Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
Iran Hormuz Transit Fees · 3 events · $276K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
21 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ko-san-1230x8792…4174 | No | 22,674 | 63.2¢ | $18.7K | Proven+$7.12 per $100 · 818 bets |
| 0x6bab…0fe5 | No | 21,657 | 53.5¢ | $17.9K | Proven+$7.70 per $100 · 371 bets |
| LeftieFTW0x066a…550d | No | 17,717 | 63.6¢ | $14.6K | — |
| denizz0xbaa2…2c73 | No | 12,806 | 41.1¢ | $10.6K | Proven+$8.43 per $100 · 1,271 bets |
| yuhyuhyuhy3523520xbd04…fbb0 | No | 8,061 | 41.3¢ | $6.65K | Proven+$13.58 per $100 · 548 bets |
| citra0x246b…1196 | Yes | 12,814 | 58.9¢ | $2.24K | Proven+$11.09 per $100 · 247 bets |
| 0xcca9…4c9f | Yes | 12,491 | 55.4¢ | $2.19K | Break-even−$0.50 per $100 · 265 bets |
| KissingGolden0x9dcb…628b | No | 2,616 | 36.0¢ | $2.16K | — |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | Yes | 11,016 | 57.9¢ | $1.93K | Proven+$3.46 per $100 · 1,713 bets |
| Outsid3rTrading0xf1ef…8cd6 | No | 1,945 | 40.0¢ | $1.6K | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 2,138 bets |
| DOGWIFHAT0xa8da…f944 | Yes | 7,139 | 56.9¢ | $1.25K | Proven+$2.30 per $100 · 238 bets |
| Giannis20260xe5b4…1e3e | No | 1,500 | 52.8¢ | $1.24K | Proven+$13.43 per $100 · 350 bets |
| G.laila0xa092…11e3 | No | 1,400 | 44.4¢ | $1.16K | Break-even+$0.68 per $100 · 414 bets |
| vortl0xef9f…8924 | Yes | 5,685 | 23.1¢ | $995 | Positive+$3.42 per $100 · 564 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 5,212 | 53.0¢ | $912 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,278 bets |
| Beyonddream0xb24c…eefe | No | 1,000 | 81.0¢ | $825 | Break-even−$0.68 per $100 · 503 bets |
| 0x0456…c88a | No | 934 | 78.8¢ | $771 | Proven+$4.70 per $100 · 326 bets |
| ourdemocracy0x08c9…a2ef | No | 892 | 83.0¢ | $736 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 577 bets |
| pink110x97d1…18ef | No | 857 | 67.0¢ | $707 | New67 settled bets |
| 0x2120x5eef…27f9 | No | 845 | 60.3¢ | $697 | — |
| Warren-Buffett0x4478…02a4 | Yes | 3,700 | 58.4¢ | $647 | Proven+$3.05 per $100 · 1,767 bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 3,519 | 55.3¢ | $616 | Positive+$6.62 per $100 · 6,737 bets |
| JoeBlack010x9ca1…13b5 | Yes | 2,988 | 41.2¢ | $523 | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| abdoohl0x8e4f…4594 | Yes | 2,733 | 22.0¢ | $478 | — |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 2,663 | 32.8¢ | $466 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| totti820x5f83…5dc1 | No | 551 | 68.0¢ | $455 | Positive+$3.96 per $100 · 132 bets |
| Dima790xdd5a…4d23 | No | 503 | 63.8¢ | $415 | Positive+$1.95 per $100 · 443 bets |
| DerDon0xf797…0bf2 | No | 500 | 42.0¢ | $413 | Proven+$4.32 per $100 · 4,225 bets |
| Car0x7c3d…5c6b | Yes | 2,357 | 19.5¢ | $412 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 10,268 bets |
| eCash0x62cf…5826 | Yes | 2,336 | 29.8¢ | $409 | Proven+$6.07 per $100 · 625 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 451 | 78.1¢ | $372 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| jsjr0x12bf…ddaf | Yes | 2,064 | 25.0¢ | $361 | Losing−$1.74 per $100 · 688 bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | Yes | 2,000 | 46.8¢ | $350 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| fillit980x2f63…6643 | No | 400 | 82.0¢ | $330 | — |
| iamnotwhoiwas0x2035…dc1c | No | 363 | 69.7¢ | $299 | — |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 1,655 | 25.6¢ | $290 | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| DonPanic0x50b2…c94a | Yes | 1,650 | 41.0¢ | $289 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 2,020 bets |
| OxF6C33EaE7cbC1dB8f9c6F10f0a3C54E5dC7aF1b80xe9cd…701f | Yes | 1,470 | 42.4¢ | $257 | — |
| RowenSecret0x3626…e168 | No | 300 | 71.0¢ | $248 | — |
| Alt-QQ0xb475…0554 | No | 286 | 70.0¢ | $236 | — |
| Raskell0xb37a…f1b1 | Yes | 1,200 | 44.7¢ | $210 | — |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 241 | 56.2¢ | $199 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| Rex4160x9a3f…914a | Yes | 1,000 | 32.4¢ | $175 | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 6,909 bets |
| aenews20x44c1…ebc1 | Yes | 998 | 29.8¢ | $175 | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 4,115 bets |
| QuantDuck0x2637…26e1 | No | 200 | 83.0¢ | $165 | — |
