28K | Break-even+$0.59 per $100 · 8,086 bets |
| 0x5039…946d | No | 6,000 | 33.9¢ | $5.58K | Break-even−$0.70 per $100 · 587 bets |
| tumbra0x52ca…523f | No | 3,400 | 63.0¢ | $3.16K | Proven+$8.86 per $100 · 108 bets |
| ZaGambla0x96f7…d6ae | No | 2,929 | 41.0¢ | $2.72K | — |
| LeftieFTW0x066a…550d | No | 2,888 | 85.7¢ | $2.69K | — |
| M2sx92kljs420xb4f2…e5fa | No | 2,839 | 66.9¢ | $2.64K | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 549 bets |
| citra0x246b…1196 | Yes | 32,069 | 53.9¢ | $2.24K | Proven+$11.09 per $100 · 247 bets |
| Myway0x52f9…e1c7 | No | 2,226 | 67.4¢ | $2.07K | — |
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 2,080 | 91.5¢ | $1.93K | — |
| ZhouSir10x9876…1e66 | No | 2,000 | 92.3¢ | $1.86K | Break-even+$0.01 per $100 · 213 bets |
| ourdemocracy0x08c9…a2ef | No | 2,000 | 94.1¢ | $1.86K | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 577 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 1,962 | 66.4¢ | $1.82K | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| 0x2c79…e0aa | No | 1,952 | 93.9¢ | $1.82K | Proven+$2.22 per $100 · 218 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | No | 1,813 | 92.0¢ | $1.69K | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| Cattail0xc4c1…7324 | No | 1,639 | 50.3¢ | $1.52K | — |
| Jin-20260x4b30…4b79 | No | 1,523 | 93.5¢ | $1.42K | New91 settled bets |
| nchgbhy0x57b0…76f4 | No | 1,517 | 92.1¢ | $1.41K | Proven+$2.09 per $100 · 2,943 bets |
| zj4200x6062…dec2 | No | 1,430 | 76.9¢ | $1.33K | — |
| 0xcca9…4c9f | Yes | 17,197 | 44.3¢ | $1.2K | Break-even−$0.50 per $100 · 265 bets |
| denizz0xbaa2…2c73 | Yes | 15,592 | 37.1¢ | $1.09K | Proven+$8.43 per $100 · 1,271 bets |
| ELTESTICULON0xb7e6…2b17 | No | 1,173 | 43.4¢ | $1.09K | — |
| James.N0xedc8…a743 | No | 1,099 | 58.5¢ | $1.02K | — |
| RolandDrump0x7532…c6fc | No | 1,036 | 64.6¢ | $964 | Proven+$4.09 per $100 · 477 bets |
| Gmoney160xf244…9b9e | Yes | 13,558 | 17.2¢ | $949 | New20 settled bets |
| Dima790xdd5a…4d23 | No | 849 | 44.8¢ | $789 | Positive+$1.95 per $100 · 443 bets |
| Red781RuM0x04bf…7caf | No | 800 | 58.0¢ | $744 | Proven+$4.82 per $100 · 1,031 bets |
| G.laila0xa092…11e3 | No | 800 | 55.5¢ | $744 | Break-even+$0.68 per $100 · 414 bets |
| totti820x5f83…5dc1 | No | 789 | 76.0¢ | $734 | — |
| Mahnic0xdf34…dc86 | No | 781 | 71.9¢ | $727 | — |
| BigRabbit0xeb22…808a | Yes | 10,000 | 35.2¢ | $700 | Positive+$4.46 per $100 · 2,227 bets |
| vortl0xef9f…8924 | Yes | 9,179 | 11.3¢ | $643 | Positive+$3.42 per $100 · 564 bets |
| pink110x97d1…18ef | No | 677 | 84.0¢ | $629 | New67 settled bets |
| theta-thunberg0xb760…ccd7 | No | 655 | 86.2¢ | $609 | Proven+$6.21 per $100 · 1,086 bets |
| siick0xf9b7…60a4 | No | 647 | 64.0¢ | $602 | Proven+$3.60 per $100 · 1,967 bets |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | Yes | 8,078 | 11.4¢ | $565 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 625 bets |
| PavtheGreat0x048a…9be4 | No | 559 | 84.9¢ | $520 | Losing−$1.76 per $100 · 325 bets |
| 0x2120x5eef…27f9 | No | 516 | 60.0¢ | $480 | — |
| RowenSecret0x3626…e168 | No | 500 | 85.0¢ | $465 | — |
| -Yang-0x43a6…8b32 | No | 500 | 79.0¢ | $465 | Proven+$7.81 per $100 · 425 bets |
| ITHINKTHISISGODLOVER0xecf4…9979 | No | 500 | 48.0¢ | $465 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 500 | 93.4¢ | $465 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 126,571+ bets · updating |
| BamseOgKylling0xd9e7…4cde | No | 500 | 57.0¢ | $465 | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 195 bets |
| 0xeffe…5efa | No | 467 | 80.0¢ | $434 | New85 settled bets |
| winelavkakz0x6959…5575 | No | 460 | 86.0¢ | $428 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 458 | 62.8¢ | $426 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,913 bets |
| GCNO10x5011…220e | No | 454 | 60.1¢ | $423 | — |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | No | 448 | 57.1¢ | $417 | Positive+$6.72 per $100 · 6,725 bets |
| nagib0x3577…31e6 | No | 414 | 80.5¢ | $385 | — |
