Market · 1 of 6 outcomes
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 22:12 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 52.9¢ | +7.4 pts |
| $10,000 | 81.4¢ | +35.9 pts |
| $100,000 | 91.4¢ | +45.9 pts |
| $500,000 | 95.0¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 45¢.
About $589 can be bought and $587 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 45.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 22:11 UTC.