| onekeykey0xc7ed…4acd | No | 200 | 49.7¢ | $165 | — |
| Legacy.crypto0x9dfb…e887 | No | 196 | 53.8¢ | $162 | — |
| Mahnic0xdf34…dc86 | Yes | 914 | 37.0¢ | $160 | — |
| Malganis0x4bf4…7021 | Yes | 859 | 37.9¢ | $150 | Break-even+$0.33 per $100 · 3,303 bets |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | Yes | 798 | 20.0¢ | $140 | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 636 bets |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | Yes | 783 | 28.9¢ | $137 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 351 bets |
| 8014a3d96c0x3592…c68c | Yes | 761 | 17.9¢ | $133 | New34 settled bets |
| whig0x40cf…d21d | Yes | 732 | 19.0¢ | $128 | Proven+$11.46 per $100 · 1,102 bets |
| 0x57e7…84e9 | No | 150 | 40.0¢ | $124 | Losing−$3.64 per $100 · 10,325 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 595 | 30.0¢ | $104 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,058 bets |
| 0xd014…5258 | No | 121 | 82.8¢ | $100 | — |
| Eia0x166a…d7ed | Yes | 546 | 23.9¢ | $96 | Proven+$5.89 per $100 · 1,215 bets |
| 0x1593…62f2 | No | 112 | 83.0¢ | $93 | — |
| Trading4Fridge0x2525…b919 | Yes | 529 | 35.7¢ | $93 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 2,426 bets |
| 0xeffe…5efa | No | 112 | 81.0¢ | $92 | New85 settled bets |
| Alphax0xc781…59d7 | No | 111 | 46.3¢ | $91 | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 1,638 bets |
| Maximsr0x8069…6963 | Yes | 501 | 24.2¢ | $88 | — |
| 0x5201…34c3 | No | 100 | 70.0¢ | $82 | Break-even−$0.51 per $100 · 3,628 bets |
| Barber5670x750a…d86c | No | 100 | 38.0¢ | $82 | — |
| DrNee0xba62…58e9 | Yes | 460 | 19.7¢ | $81 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 331 bets |
| mangoking050x442c…3db8 | No | 96 | 57.0¢ | $79 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 10,157 bets |
| Shsjxyse0x31b9…06ce | No | 96 | 41.0¢ | $79 | New60 settled bets |
| boring9990x2140…5790 | Yes | 449 | 47.0¢ | $79 | Proven+$7.89 per $100 · 270 bets |
| 0xbf4d…33ed | Yes | 436 | 49.8¢ | $76 | — |
| eq44234d0x244d…9bf4 | No | 82 | 70.0¢ | $68 | — |
| smartpreset0x1680…490d | Yes | 361 | 47.7¢ | $63 | Losing−$6.09 per $100 · 983 bets |
| dashagroyper0x54f9…2697 | Yes | 359 | 55.6¢ | $63 | — |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | Yes | 340 | 47.0¢ | $59 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 575 bets |
| IbnKhaldun0xa4bc…026c | No | 65 | 57.0¢ | $54 | Positive+$2.23 per $100 · 341 bets |
| Maximus6000xa2a8…c2e5 | No | 64 | 36.0¢ | $53 | — |
| JPLP0x0e32…535b | Yes | 300 | 65.3¢ | $52 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 1,597 bets |
| rocky420060x85d5…bbf0 | Yes | 298 | 28.0¢ | $52 | — |
| arcanecapital0xae8d…fa5d | No | 60 | 61.0¢ | $50 | — |
| wJhraCcPrd46Tjla0x0b2e…bb34 | No | 60 | 72.6¢ | $49 | — |
| ttsnail01000x2702…0495 | No | 57 | 44.0¢ | $47 | — |
| ForeverRed0xa577…b06a | No | 55 | 55.0¢ | $45 | — |
| KariSpice0x08ab…3af9 | Yes | 257 | 34.0¢ | $45 | Proven+$2.59 per $100 · 586 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 51 | 48.8¢ | $42 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| zma9260xf88b…6f28 | No | 49 | 67.0¢ | $40 | — |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 48 | 83.0¢ | $39 | Positive+$1.77 per $100 · 519 bets |
| robert-mukhametov0x0e6b…3a4c | Yes | 222 | 48.6¢ | $39 | Break-even+$0.02 per $100 · 2,006 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 46 | 81.0¢ | $38 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Aurelius70x3832…35e1 | Yes | 217 | 23.0¢ | $38 | — |
| Nick463830xbf87…dafd | No | 45 | 73.0¢ | $37 | — |
| Ruxpin840x2f91…f6ff | Yes | 200 | 70.5¢ | $35 | — |
| Jest550xd34b…0004 | Yes | 200 | 40.9¢ | $35 | Proven+$5.65 per $100 · 2,690 bets |
| StarMaster0xeca0…e8f8 | Yes | 200 | 40.0¢ | $35 | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 4,789 bets |
| Porx0xa0bc…d428 | Yes | 200 | 17.0¢ | $35 | Proven+$7.58 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 190 | 26.8¢ | $33 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 174 | 36.5¢ | $30 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 166 | 25.3¢ | $29 | Losing−$2.59 per $100 · 123,775 bets |
| hping020x9e25…afd6 | No | 31 | 78.0¢ | $26 | — |
| 0xb4f6…eada | No | 15 | 41.9¢ | $12 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.