Market
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 15 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clicker10xc884…e17e | No | 100,000 | 90.1¢ | $98.4K | New24 settled bets |
| 0x006c…16ea | No | 83,055 | 91.5¢ | $81.8K | Proven+$17.15 per $100 · 599 bets |
| josearval0xdef6…f69a | No | 77,310 | 92.0¢ | $76.1K | New27 settled bets |
| Erasmus.0xc658…b784 | No | 74,141 | 90.9¢ | $73K | Break-even+$0.19 per $100 · 875 bets |
| nelbal84860x8c44…fcd4 | No | 70,285 | 95.2¢ | $69.2K | Positive+$4.41 per $100 · 128 bets |
| Brokie0x1e1f…c855 | No | 65,319 | 92.6¢ | $64.3K | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 1,049 bets |
| fledger0x9485…0918 | No | 51,313 | 96.4¢ | $50.5K | New14 settled bets |
| 0x8931…a90c | No | 49,672 | 96.5¢ | $48.9K | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 611 bets |
| Dropper0x6bab…1292 | No | 44,444 | 91.3¢ | $43.8K | Proven+$4.27 per $100 · 2,262 bets |
| ktv.bond0xb1df…28b7 | No | 35,275 | 93.5¢ | $34.7K | New1 settled bet |
| bearbees20x12b8…479c | No | 31,299 | 95.9¢ | $30.8K | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 259 bets |
| Naropoly0x9f83…6cd9 | No | 30,552 | 97.6¢ | $30.1K | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 1,033 bets |
| disdatderedem0x1405…9db0 | No | 30,000 | 95.0¢ | $29.5K | New32 settled bets |
| MajoriT0x8c76…06ac | No | 24,970 | 92.2¢ | $24.6K | Losing−$1.69 per $100 · 470 bets |
| forinnerpsandr1x112220x5c14…cc49 | No | 23,765 | 91.6¢ | $23.4K | Proven+$2.66 per $100 · 298 bets |
| bear-bees0x9d54…c43d | No | 23,552 | 96.1¢ | $23.2K | New47 settled bets |
| TwoTierKeir0x5602…1480 | No | 15,181 | 90.9¢ | $14.9K | New84 settled bets |
| Airpods1230xb904…c255 | No | 15,000 | 91.2¢ | $14.8K | Proven+$5.91 per $100 · 545 bets |
| tomorrownow0x88fc…900e | No | 13,755 | 93.1¢ | $13.5K | Positive+$1.07 per $100 · 121 bets |
| Moond0x9dfe…b3dd | No | 13,148 | 91.0¢ | $12.9K | Proven+$7.42 per $100 · 2,276 bets |
| alwayslate1331130x608b…fbd6 | No | 10,941 | 91.8¢ | $10.8K | New21 settled bets |
| Pog0xe6ca…b27a | No | 10,029 | 92.5¢ | $9.87K | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 382 bets |
| e888880x0d15…c454 | No | 10,000 | 91.8¢ | $9.85K | Losing−$2.14 per $100 · 167 bets |
| DapperChapper0xf8cc…5a82 | No | 10,000 | 91.3¢ | $9.85K | Positive+$1.49 per $100 · 1,104 bets |
| wzp19850x95da…b238 | No | 9,671 | 96.8¢ | $9.52K | New8 settled bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No | 9,600 | 94.4¢ | $9.45K | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 9,576 | 93.1¢ | $9.43K | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| 0x43ab…1e4c | No | 9,468 | 91.0¢ | $9.32K | New39 settled bets |
| bazooka10x031d…6570 | No | 8,012 | 96.5¢ | $7.89K | Positive+$1.21 per $100 · 234 bets |
| xcnstrategy0xcce2…d58b | No | 8,000 | 91.1¢ | $7.88K | Proven+$13.80 per $100 · 215 bets |