| 8811120xd426…334a | No | 400 | 34.0¢ | $372 | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | Yes | 5,299 | 56.5¢ | $371 | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,712 bets |
| tetrose0x7447…a16d | Yes | 5,000 | 12.0¢ | $350 | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 772 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | No | 342 | 85.0¢ | $318 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| AlphaBetaGamma23570x5652…00c9 | Yes | 2,894 | 11.4¢ | $203 | Proven+$5.60 per $100 · 868 bets |
| Raskell0xb37a…f1b1 | Yes | 2,747 | 33.2¢ | $192 | — |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 2,280 | 17.0¢ | $160 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,059 bets |
| zhaoyk0xcc03…d5c0 | Yes | 2,218 | 58.6¢ | $155 | New28 settled bets |
| KariSpice0x08ab…3af9 | No | 157 | 80.7¢ | $146 | Proven+$2.59 per $100 · 586 bets |
| Outsid3rTrading0xf1ef…8cd6 | Yes | 2,000 | 55.0¢ | $140 | Break-even+$0.74 per $100 · 2,128 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 1,975 | 6.6¢ | $138 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,255 bets |
| JoeBlack010x9ca1…13b5 | Yes | 1,888 | 50.3¢ | $132 | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| aenews20x44c1…ebc1 | Yes | 1,501 | 16.8¢ | $105 | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 4,115 bets |
| OxF6C33EaE7cbC1dB8f9c6F10f0a3C54E5dC7aF1b80xe9cd…701f | Yes | 1,500 | 50.7¢ | $105 | — |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 1,462 | 16.1¢ | $102 | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| DonPanic0x50b2…c94a | Yes | 1,407 | 40.2¢ | $98 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 2,020 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 1,250 | 58.6¢ | $87 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| NewNameWhoThis0xa37a…a9e7 | Yes | 1,159 | 63.0¢ | $81 | — |
| GrokEnjoyer0x92e5…efee | Yes | 1,111 | 57.0¢ | $78 | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 833 bets |
| BlackJellyfish0xc073…7c59 | Yes | 1,100 | 37.0¢ | $77 | — |
| Mecky0xa82b…5220 | Yes | 1,000 | 15.0¢ | $70 | Positive+$3.93 per $100 · 2,966 bets |
| Djibooty0x9690…f2d5 | Yes | 1,000 | 56.0¢ | $70 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | Yes | 985 | 17.5¢ | $69 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| melonmanm0x0787…0ca3 | Yes | 800 | 8.9¢ | $56 | — |
| tja0xe1b3…1426 | Yes | 800 | 26.0¢ | $56 | Proven+$10.80 per $100 · 1,660 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 754 | 56.0¢ | $53 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| eightpenguins0x3c59…1766 | Yes | 741 | 56.0¢ | $52 | Proven+$14.44 per $100 · 681 bets |
| smartpreset0x1680…490d | Yes | 730 | 37.6¢ | $51 | — |
| Porx0xa0bc…d428 | Yes | 700 | 11.1¢ | $49 | Proven+$7.70 per $100 · 3,050 bets |
| GodRama0x8b72…6dbe | Yes | 658 | 22.6¢ | $46 | Positive+$4.43 per $100 · 3,463 bets |
| smallf0xd109…6fa0 | Yes | 638 | 43.6¢ | $45 | Proven+$10.52 per $100 · 320 bets |
| robert-mukhametov0x0e6b…3a4c | Yes | 616 | 35.3¢ | $43 | — |
| Ox4B7e1D3cA9825F0aC176bE29d830A54F12cD78a60x2a32…0188 | Yes | 579 | 55.0¢ | $41 | — |
| rwcoffee0xd8c1…16c0 | Yes | 576 | 69.5¢ | $40 | Losing−$18.99 per $100 · 605 bets |
| alexludoman0xe117…b4e7 | Yes | 519 | 52.3¢ | $36 | — |
| 0x598e…9d4f | Yes | 518 | 58.0¢ | $36 | New95 settled bets |
| badatthis0x75ac…33d7 | Yes | 408 | 6.0¢ | $29 | Proven+$6.73 per $100 · 6,671 bets |
| iuH1398SI0x44b7…2e99 | Yes | 396 | 6.7¢ | $28 | Losing−$4.93 per $100 · 738 bets |
| Coldonn1010xe6fd…8bc3 | Yes | 357 | 36.0¢ | $25 | — |
| Praescientia0x94bb…c320 | Yes | 353 | 17.0¢ | $25 | Break-even+$0.39 per $100 · 6,664 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | 323 | 15.0¢ | $23 | Losing−$8.20 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 310 | 11.0¢ | $22 | Positive+$12.17 per $100 · 3,925 bets |
| michaelSlasher0x6fa1…1f74 | Yes | 300 | 27.5¢ | $21 | Proven+$10.95 per $100 · 208 bets |
| 300PS0x8f41…260e | Yes | 300 | 54.2¢ | $21 | Break-even+$0.43 per $100 · 4,552 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.