| debased0x24c8…23e1 | No | 6,716 | 96.3¢ | $6.61K | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 7,227 bets |
| surf0xfd2b…8e50 | No | 5,305 | 92.0¢ | $5.22K | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 972 bets |
| BTCGambler2470x31c5…ede4 | No | 5,000 | 91.8¢ | $4.92K | Proven+$9.52 per $100 · 523 bets |
| 0x8b71…8044 | No | 4,724 | 93.5¢ | $4.65K | Proven+$4.95 per $100 · 201 bets |
| surfing0x3b4a…07fb | No | 4,670 | 96.6¢ | $4.6K | Break-even+$0.41 per $100 · 123 bets |
| 0x59d1…07ce | No | 4,561 | 91.7¢ | $4.49K | New75 settled bets |
| MonkeyBrains1230xbcf9…9b13 | No | 4,438 | 96.4¢ | $4.37K | Positive+$1.72 per $100 · 304 bets |
| Ajjooli0x0404…8353 | No | 4,052 | 96.5¢ | $3.99K | Proven+$2.06 per $100 · 299 bets |
| 87crosby0x14c0…28f4 | No | 3,720 | 91.5¢ | $3.66K | New76 settled bets |
| YoshiYamamoto0x3bcf…e964 | No | 3,690 | 96.5¢ | $3.63K | Proven+$2.69 per $100 · 202 bets |
| 0x71e1…45f0 | No | 3,600 | 90.8¢ | $3.54K | Proven+$4.44 per $100 · 735 bets |
| thebetter12340xf501…8852 | No | 3,500 | 97.6¢ | $3.45K | New98 settled bets |
| RBax0x4366…c73e | No | 3,354 | 96.6¢ | $3.3K | Proven+$11.27 per $100 · 547 bets |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b040x9507…7b04 | No | 3,211 | 90.7¢ | $3.16K | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,709 bets |
| EscapeVelocity0x832b…3ae1 | No | 3,000 | 96.5¢ | $2.95K | Proven+$4.44 per $100 · 1,574 bets |
| Noobredaktor0xd711…a49b | No | 2,983 | 92.6¢ | $2.94K | New0 settled bets |
| akimbogod0x6056…c27c | No | 2,810 | 92.7¢ | $2.77K | Proven+$8.97 per $100 · 148 bets |
| 0xac4c…0ce9 | No | 2,799 | 93.2¢ | $2.76K | New2 settled bets |
| wish-0x72a2…7b65 | No | 2,500 | 96.2¢ | $2.46K | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 1,975 bets |
| whitetofu0x04cc…48ac | No | 2,188 | 91.8¢ | $2.15K | New45 settled bets |
| Transportlag0xb19a…7cb7 | Yes | 91,584 | 9.4¢ | $1.42K | New0 settled bets |
| 0xe987…81b7 | Yes | 91,087 | 6.2¢ | $1.41K | New0 settled bets |
| tradingdecs0x7fc6…7306 | Yes | 70,252 | 7.1¢ | $1.09K | Losing−$33.29 per $100 · 568 bets |
| 0x3f9d…f824 | Yes | 47,788 | 9.0¢ | $741 | New0 settled bets |
| hantamypunta0x77e9…f631 | Yes | 42,150 | 9.3¢ | $653 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x0baa…fe13 | Yes | 36,819 | 9.2¢ | $571 | New2 settled bets |
| gottabehard0xd930…dfae | Yes | 18,200 | 8.6¢ | $282 | New10 settled bets |
| LordShark330x11e3…89bb | Yes | 17,926 | 3.4¢ | $278 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x3031…4b92 | Yes | 16,919 | 9.1¢ | $262 | Losing−$12.52 per $100 · 139 bets |
| Pandemic20260xd45e…3c8c | Yes | 15,481 | 10.3¢ | $240 | New1 settled bet |
| jaybd0x4ef1…d36f | Yes | 14,863 | 6.0¢ | $230 | New1 settled bet |
| 0x7a57…2c23 | Yes | 13,984 | 8.4¢ | $217 | New0 settled bets |
| Warmsocks0xa232…687c | Yes | 12,307 | 8.5¢ | $191 | New24 settled bets |
| Convex790x4d86…1cb2 | Yes | 10,207 | 1.0¢ | $158 | Positive+$2.41 per $100 · 1,380 bets |
| 0x39fb…32c7 | Yes | 9,961 | 12.5¢ | $154 | New63 settled bets |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | Yes | 8,431 | 5.9¢ | $131 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| 0x2c68…1a01 | Yes | 8,009 | 9.1¢ | $124 | New1 settled bet |
| 0x9ac2…f47c | Yes | 7,765 | 8.4¢ | $120 | Losing−$1.90 per $100 · 147 bets |
| zanoxlr0x20f0…fabb | Yes | 7,143 | 3.3¢ | $111 | New9 settled bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 6,418 | 1.7¢ | $99 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| DJDrage0xc246…fc2c | Yes | 6,061 | 10.3¢ | $94 | New4 settled bets |
| 0x7315…54ad | Yes | 6,057 | 8.2¢ | $94 | New0 settled bets |
| duref0xb19c…2467 | Yes | 5,801 | 2.6¢ | $90 | Losing−$12.17 per $100 · 140 bets |
| mevanga0x2dfa…c7a6 | Yes | 5,063 | 8.3¢ | $78 | New25 settled bets |
| Matrix20260xef0e…06f9 | Yes | 5,056 | 9.2¢ | $78 | New52 settled bets |
| distillation0x3280…ea74 | Yes | 5,053 | 10.3¢ | $78 | New98 settled bets |
| fjw3ipf3say20xc54a…5142 | Yes | 4,956 | 9.2¢ | $77 | New0 settled bets |
| Norvinlove0x8718…1c35 | Yes | 4,805 | 7.6¢ | $74 | New0 settled bets |
| Erian130x9e83…1a34 | Yes | 4,633 | 8.9¢ | $72 | New0 settled bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | Yes | 4,579 | 8.6¢ | $71 | Losing−$2.72 per $100 · 78,097+ bets · updating |
| 0xbac5…3f8a | Yes | 4,402 | 9.9¢ | $68 | New2 settled bets |
| 0x03dd…dcbf | Yes | 3,776 | 7.0¢ | $59 | New1 settled bet |
| slippy00x6d16…7228 | Yes | 3,500 | 8.6¢ | $54 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 108 bets |
| 0x83d8…df80 | Yes | 3,288 | 8.0¢ | $51 | New2 settled bets |
| 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac860x17ed…c087 | Yes | 3,238 | 6.1¢ | $50 | Proven+$7.35 per $100 · 982 bets |
| abandon-all-hope0x116c…16cf | Yes | 3,200 | 9.3¢ | $50 | New7 settled bets |
| MossBerg210x49ac…2f1e | Yes | 3,191 | 9.8¢ | $49 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 1,501 bets |
| bignet0x7d8a…7c1c | Yes | 3,158 | 9.9¢ | $49 | New5 settled bets |
| 0x88f0…96de | Yes | 3,116 | 10.1¢ | $48 | New21 settled bets |
| 0x3199…fdf3 | Yes | 3,000 | 7.5¢ | $47 | New78 settled bets |
| Inkdot0xc080…e4ce | Yes | 2,958 | 7.5¢ | $46 | New0 settled bets |
| mattnwt20260xe3fd…61ac | Yes | 2,952 | 7.6¢ | $46 | New0 settled bets |
| markul160xc5e8…2a29 | Yes | 2,933 | 7.8¢ | $45 | New1 settled bet |
| MachEier0x72b2…7d6e | Yes | 2,907 | 9.0¢ | $45 | New15 settled bets |
| 0xee23…813d | Yes | 2,840 | 9.9¢ | $44 | New7 settled bets |
| 0xa212…2c8a | Yes | 2,778 | 7.5¢ | $43 | Losing−$10.31 per $100 · 107 bets |
| 0xf400…e2f8 | Yes | 2,738 | 8.1¢ | $42 | New0 settled bets |
| cchua19850xf256…a5ec | Yes | 2,700 | 7.6¢ | $42 | New0 settled bets |
| 0x8a28…2d4e | Yes | 2,677 | 9.1¢ | $41 | New12 settled bets |
| PaddyAlpha0x9ad0…bf3d | Yes | 2,454 | 4.0¢ | $38 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 3,059 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.